Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred...
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2015
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oai-11362-382562020-03-06T16:50:27Z Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model Roson, Roberto Australian Government (AusAID) DESARROLLO ECONOMICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA FOMENTO DEL TURISMO CONSUMO DE ENERGIA SALUD PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO CAMBIO CLIMATICO CEPAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WATER SUPPLY TOURISM DEVELOPMENT ENERGY CONSUMPTION HEALTH DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES CLIMATE CHANGE ECLAC The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred to as the Climate Impact Assessment Model (ECLAC-CIAM) and is a tool that can simultaneously assess multiple sectoral climate impacts specific to the Caribbean as a whole and for individual countries. To achieve this goal, an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) with a Computable General Equilibrium Core was developed comprising of three modules to be executed sequentially. The first of these modules defines the type and magnitude of economic shocks on the basis of a climate change scenario, the second module is a global Computable General Equilibrium model with a special regional and industrial classification and the third module processes the output of the CGE model to get more disaggregated results. The model has the potential to produce several economic estimates but the current default results include percentage change in real national income for individual Caribbean states which provides a simple measure of welfare impacts. With some modifications, the model can also be used to consider the effects of single sectoral shocks such as (Land, Labour, Capital and Tourism) on the percentage change in real national income. Ultimately, the model is envisioned as an evolving tool for assessing the impact of climate change in the Caribbean and as a guide to policy responses with respect to adaptation strategies. .--I. Introduction.--II. Methodology.--III. An illustrative simulation exercise.--IV. Possible future development.--V. Using the model as a policy assessment tool. 2015-06-11T21:43:19Z 2015-06-11T21:43:19Z 2014-05 Texto Documento Completo http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38256 LC/L.3754 LC/CAR/L.418 en Studies and Perspectives Series – The Caribbean 30 .pdf application/pdf CARIBE CARIBBEAN REGION ECLAC |
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DESARROLLO ECONOMICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA FOMENTO DEL TURISMO CONSUMO DE ENERGIA SALUD PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO CAMBIO CLIMATICO CEPAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WATER SUPPLY TOURISM DEVELOPMENT ENERGY CONSUMPTION HEALTH DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES CLIMATE CHANGE ECLAC |
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DESARROLLO ECONOMICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA FOMENTO DEL TURISMO CONSUMO DE ENERGIA SALUD PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO CAMBIO CLIMATICO CEPAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WATER SUPPLY TOURISM DEVELOPMENT ENERGY CONSUMPTION HEALTH DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES CLIMATE CHANGE ECLAC Roson, Roberto Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
description |
The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred to as the Climate Impact Assessment Model (ECLAC-CIAM) and is a tool that can simultaneously assess multiple sectoral climate impacts specific to the Caribbean as a whole and for individual countries. To achieve this goal, an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) with a Computable General Equilibrium Core was developed comprising of three modules to be executed sequentially. The first of these modules defines the type and magnitude of economic shocks on the basis of a climate change scenario, the second module is a global Computable General Equilibrium model with a special regional and industrial classification and the third module processes the output of the CGE model to get more disaggregated results. The model has the potential to produce several economic estimates but the current default results include percentage change in real national income for individual Caribbean states which provides a simple measure of welfare impacts. With some modifications, the model can also be used to consider the effects of single sectoral shocks such as (Land, Labour, Capital and Tourism) on the percentage change in real national income. Ultimately, the model is envisioned as an evolving tool for assessing the impact of climate change in the Caribbean and as a guide to policy responses with respect to adaptation strategies. |
author2 |
Australian Government (AusAID) |
author_facet |
Australian Government (AusAID) Roson, Roberto |
format |
Texto |
author |
Roson, Roberto |
author_sort |
Roson, Roberto |
title |
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
title_short |
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
title_full |
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
title_fullStr |
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model |
title_sort |
development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the caribbean: the eclac – ciam model |
publisher |
ECLAC |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38256 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT rosonroberto developmentofamodellingframeworkinsupportofanassessmentoftheeconomicandsocialimpactsofclimatechangeinthecaribbeantheeclacciammodel |
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1718434606939635712 |