Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model

The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred...

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Autor principal: Roson, Roberto
Otros Autores: Australian Government (AusAID)
Formato: Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: ECLAC 2015
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Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38256
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spelling oai-11362-382562020-03-06T16:50:27Z Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model Roson, Roberto Australian Government (AusAID) DESARROLLO ECONOMICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA FOMENTO DEL TURISMO CONSUMO DE ENERGIA SALUD PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO CAMBIO CLIMATICO CEPAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WATER SUPPLY TOURISM DEVELOPMENT ENERGY CONSUMPTION HEALTH DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES CLIMATE CHANGE ECLAC The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred to as the Climate Impact Assessment Model (ECLAC-CIAM) and is a tool that can simultaneously assess multiple sectoral climate impacts specific to the Caribbean as a whole and for individual countries. To achieve this goal, an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) with a Computable General Equilibrium Core was developed comprising of three modules to be executed sequentially. The first of these modules defines the type and magnitude of economic shocks on the basis of a climate change scenario, the second module is a global Computable General Equilibrium model with a special regional and industrial classification and the third module processes the output of the CGE model to get more disaggregated results. The model has the potential to produce several economic estimates but the current default results include percentage change in real national income for individual Caribbean states which provides a simple measure of welfare impacts. With some modifications, the model can also be used to consider the effects of single sectoral shocks such as (Land, Labour, Capital and Tourism) on the percentage change in real national income. Ultimately, the model is envisioned as an evolving tool for assessing the impact of climate change in the Caribbean and as a guide to policy responses with respect to adaptation strategies. .--I. Introduction.--II. Methodology.--III. An illustrative simulation exercise.--IV. Possible future development.--V. Using the model as a policy assessment tool. 2015-06-11T21:43:19Z 2015-06-11T21:43:19Z 2014-05 Texto Documento Completo http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38256 LC/L.3754 LC/CAR/L.418 en Studies and Perspectives Series – The Caribbean 30 .pdf application/pdf CARIBE CARIBBEAN REGION ECLAC
institution Cepal
collection Cepal
language English
topic DESARROLLO ECONOMICO
ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA
FOMENTO DEL TURISMO
CONSUMO DE ENERGIA
SALUD
PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO
CAMBIO CLIMATICO
CEPAL
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
WATER SUPPLY
TOURISM DEVELOPMENT
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
HEALTH
DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES
CLIMATE CHANGE
ECLAC
spellingShingle DESARROLLO ECONOMICO
ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA
FOMENTO DEL TURISMO
CONSUMO DE ENERGIA
SALUD
PAISES INSULARES EN DESARROLLO
CAMBIO CLIMATICO
CEPAL
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
WATER SUPPLY
TOURISM DEVELOPMENT
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
HEALTH
DEVELOPING ISLAND COUNTRIES
CLIMATE CHANGE
ECLAC
Roson, Roberto
Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
description The Caribbean region remains highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In order to assess the social and economic consequences of climate change for the region, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean( ECLAC) has developed a model for this purpose. The model is referred to as the Climate Impact Assessment Model (ECLAC-CIAM) and is a tool that can simultaneously assess multiple sectoral climate impacts specific to the Caribbean as a whole and for individual countries. To achieve this goal, an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) with a Computable General Equilibrium Core was developed comprising of three modules to be executed sequentially. The first of these modules defines the type and magnitude of economic shocks on the basis of a climate change scenario, the second module is a global Computable General Equilibrium model with a special regional and industrial classification and the third module processes the output of the CGE model to get more disaggregated results. The model has the potential to produce several economic estimates but the current default results include percentage change in real national income for individual Caribbean states which provides a simple measure of welfare impacts. With some modifications, the model can also be used to consider the effects of single sectoral shocks such as (Land, Labour, Capital and Tourism) on the percentage change in real national income. Ultimately, the model is envisioned as an evolving tool for assessing the impact of climate change in the Caribbean and as a guide to policy responses with respect to adaptation strategies.
author2 Australian Government (AusAID)
author_facet Australian Government (AusAID)
Roson, Roberto
format Texto
author Roson, Roberto
author_sort Roson, Roberto
title Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
title_short Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
title_full Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
title_fullStr Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
title_full_unstemmed Development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the Caribbean: the ECLAC – CIAM Model
title_sort development of a modelling framework in support of an assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change in the caribbean: the eclac – ciam model
publisher ECLAC
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38256
work_keys_str_mv AT rosonroberto developmentofamodellingframeworkinsupportofanassessmentoftheeconomicandsocialimpactsofclimatechangeinthecaribbeantheeclacciammodel
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