An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean

There are significant, fundamental changes taking place in global air and sea surface temperatures and sea levels. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change noted that many of the warmest years on the instrumental record of global surface temperatures have occurre...

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Autores principales: Moore, Winston, Gomes, Charmaine, Alleyne, Dillon, Phillips, Willard
Otros Autores: Australian AID
Formato: Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: ECLAC 2015
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Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38282
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spelling oai-11362-382822020-03-06T16:50:27Z An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean Moore, Winston Gomes, Charmaine Alleyne, Dillon Phillips, Willard Australian AID DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE CAMBIO CLIMATICO FOMENTO DEL TURISMO ANALISIS COSTO-BENEFICIO TURISMO INVESTIGACION ECONOMICA INVESTIGACION SOCIAL ASPECTOS ECONOMICOS ASPECTOS SOCIALES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE TOURISM DEVELOPMENT COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS TOURISM ECONOMIC RESEARCH SOCIAL RESEARCH ECONOMIC ASPECTS SOCIAL ASPECTS There are significant, fundamental changes taking place in global air and sea surface temperatures and sea levels. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change noted that many of the warmest years on the instrumental record of global surface temperatures have occurred within the last twelve years, i.e. 1995-2006 (IPCC, 2007). The Caribbean tourism product is particularly vulnerable to climate change. On the demand side, mitigation measures in other countries – for example, measures to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels – could have implications for airfares and cruise prices and, therefore, for the demand for travel, particularly to long-haul destinations such as the Caribbean (Clayton, 2009). On the supply side, sea level rise will cause beaches to disappear and damage coastal resorts. Changes in the frequency and severity of hurricanes are likely to magnify that damage. Other indirect impacts on the tourism product include rising insurance premiums and competition for water resources (Cashman, Cumberbatch, & Moore, 2012). The present report has used information on historic and future Caribbean climate data to calculate that the Caribbean tourism climatic index (TCI) ranges from −20 (impossible) to +100 (ideal). In addition to projections for the Caribbean, the report has produced TCI projections for the New York City area (specifically, Central Park), which have been used as comparators for Caribbean country projections. The conditions in the source market provide a benchmark against which visitors may judge their experience in the tourism destination. The historical and forecasted TCIs for the Caribbean under both the A2 and B2 climate scenarios of the IPCC suggest that climatic conditions in the Caribbean are expected to deteriorate, and are likely to become less conducive to tourism. More specifically, the greatest decline in the TCI is likely to occur during the northern hemisphere summer months from May to September. At the same time, the scenario analysis indicates that home conditions during the traditional tourist season (December – April) are likely to improve, which could make it more attractive for visitors from these markets to consider ‘staycations’ as an alternative to overseas trips. .--I. Introduction.--II. Review of the literature.--III. Methodology.--IV. Results.--V. Conclusions and recommendations. 2015-06-15T16:36:14Z 2015-06-15T16:36:14Z 2013-02 Texto Documento Completo http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38282 LC/CAR/L.394 en .pdf application/pdf CARIBE CARIBBEAN REGION ECLAC
institution Cepal
collection Cepal
language English
topic DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE
CAMBIO CLIMATICO
FOMENTO DEL TURISMO
ANALISIS COSTO-BENEFICIO
TURISMO
INVESTIGACION ECONOMICA
INVESTIGACION SOCIAL
ASPECTOS ECONOMICOS
ASPECTOS SOCIALES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE
TOURISM DEVELOPMENT
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
TOURISM
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
SOCIAL RESEARCH
ECONOMIC ASPECTS
SOCIAL ASPECTS
spellingShingle DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE
CAMBIO CLIMATICO
FOMENTO DEL TURISMO
ANALISIS COSTO-BENEFICIO
TURISMO
INVESTIGACION ECONOMICA
INVESTIGACION SOCIAL
ASPECTOS ECONOMICOS
ASPECTOS SOCIALES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE
TOURISM DEVELOPMENT
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
TOURISM
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
SOCIAL RESEARCH
ECONOMIC ASPECTS
SOCIAL ASPECTS
Moore, Winston
Gomes, Charmaine
Alleyne, Dillon
Phillips, Willard
An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
description There are significant, fundamental changes taking place in global air and sea surface temperatures and sea levels. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change noted that many of the warmest years on the instrumental record of global surface temperatures have occurred within the last twelve years, i.e. 1995-2006 (IPCC, 2007). The Caribbean tourism product is particularly vulnerable to climate change. On the demand side, mitigation measures in other countries – for example, measures to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels – could have implications for airfares and cruise prices and, therefore, for the demand for travel, particularly to long-haul destinations such as the Caribbean (Clayton, 2009). On the supply side, sea level rise will cause beaches to disappear and damage coastal resorts. Changes in the frequency and severity of hurricanes are likely to magnify that damage. Other indirect impacts on the tourism product include rising insurance premiums and competition for water resources (Cashman, Cumberbatch, & Moore, 2012). The present report has used information on historic and future Caribbean climate data to calculate that the Caribbean tourism climatic index (TCI) ranges from −20 (impossible) to +100 (ideal). In addition to projections for the Caribbean, the report has produced TCI projections for the New York City area (specifically, Central Park), which have been used as comparators for Caribbean country projections. The conditions in the source market provide a benchmark against which visitors may judge their experience in the tourism destination. The historical and forecasted TCIs for the Caribbean under both the A2 and B2 climate scenarios of the IPCC suggest that climatic conditions in the Caribbean are expected to deteriorate, and are likely to become less conducive to tourism. More specifically, the greatest decline in the TCI is likely to occur during the northern hemisphere summer months from May to September. At the same time, the scenario analysis indicates that home conditions during the traditional tourist season (December – April) are likely to improve, which could make it more attractive for visitors from these markets to consider ‘staycations’ as an alternative to overseas trips.
author2 Australian AID
author_facet Australian AID
Moore, Winston
Gomes, Charmaine
Alleyne, Dillon
Phillips, Willard
format Texto
author Moore, Winston
Gomes, Charmaine
Alleyne, Dillon
Phillips, Willard
author_sort Moore, Winston
title An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
title_short An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
title_full An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
title_fullStr An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
title_full_unstemmed An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
title_sort assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the caribbean
publisher ECLAC
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38282
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