The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean

This study econometrically analyses the projected impact of climate change on the water sector of nine Caribbean countries to 2100: Aruba, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Montserrat, Jamaica, Netherlands Antilles, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad and Tobago. Overall, all countries, with the excepti...

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Otros Autores:	NU. CEPAL. Sede Subregional para el Caribe
Formato:	Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	ECLAC, Subregional Headquarters for the Caribbean 2015
Materias:	DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE CAMBIO CLIMATICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA CONSERVACION DEL AGUA ORDENAMIENTO DE LAS AGUAS RECURSOS HIDRICOS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE WATER SUPPLY WATER CONSERVATION WATER MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES
Acceso en línea:	http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38329
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spelling	oai-11362-383292015-07-15T15:28:40Z The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean NU. CEPAL. Sede Subregional para el Caribe DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE CAMBIO CLIMATICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA CONSERVACION DEL AGUA ORDENAMIENTO DE LAS AGUAS RECURSOS HIDRICOS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE WATER SUPPLY WATER CONSERVATION WATER MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES This study econometrically analyses the projected impact of climate change on the water sector of nine Caribbean countries to 2100: Aruba, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Montserrat, Jamaica, Netherlands Antilles, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad and Tobago. Overall, all countries, with the exception of Trinidad and Tobago, are expected to suffer aggregate losses as result of climate change in the early periods ca. 2020 under one or more scenarios. Over time, some countries experience declining negative impacts, as in the case of Guyana under the B2 scenario. Some countries, such as the Dominican Republic, is projected to suffer increasing losses under the B2 scenario and, for others, the impacts do not follow a defined trend. The A2 scenario offers the best outcome for all countries, except Jamaica (where BAU is most desirable), Montserrat (which performs most poorly under the A2 scenario), and the Netherlands Antilles, which does best under the B2 case. Overall, relative to 2006, the total demand for water in the Caribbean is expected to fall by 2030 by 11.3% to approximately 12,967 million cubic meters. This is due to the expected fall in agricultural water demand by approximately 36% in that period. However, by 2050, total water demand for the Caribbean will again exceed the 2006 level by approximately 4% to 14,896.33 106 m3. By 2100, water demand will increase almost fivefold to approximately 69,233.69 106 m3. Climate change is expected to affect all countries in the Caribbean. In some cases, there will be positive impacts that may continue to increase over time and, in other cases, the impact will be negative and worsen over time. Overall, the agricultural sector is expected to suffer the worst losses over any scenario, whilst growth in the industrial sectors is expected to be significant and contribute the most to increasing water demand over time. 2015-06-18T15:55:28Z 2015-06-18T15:55:28Z 2010-05-20 Texto Documento Completo http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38329 LC/CAR/L.260 en .pdf application/pdf CARIBE CARIBBEAN REGION ECLAC, Subregional Headquarters for the Caribbean
institution	Cepal
collection	Cepal
language	English
topic	DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE CAMBIO CLIMATICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA CONSERVACION DEL AGUA ORDENAMIENTO DE LAS AGUAS RECURSOS HIDRICOS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE WATER SUPPLY WATER CONSERVATION WATER MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES
spellingShingle	DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE CAMBIO CLIMATICO ABASTECIMIENTO DE AGUA CONSERVACION DEL AGUA ORDENAMIENTO DE LAS AGUAS RECURSOS HIDRICOS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE WATER SUPPLY WATER CONSERVATION WATER MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
description	This study econometrically analyses the projected impact of climate change on the water sector of nine Caribbean countries to 2100: Aruba, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Montserrat, Jamaica, Netherlands Antilles, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad and Tobago. Overall, all countries, with the exception of Trinidad and Tobago, are expected to suffer aggregate losses as result of climate change in the early periods ca. 2020 under one or more scenarios. Over time, some countries experience declining negative impacts, as in the case of Guyana under the B2 scenario. Some countries, such as the Dominican Republic, is projected to suffer increasing losses under the B2 scenario and, for others, the impacts do not follow a defined trend. The A2 scenario offers the best outcome for all countries, except Jamaica (where BAU is most desirable), Montserrat (which performs most poorly under the A2 scenario), and the Netherlands Antilles, which does best under the B2 case. Overall, relative to 2006, the total demand for water in the Caribbean is expected to fall by 2030 by 11.3% to approximately 12,967 million cubic meters. This is due to the expected fall in agricultural water demand by approximately 36% in that period. However, by 2050, total water demand for the Caribbean will again exceed the 2006 level by approximately 4% to 14,896.33 106 m3. By 2100, water demand will increase almost fivefold to approximately 69,233.69 106 m3. Climate change is expected to affect all countries in the Caribbean. In some cases, there will be positive impacts that may continue to increase over time and, in other cases, the impact will be negative and worsen over time. Overall, the agricultural sector is expected to suffer the worst losses over any scenario, whilst growth in the industrial sectors is expected to be significant and contribute the most to increasing water demand over time.
author2	NU. CEPAL. Sede Subregional para el Caribe
author_facet	NU. CEPAL. Sede Subregional para el Caribe
format	Texto
title	The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
title_short	The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
title_full	The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
title_fullStr	The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
title_full_unstemmed	The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean
title_sort	impact of climate change on the water sector in the caribbean
publisher	ECLAC, Subregional Headquarters for the Caribbean
publishDate	2015
url	http://hdl.handle.net/11362/38329
_version_	1718442898941280256

The impact of climate change on the water sector in the Caribbean

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