Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach

Our previous work develops methods to study optimal policy in Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) models with forward-looking variables: models with conditionally linear dynamics and conditionally quadratic preferences, where the matrices in both preferences and dynamics are random (Svensson and Wil...

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Autores principales: Svensson, Lars E. O., Williams, Noah
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: Banco Central de Chile 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/3747
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spelling oai-20.500.12580-37472021-04-24T11:02:30Z Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach Svensson, Lars E. O. Williams, Noah POLÍTICA MONETARIA ECONOMÍA KEYNESIANA Our previous work develops methods to study optimal policy in Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) models with forward-looking variables: models with conditionally linear dynamics and conditionally quadratic preferences, where the matrices in both preferences and dynamics are random (Svensson and Williams, 2007a, 2007b). In particular, each model has multiple “modes”—a finite collection of different possible values for the matrices, whose evolution is governed by a finite-state Markov chain. In our previous work, we discuss how these modes could be structured to capture many different types of uncertainty relevant for policymakers. Here we put those suggestions into practice. We start by briefly discussing how an MJLQ model can be derived as a mode- dependent linear-quadratic approximation of an underlying nonlinear model, and we then apply our methods to a simple empirical mode-dependent New-Keynesian model of the U.S. economy, using a variant of a model by Lindé (2005). 2019-11-01T00:04:31Z 2019-11-01T00:04:31Z 2009 Artículo 978-956-7421-32-9 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/3747 eng Series on Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies, no. 13 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Chile http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/ .pdf Sección o Parte de un Documento p. 77-114 application/pdf Banco Central de Chile
institution Banco Central
collection Banco Central
language eng
topic POLÍTICA MONETARIA
ECONOMÍA KEYNESIANA
spellingShingle POLÍTICA MONETARIA
ECONOMÍA KEYNESIANA
Svensson, Lars E. O.
Williams, Noah
Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
description Our previous work develops methods to study optimal policy in Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) models with forward-looking variables: models with conditionally linear dynamics and conditionally quadratic preferences, where the matrices in both preferences and dynamics are random (Svensson and Williams, 2007a, 2007b). In particular, each model has multiple “modes”—a finite collection of different possible values for the matrices, whose evolution is governed by a finite-state Markov chain. In our previous work, we discuss how these modes could be structured to capture many different types of uncertainty relevant for policymakers. Here we put those suggestions into practice. We start by briefly discussing how an MJLQ model can be derived as a mode- dependent linear-quadratic approximation of an underlying nonlinear model, and we then apply our methods to a simple empirical mode-dependent New-Keynesian model of the U.S. economy, using a variant of a model by Lindé (2005).
format Artículo
author Svensson, Lars E. O.
Williams, Noah
author_facet Svensson, Lars E. O.
Williams, Noah
author_sort Svensson, Lars E. O.
title Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
title_short Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
title_full Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
title_fullStr Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
title_full_unstemmed Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in DSGE models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
title_sort optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in dsge models: a markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
publisher Banco Central de Chile
publishDate 2019
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/3747
work_keys_str_mv AT svenssonlarseo optimalmonetarypolicyunderuncertaintyindsgemodelsamarkovjumplinearquadraticapproach
AT williamsnoah optimalmonetarypolicyunderuncertaintyindsgemodelsamarkovjumplinearquadraticapproach
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