Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile

Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model implies that inflation increases after an unexpec...

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Autor principal: Pedersen, Michael
Formato: Nota de Investigación
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Banco Central de Chile 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4860
https://ideas.repec.org/a/chb/bcchni/v20y2017i1p072-079.html
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spelling oai-20.500.12580-48602021-04-24T20:40:06Z Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile Pedersen, Michael POLÍTICA MONETARIA INFLACIÓN PRECIOS Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model implies that inflation increases after an unexpected monetary shock. This is referred to as the price puzzle and was first noted by Sims (1992) for a number of industrialized countries. The present note revisits the price puzzle in Chile with data from 2002 to 2016. Even though the results are not statistically significant, they do show an interesting feature. In line with the main part of the earlier literature, inflation increases after an unexpected monetary shock in the pre-crises period suggesting the presence of a price puzzle in Chile. After the crisis, however, inflation decreases following a monetary shock. This is in contrast with earlier evidence for Chile suggesting that the price puzzle is no longer present. 2020-05-27T19:15:22Z 2020-05-27T19:15:22Z 2017-04 Nota de Investigación 0717-3830 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4860 https://ideas.repec.org/a/chb/bcchni/v20y2017i1p072-079.html en Economía chilena, vol. 20, no. 1 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Chile Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Chile http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/ .pdf Sección o Parte de un Documento p. 072-079 application/pdf CHILE Banco Central de Chile
institution Banco Central
collection Banco Central
language English
topic POLÍTICA MONETARIA
INFLACIÓN
PRECIOS
spellingShingle POLÍTICA MONETARIA
INFLACIÓN
PRECIOS
Pedersen, Michael
Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
description Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model implies that inflation increases after an unexpected monetary shock. This is referred to as the price puzzle and was first noted by Sims (1992) for a number of industrialized countries. The present note revisits the price puzzle in Chile with data from 2002 to 2016. Even though the results are not statistically significant, they do show an interesting feature. In line with the main part of the earlier literature, inflation increases after an unexpected monetary shock in the pre-crises period suggesting the presence of a price puzzle in Chile. After the crisis, however, inflation decreases following a monetary shock. This is in contrast with earlier evidence for Chile suggesting that the price puzzle is no longer present.
format Nota de Investigación
author Pedersen, Michael
author_facet Pedersen, Michael
author_sort Pedersen, Michael
title Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
title_short Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
title_full Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
title_fullStr Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
title_sort revisiting the price puzzle in chile
publisher Banco Central de Chile
publishDate 2020
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4860
https://ideas.repec.org/a/chb/bcchni/v20y2017i1p072-079.html
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