Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area

A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years. Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation, requires statist...

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Autores principales: Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Banco Central de Chile 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4886
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spelling oai-20.500.12580-48862021-04-24T12:37:02Z Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area Stock, James H. Watson, Mark W. INFLACIÓN POLÍTICA MONETARIA A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years. Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation, requires statistical methods to extract the inflation “signal” from the noise. The task of measuring trend inflation is further complicated by the large seasonal fluctuations in many prices, so that attempts to estimate core or trend inflation at a frequency higher than annual must additionally either use seasonally adjusted data or undertake seasonal adjustment as part of the effort to measure trend inflation. A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years. Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation, requires statistical methods to extract the inflation “signal” from the noise. The task of measuring trend inflation is further complicated by the large seasonal fluctuations in many prices, so that attempts to estimate core or trend inflation at a frequency higher than annual must additionally either use seasonally adjusted data or undertake seasonal adjustment as part of the effort to measure trend inflation. 2020-09-30T19:51:53Z 2020-09-30T19:51:53Z 2020 Artículo 978-956-7421-67-1 978-956-7421-68-8 (pdf) https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4886 en Series on Central Banking Analysis and Economic Policies no. 27 Serie Banca Central, análisis y políticas económicas, no. 27 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Chile http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/ .pdf Sección o Parte de un Documento p. 317-344 application/pdf Banco Central de Chile
institution Banco Central
collection Banco Central
language English
topic INFLACIÓN
POLÍTICA MONETARIA
spellingShingle INFLACIÓN
POLÍTICA MONETARIA
Stock, James H.
Watson, Mark W.
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
description A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years. Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation, requires statistical methods to extract the inflation “signal” from the noise. The task of measuring trend inflation is further complicated by the large seasonal fluctuations in many prices, so that attempts to estimate core or trend inflation at a frequency higher than annual must additionally either use seasonally adjusted data or undertake seasonal adjustment as part of the effort to measure trend inflation.
format Artículo
author Stock, James H.
Watson, Mark W.
author_facet Stock, James H.
Watson, Mark W.
author_sort Stock, James H.
title Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
title_short Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
title_full Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
title_fullStr Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
title_full_unstemmed Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
title_sort trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the euro area
publisher Banco Central de Chile
publishDate 2020
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/4886
work_keys_str_mv AT stockjamesh trendseasonalandsectorialinflationintheeuroarea
AT watsonmarkw trendseasonalandsectorialinflationintheeuroarea
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