Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy
For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable excha...
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Banco Central de Chile
2021
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oai-20.500.12580-61382021-10-19T16:01:20Z Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy Bianchi, Francesco INFLACIÓN TIPO DE CAMBIO POLÍTICA MONETARIA POLÍTICA FISCAL For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange rate requires a certain level of coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities. This paper builds on recent advancements in the literature on monetary-fiscal policy interaction to formalize this idea. We study the origins of fiscal inflation, the possibility of stagflation as a result of policy uncertainty, and the role of default on sovereign debt crises that stem from lack of fiscal discipline. We then use the model to interpret the different periods of the Chilean economic history starting from the 1960s. For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange rate requires a certain level of coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities. This paper builds on recent advancements in the literature on monetary-fiscal policy interaction to formalize this idea. We study the origins of fiscal inflation, the possibility of stagflation as a result of policy uncertainty, and the role of default on sovereign debt crises that stem from lack of fiscal discipline. We then use the model to interpret the different periods of the Chilean economic history starting from the 1960s. 2021-10-19T15:56:34Z 2021-10-19T15:56:34Z 2021-10 Artículo 978-956-7421-69-5 978-956-7421-70-1 (pdf) 0717-6686 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/6138 en Series on Central Banking Analysis and Economic Policies; no. 28 Serie Banca Central, análisis y políticas económicas; no. 28 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Chile http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/cl/ .pdf Sección o Parte de un Documento p. 185-228 application/pdf Banco Central de Chile |
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Banco Central |
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Banco Central |
language |
English |
topic |
INFLACIÓN TIPO DE CAMBIO POLÍTICA MONETARIA POLÍTICA FISCAL |
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INFLACIÓN TIPO DE CAMBIO POLÍTICA MONETARIA POLÍTICA FISCAL Bianchi, Francesco Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
description |
For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange rate requires a certain level of coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities. This paper builds on recent advancements in the literature on monetary-fiscal policy interaction to formalize this idea. We study the origins of fiscal inflation, the possibility of stagflation as a result of policy uncertainty, and the role of default on sovereign debt crises that stem from lack of fiscal discipline. We then use the model to interpret the different periods of the Chilean economic history starting from the 1960s. |
format |
Artículo |
author |
Bianchi, Francesco |
author_facet |
Bianchi, Francesco |
author_sort |
Bianchi, Francesco |
title |
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
title_short |
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
title_full |
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
title_fullStr |
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
title_full_unstemmed |
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
title_sort |
fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy |
publisher |
Banco Central de Chile |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/6138 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT bianchifrancesco fiscalinflationandcosmeticdefaultsinasmallopeneconomy |
_version_ |
1718433340741124096 |