Análisis prospectivo en la toma de decisiones: políticas de gestión del riesgo de desastres para la adaptación al cambio climático
The purpose of the investigation was to formulate a proposal of a theoretical model through prospective analysis that that allows decision making on disaster risk management policies to adaptation to climate change, basedt on the Management by Results approach. For it, used the complementary design...
Guardado en:
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | text (thesis) |
| Lenguaje: | spa |
| Publicado: |
Universidad César Vallejo (Perú)
2020
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/oaites?codigo=282361 |
| Etiquetas: |
Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
|
| Sumario: | The purpose of the investigation was to formulate a proposal of a theoretical model through prospective analysis that that allows decision making on disaster risk management policies to adaptation to climate change, basedt on the Management by Results approach. For it, used the complementary design of concurrent triangulation. The present study was considerate of theoretical type, typifying it according to your depth level in predictive and for the type of preferably qualitative datas.The technique of documentary analysis and scenario analysis was applied, with his instruments checklistsand structural matrix respectively; It is concluded that the impact of climate comes change been generating alarming losses of life and materials, the floods, wind storms and earthquakes are the more frequent at worldwide level. There are general guidelines on disaster risk management policies at the level national, those which are not effective, every time we are victims we remain more vulnerable, the absence of leadership, of control, monitoring and the frequent acts of corruption of officials contributeto the inefficacy. A methodological design was also developed for prospective research because, at present, public management in Peru and in many countries of the world, governments lack instruments and strategies for decision-making. An analysis of future scenarios was carried out using the prospective methodology to decide the key variables, those that are shown according to order of priorities, droughts, floods and waterfalls that must be addressed by decision makers and propose risk management policiesthrough results management model. In the investigation they have intervened 9 professionals involved in decision making and academics a level national and international |
|---|