A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning

Abstract As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle the climate crisis. Indeed, being universal nonlinear...

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Autores principales: Federico Amato, Fabian Guignard, Sylvain Robert, Mikhail Kanevski
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0057d3821f644db5b0eb8fbd457f41e3
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0057d3821f644db5b0eb8fbd457f41e32021-12-02T11:57:58ZA novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning10.1038/s41598-020-79148-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/0057d3821f644db5b0eb8fbd457f41e32020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-79148-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle the climate crisis. Indeed, being universal nonlinear function approximation tools, Machine Learning algorithms are efficient in analysing and modelling spatially and temporally variable environmental data. While Deep Learning models have proved to be able to capture spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal dependencies through their automatic feature representation learning, the problem of the interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields measured on a set of irregular points in space is still under-investigated. To fill this gap, we introduce here a framework for spatio-temporal prediction of climate and environmental data using deep learning. Specifically, we show how spatio-temporal processes can be decomposed in terms of a sum of products of temporally referenced basis functions, and of stochastic spatial coefficients which can be spatially modelled and mapped on a regular grid, allowing the reconstruction of the complete spatio-temporal signal. Applications on two case studies based on simulated and real-world data will show the effectiveness of the proposed framework in modelling coherent spatio-temporal fields.Federico AmatoFabian GuignardSylvain RobertMikhail KanevskiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Federico Amato
Fabian Guignard
Sylvain Robert
Mikhail Kanevski
A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
description Abstract As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle the climate crisis. Indeed, being universal nonlinear function approximation tools, Machine Learning algorithms are efficient in analysing and modelling spatially and temporally variable environmental data. While Deep Learning models have proved to be able to capture spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal dependencies through their automatic feature representation learning, the problem of the interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields measured on a set of irregular points in space is still under-investigated. To fill this gap, we introduce here a framework for spatio-temporal prediction of climate and environmental data using deep learning. Specifically, we show how spatio-temporal processes can be decomposed in terms of a sum of products of temporally referenced basis functions, and of stochastic spatial coefficients which can be spatially modelled and mapped on a regular grid, allowing the reconstruction of the complete spatio-temporal signal. Applications on two case studies based on simulated and real-world data will show the effectiveness of the proposed framework in modelling coherent spatio-temporal fields.
format article
author Federico Amato
Fabian Guignard
Sylvain Robert
Mikhail Kanevski
author_facet Federico Amato
Fabian Guignard
Sylvain Robert
Mikhail Kanevski
author_sort Federico Amato
title A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
title_short A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
title_full A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
title_fullStr A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
title_full_unstemmed A novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
title_sort novel framework for spatio-temporal prediction of environmental data using deep learning
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/0057d3821f644db5b0eb8fbd457f41e3
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