Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change

A substantial portion of model uncertainty arises from model parameters and structures. Here, the authors show that alternative model structures with data-driven parameters project greater uncertainty in soil carbon responses to climate change than the conventional soil carbon model.

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Autores principales: Zheng Shi, Sean Crowell, Yiqi Luo, Berrien Moore
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0172f11a3f74455a885dbbd1a2994420
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0172f11a3f74455a885dbbd1a29944202021-12-02T16:56:59ZModel structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change10.1038/s41467-018-04526-92041-1723https://doaj.org/article/0172f11a3f74455a885dbbd1a29944202018-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04526-9https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723A substantial portion of model uncertainty arises from model parameters and structures. Here, the authors show that alternative model structures with data-driven parameters project greater uncertainty in soil carbon responses to climate change than the conventional soil carbon model.Zheng ShiSean CrowellYiqi LuoBerrien MooreNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 9, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Zheng Shi
Sean Crowell
Yiqi Luo
Berrien Moore
Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
description A substantial portion of model uncertainty arises from model parameters and structures. Here, the authors show that alternative model structures with data-driven parameters project greater uncertainty in soil carbon responses to climate change than the conventional soil carbon model.
format article
author Zheng Shi
Sean Crowell
Yiqi Luo
Berrien Moore
author_facet Zheng Shi
Sean Crowell
Yiqi Luo
Berrien Moore
author_sort Zheng Shi
title Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
title_short Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
title_full Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
title_fullStr Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
title_full_unstemmed Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
title_sort model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/0172f11a3f74455a885dbbd1a2994420
work_keys_str_mv AT zhengshi modelstructuresamplifyuncertaintyinpredictedsoilcarbonresponsestoclimatechange
AT seancrowell modelstructuresamplifyuncertaintyinpredictedsoilcarbonresponsestoclimatechange
AT yiqiluo modelstructuresamplifyuncertaintyinpredictedsoilcarbonresponsestoclimatechange
AT berrienmoore modelstructuresamplifyuncertaintyinpredictedsoilcarbonresponsestoclimatechange
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