Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon

The Far North Region of Cameroon, a high risk cholera endemic region, has been experiencing serious and recurrent cholera outbreaks in recent years. Cholera outbreaks in this region are associated with cultural practices (traditional and religious beliefs). In this paper, we introduce a mathematical...

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Autores principales:	Eric Che, Eric Numfor, Suzanne Lenhart, Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	AIMS Press 2021
Materias:	cultural practices ode cholera model cholera data far north region of cameroon Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/018b02ff669c4d21b6159982154da915
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:018b02ff669c4d21b6159982154da9152021-11-24T01:22:05ZMathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon10.3934/mbe.20214151551-0018https://doaj.org/article/018b02ff669c4d21b6159982154da9152021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021415?viewType=HTMLhttps://doaj.org/toc/1551-0018The Far North Region of Cameroon, a high risk cholera endemic region, has been experiencing serious and recurrent cholera outbreaks in recent years. Cholera outbreaks in this region are associated with cultural practices (traditional and religious beliefs). In this paper, we introduce a mathematical model of the influence of cultural practices on the dynamics of cholera in the Far North Region. Our model is an SEIR type model with a pathogen class and multiple susceptible classes based on traditional and religious beliefs. Using daily reported cholera cases from three health districts (Kaélé, Kar Hay and Moutourwa) in the Far North Region from June 25, 2019 to August 16, 2019, we estimate parameter values of our model and use Akaike information criterion (AIC) to demonstrate that our model gives a good fit for our data on cholera cases. We use sensitivity analysis to study the impact of each model parameter on the threshold parameter (control reproduction number), $ \mathcal{R}_c $, and the number of model predicted cholera cases. Finally, we investigate the effect of cultural practices on the number of cholera cases in the region. Eric CheEric NumforSuzanne LenhartAbdul-Aziz YakubuAIMS Pressarticlecultural practicesode cholera modelcholera datafar north region of cameroonBiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 18, Iss 6, Pp 8374-8391 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	cultural practices ode cholera model cholera data far north region of cameroon Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939
spellingShingle	cultural practices ode cholera model cholera data far north region of cameroon Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939 Eric Che Eric Numfor Suzanne Lenhart Abdul-Aziz Yakubu Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
description	The Far North Region of Cameroon, a high risk cholera endemic region, has been experiencing serious and recurrent cholera outbreaks in recent years. Cholera outbreaks in this region are associated with cultural practices (traditional and religious beliefs). In this paper, we introduce a mathematical model of the influence of cultural practices on the dynamics of cholera in the Far North Region. Our model is an SEIR type model with a pathogen class and multiple susceptible classes based on traditional and religious beliefs. Using daily reported cholera cases from three health districts (Kaélé, Kar Hay and Moutourwa) in the Far North Region from June 25, 2019 to August 16, 2019, we estimate parameter values of our model and use Akaike information criterion (AIC) to demonstrate that our model gives a good fit for our data on cholera cases. We use sensitivity analysis to study the impact of each model parameter on the threshold parameter (control reproduction number), $ \mathcal{R}_c $, and the number of model predicted cholera cases. Finally, we investigate the effect of cultural practices on the number of cholera cases in the region.
format	article
author	Eric Che Eric Numfor Suzanne Lenhart Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
author_facet	Eric Che Eric Numfor Suzanne Lenhart Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
author_sort	Eric Che
title	Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
title_short	Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
title_full	Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
title_fullStr	Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
title_full_unstemmed	Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon
title_sort	mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in cameroon
publisher	AIMS Press
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/018b02ff669c4d21b6159982154da915
work_keys_str_mv	AT ericche mathematicalmodelingoftheinfluenceofculturalpracticesoncholerainfectionsincameroon AT ericnumfor mathematicalmodelingoftheinfluenceofculturalpracticesoncholerainfectionsincameroon AT suzannelenhart mathematicalmodelingoftheinfluenceofculturalpracticesoncholerainfectionsincameroon AT abdulazizyakubu mathematicalmodelingoftheinfluenceofculturalpracticesoncholerainfectionsincameroon
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Mathematical modeling of the influence of cultural practices on cholera infections in Cameroon

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