Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children

Abstract Background Septic shock is the most severe complication of sepsis, and is a major cause of childhood mortality, constituting a heavy public health burden. Methods We analyzed the gene expression profiles of septic shock and control samples from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Four differ...

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Autores principales: Yujie Han, Lili Kang, Xianghong Liu, Yuanhua Zhuang, Xiao Chen, Xiaoying Li
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/01dd80d3d594484c94d0ba87f4b528de
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:01dd80d3d594484c94d0ba87f4b528de2021-11-14T12:10:58ZEstablishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children10.1186/s41065-021-00206-91601-5223https://doaj.org/article/01dd80d3d594484c94d0ba87f4b528de2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s41065-021-00206-9https://doaj.org/toc/1601-5223Abstract Background Septic shock is the most severe complication of sepsis, and is a major cause of childhood mortality, constituting a heavy public health burden. Methods We analyzed the gene expression profiles of septic shock and control samples from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Four differentially expressed genes (DEGs) from survivor and control groups, non-survivor and control groups, and survivor and non-survivor groups were selected. We used data about these genes to establish a logistic regression model for predicting the survival of septic shock patients. Results Leave-one-out cross validation and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that this model had good accuracy. Differential expression and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) between septic shock patients stratified by prediction score indicated that the systemic lupus erythematosus pathway was activated, while the limonene and pinene degradation pathways were inactivated in the high score group. Conclusions Our study provides a novel approach for the prediction of the severity of pathology in septic shock patients, which are significant for personalized treatment as well as prognostic assessment.Yujie HanLili KangXianghong LiuYuanhua ZhuangXiao ChenXiaoying LiBMCarticleSeptic shockLogistic regression modelSurvivalSystemic lupus erythematosus pathwayLimonene and pinene degradation pathwayGeneticsQH426-470ENHereditas, Vol 158, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Septic shock
Logistic regression model
Survival
Systemic lupus erythematosus pathway
Limonene and pinene degradation pathway
Genetics
QH426-470
spellingShingle Septic shock
Logistic regression model
Survival
Systemic lupus erythematosus pathway
Limonene and pinene degradation pathway
Genetics
QH426-470
Yujie Han
Lili Kang
Xianghong Liu
Yuanhua Zhuang
Xiao Chen
Xiaoying Li
Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
description Abstract Background Septic shock is the most severe complication of sepsis, and is a major cause of childhood mortality, constituting a heavy public health burden. Methods We analyzed the gene expression profiles of septic shock and control samples from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Four differentially expressed genes (DEGs) from survivor and control groups, non-survivor and control groups, and survivor and non-survivor groups were selected. We used data about these genes to establish a logistic regression model for predicting the survival of septic shock patients. Results Leave-one-out cross validation and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that this model had good accuracy. Differential expression and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) between septic shock patients stratified by prediction score indicated that the systemic lupus erythematosus pathway was activated, while the limonene and pinene degradation pathways were inactivated in the high score group. Conclusions Our study provides a novel approach for the prediction of the severity of pathology in septic shock patients, which are significant for personalized treatment as well as prognostic assessment.
format article
author Yujie Han
Lili Kang
Xianghong Liu
Yuanhua Zhuang
Xiao Chen
Xiaoying Li
author_facet Yujie Han
Lili Kang
Xianghong Liu
Yuanhua Zhuang
Xiao Chen
Xiaoying Li
author_sort Yujie Han
title Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
title_short Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
title_full Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
title_fullStr Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
title_full_unstemmed Establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
title_sort establishment and validation of a logistic regression model for prediction of septic shock severity in children
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/01dd80d3d594484c94d0ba87f4b528de
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AT yuanhuazhuang establishmentandvalidationofalogisticregressionmodelforpredictionofsepticshockseverityinchildren
AT xiaochen establishmentandvalidationofalogisticregressionmodelforpredictionofsepticshockseverityinchildren
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