A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond

Dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in India are different from other countries for her huge population and different administrative approaches. This paper presents a six compartments (SHIQRD) model with different time delays between them, to analyse and forecast the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The model...

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Autores principales:	Avishek Adhikary, Avijit Pal
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Elsevier 2022
Materias:	COVID-19 India Time delay model Quarantine Undetected infectious Reproduction number Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/0215e1796d884d5ca595c353e44eb078
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:0215e1796d884d5ca595c353e44eb078
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:0215e1796d884d5ca595c353e44eb0782021-11-18T04:45:17ZA six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond1110-016810.1016/j.aej.2021.06.027https://doaj.org/article/0215e1796d884d5ca595c353e44eb0782022-02-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016821003884https://doaj.org/toc/1110-0168Dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in India are different from other countries for her huge population and different administrative approaches. This paper presents a six compartments (SHIQRD) model with different time delays between them, to analyse and forecast the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The model introduces separate compartments for ‘home-quarantined’, ‘quarantined infectious’, and ‘undetected infectious’ pertaining to the Indian scenario. It also incorporates incubation time, sample testing time, and recovery window as time delays between blocks. With the proposed model, reproduction number of different phases during lock-down are evaluated. Besides, dynamics of pandemic for the next one year are also explored.Avishek AdhikaryAvijit PalElsevierarticleCOVID-19IndiaTime delay modelQuarantineUndetected infectiousReproduction numberEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENAlexandria Engineering Journal, Vol 61, Iss 2, Pp 1403-1412 (2022)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	COVID-19 India Time delay model Quarantine Undetected infectious Reproduction number Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040
spellingShingle	COVID-19 India Time delay model Quarantine Undetected infectious Reproduction number Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 Avishek Adhikary Avijit Pal A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
description	Dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in India are different from other countries for her huge population and different administrative approaches. This paper presents a six compartments (SHIQRD) model with different time delays between them, to analyse and forecast the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The model introduces separate compartments for ‘home-quarantined’, ‘quarantined infectious’, and ‘undetected infectious’ pertaining to the Indian scenario. It also incorporates incubation time, sample testing time, and recovery window as time delays between blocks. With the proposed model, reproduction number of different phases during lock-down are evaluated. Besides, dynamics of pandemic for the next one year are also explored.
format	article
author	Avishek Adhikary Avijit Pal
author_facet	Avishek Adhikary Avijit Pal
author_sort	Avishek Adhikary
title	A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
title_short	A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
title_full	A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
title_fullStr	A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
title_full_unstemmed	A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
title_sort	six compartments with time-delay model shiqrd for the covid-19 pandemic in india: during lockdown and beyond
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2022
url	https://doaj.org/article/0215e1796d884d5ca595c353e44eb078
work_keys_str_mv	AT avishekadhikary asixcompartmentswithtimedelaymodelshiqrdforthecovid19pandemicinindiaduringlockdownandbeyond AT avijitpal asixcompartmentswithtimedelaymodelshiqrdforthecovid19pandemicinindiaduringlockdownandbeyond AT avishekadhikary sixcompartmentswithtimedelaymodelshiqrdforthecovid19pandemicinindiaduringlockdownandbeyond AT avijitpal sixcompartmentswithtimedelaymodelshiqrdforthecovid19pandemicinindiaduringlockdownandbeyond
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A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond

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