PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS

Procedure of an economic and political situation current through the situation at the world oil marketforecasting is offered in the article. The compact mathematical model of cycling market fluctuations is the basis of thetechnique. The model allows splitting changes in market conditions caused by t...

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Autor principal: V. F. Artyushkin
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
RU
Publicado: MGIMO University Press 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0299b5e5110640b7888725718947ca4e
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0299b5e5110640b7888725718947ca4e2021-11-23T14:50:54ZPROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS2071-81602541-909910.24833/2071-8160-2013-4-31-38-42https://doaj.org/article/0299b5e5110640b7888725718947ca4e2013-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/1263https://doaj.org/toc/2071-8160https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9099Procedure of an economic and political situation current through the situation at the world oil marketforecasting is offered in the article. The compact mathematical model of cycling market fluctuations is the basis of thetechnique. The model allows splitting changes in market conditions caused by the economic and political reasons.This makes it possible to present the dynamics of the situation as the sum of two components, which are economicallyand politically induced. The model provides a forecast of the market economic components. These componentsforecast are made on the basis of world energy, economic and political situation scenarios. Retrospective analysisof relationship of economic conditions and political processes and how market conditions affect the economic andpolitical situation in the world in the past helps scenarios development. The results of techniques using for time andcharacters of next world crisis are presented in the article.V. F. ArtyushkinMGIMO University Pressarticlethe energy policycurrent situation at the world oil marketmodelingeconomic forecastingpolitical forecastingInternational relationsJZ2-6530ENRUVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, Vol 0, Iss 4(31), Pp 38-42 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
RU
topic the energy policy
current situation at the world oil market
modeling
economic forecasting
political forecasting
International relations
JZ2-6530
spellingShingle the energy policy
current situation at the world oil market
modeling
economic forecasting
political forecasting
International relations
JZ2-6530
V. F. Artyushkin
PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
description Procedure of an economic and political situation current through the situation at the world oil marketforecasting is offered in the article. The compact mathematical model of cycling market fluctuations is the basis of thetechnique. The model allows splitting changes in market conditions caused by the economic and political reasons.This makes it possible to present the dynamics of the situation as the sum of two components, which are economicallyand politically induced. The model provides a forecast of the market economic components. These componentsforecast are made on the basis of world energy, economic and political situation scenarios. Retrospective analysisof relationship of economic conditions and political processes and how market conditions affect the economic andpolitical situation in the world in the past helps scenarios development. The results of techniques using for time andcharacters of next world crisis are presented in the article.
format article
author V. F. Artyushkin
author_facet V. F. Artyushkin
author_sort V. F. Artyushkin
title PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
title_short PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
title_full PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
title_fullStr PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
title_full_unstemmed PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
title_sort prospects for the second wave of the global financial and econovic crisis
publisher MGIMO University Press
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/0299b5e5110640b7888725718947ca4e
work_keys_str_mv AT vfartyushkin prospectsforthesecondwaveoftheglobalfinancialandeconoviccrisis
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