The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study

Abstract Objective To assess the clinical practicability of the ensemble learning model established by Liu et al. in estimating glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and validate whether it is a better model than the Asian modified Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation in a...

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Autores principales: Li Zhao, Jing-jing Zhang, Xin Tian, Jian-min Huang, Peng Xie, Xiang-zhou Li
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:03abed7134e440cab19871b44f8ea3922021-11-14T12:43:41ZThe ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study10.1186/s12882-021-02595-51471-2369https://doaj.org/article/03abed7134e440cab19871b44f8ea3922021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12882-021-02595-5https://doaj.org/toc/1471-2369Abstract Objective To assess the clinical practicability of the ensemble learning model established by Liu et al. in estimating glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and validate whether it is a better model than the Asian modified Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation in a cohort of Chinese chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients in an external validation study. Methods According to the ensemble learning model and the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation, we calculated estimated GFRensemble and GFRCKD-EPI, separately. Diagnostic performance of the two models was assessed and compared by correlation coefficient, regression equation, Bland–Altman analysis, bias, precision and P30 under the premise of 99mTc-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (99mTc-DTPA) dual plasma sample clearance method as reference method for GFR measurement (mGFR). Results A total of 158 Chinese CKD patients were included in our external validation study. The GFRensemble was highly related with mGFR, with the correlation coefficient of 0.94. However, regression equation of GFRensemble = 0.66*mGFR + 23.05, the regression coefficient was far away from one, and the intercept was wide. Compared with the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation, the diagnostic performance of the ensemble learning model also demonstrated a wider 95% limit of agreement in Bland-Altman analysis (52.6 vs 42.4 ml/min/1.73 m2), a poorer bias (8.0 vs 1.0 ml/min/1.73 m2, P = 0.02), an inferior precision (18.4 vs 12.7 ml/min/1.73 m2, P < 0.001) and a lower P30 (58.9% vs 74.1%, P < 0.001). Conclusions Our study showed that the ensemble learning model cannot replace the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for the first choice for GFR estimation in overall Chinese CKD patients.Li ZhaoJing-jing ZhangXin TianJian-min HuangPeng XieXiang-zhou LiBMCarticleChronic kidney disease (CKD)Glomerular filtration rate (GFR)Asian modified CKD-EPI equationEnsemble learning modelDiseases of the genitourinary system. UrologyRC870-923ENBMC Nephrology, Vol 22, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Chronic kidney disease (CKD)
Glomerular filtration rate (GFR)
Asian modified CKD-EPI equation
Ensemble learning model
Diseases of the genitourinary system. Urology
RC870-923
spellingShingle Chronic kidney disease (CKD)
Glomerular filtration rate (GFR)
Asian modified CKD-EPI equation
Ensemble learning model
Diseases of the genitourinary system. Urology
RC870-923
Li Zhao
Jing-jing Zhang
Xin Tian
Jian-min Huang
Peng Xie
Xiang-zhou Li
The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
description Abstract Objective To assess the clinical practicability of the ensemble learning model established by Liu et al. in estimating glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and validate whether it is a better model than the Asian modified Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation in a cohort of Chinese chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients in an external validation study. Methods According to the ensemble learning model and the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation, we calculated estimated GFRensemble and GFRCKD-EPI, separately. Diagnostic performance of the two models was assessed and compared by correlation coefficient, regression equation, Bland–Altman analysis, bias, precision and P30 under the premise of 99mTc-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (99mTc-DTPA) dual plasma sample clearance method as reference method for GFR measurement (mGFR). Results A total of 158 Chinese CKD patients were included in our external validation study. The GFRensemble was highly related with mGFR, with the correlation coefficient of 0.94. However, regression equation of GFRensemble = 0.66*mGFR + 23.05, the regression coefficient was far away from one, and the intercept was wide. Compared with the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation, the diagnostic performance of the ensemble learning model also demonstrated a wider 95% limit of agreement in Bland-Altman analysis (52.6 vs 42.4 ml/min/1.73 m2), a poorer bias (8.0 vs 1.0 ml/min/1.73 m2, P = 0.02), an inferior precision (18.4 vs 12.7 ml/min/1.73 m2, P < 0.001) and a lower P30 (58.9% vs 74.1%, P < 0.001). Conclusions Our study showed that the ensemble learning model cannot replace the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for the first choice for GFR estimation in overall Chinese CKD patients.
format article
author Li Zhao
Jing-jing Zhang
Xin Tian
Jian-min Huang
Peng Xie
Xiang-zhou Li
author_facet Li Zhao
Jing-jing Zhang
Xin Tian
Jian-min Huang
Peng Xie
Xiang-zhou Li
author_sort Li Zhao
title The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
title_short The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
title_full The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
title_fullStr The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
title_full_unstemmed The ensemble learning model is not better than the Asian modified CKD-EPI equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in Chinese CKD patients in the external validation study
title_sort ensemble learning model is not better than the asian modified ckd-epi equation for glomerular filtration rate estimation in chinese ckd patients in the external validation study
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/03abed7134e440cab19871b44f8ea392
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