RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY

The processes of natural and mechanical movement of the population observed in the Transbaikal Territory in the past two decades testify to the extremely negative trends in the formation of the demographic potential of the region. Among these trends the following ones should be primarily named: low...

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Autor principal:	N. V. Soldatova
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Scientific Сentre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems 2013
Materias:	fertility migration factors demography taxonomy correlation Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/03eb94f3d823452082844a15f169617f
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:03eb94f3d823452082844a15f169617f2021-11-23T06:14:28ZRESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY2541-94202587-9596https://doaj.org/article/03eb94f3d823452082844a15f169617f2013-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.actabiomedica.ru/jour/article/view/1586https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9420https://doaj.org/toc/2587-9596The processes of natural and mechanical movement of the population observed in the Transbaikal Territory in the past two decades testify to the extremely negative trends in the formation of the demographic potential of the region. Among these trends the following ones should be primarily named: low birth rate, high mortality rate, especially among men of working age, steady decrease in the proportion of rural population in the total population of the region, which is very unfavorable effect on reproduction (fertility in rural areas up to 1,3-1,4 times higher than in urban areas). The share of persons of retirement age increases. Negative changes occur in the family institution: increasing desire for small families. The attitude related to marriage and marital status changes: the stability of married unions decrease. The out-migration enhances, which entails, even natural growth, decline in population. These circumstances do not meet the economic and geopolitical interests. For investigation the factors affecting reproductive behavior in the Transbaikal Territory, the taxonomic method of multivariate analysis and the correlation analysis have been applied. Six groups of factors have been formed, which include: a healthy way of life, education, economic factors, habitat, social and domestic factors, social stability and moral-psychological factors. Results indicated that the greatest impact on the birth rate by factors: "Early childhood education" (r = 0,87); «Spiritual and moral education» (r = 0,76), «Housing Affordability» (r = -0,7) (for describing factor chosen as destabilizing indicators such as the proportion of families standing on the account, as in need of accommodation, the percentage of families, who have expressed a desire to participate in the sub-program "Housing for young families", but didn't get help), "Safety and the level of crime" (r = -0,52); "Material well-being" (r = -0,45). In 2013 the Russian Government approved the State Program of Russian Federation "Socio-economic development of the Far East and the Baikal region". Implementation of the program can be successful only on condition of the normalization of demographic trends and social conditions.N. V. SoldatovaScientific Сentre for Family Health and Human Reproduction ProblemsarticlefertilitymigrationfactorsdemographytaxonomycorrelationScienceQRUActa Biomedica Scientifica, Vol 0, Iss 3(1), Pp 149-152 (2013)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	fertility migration factors demography taxonomy correlation Science Q
spellingShingle	fertility migration factors demography taxonomy correlation Science Q N. V. Soldatova RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
description	The processes of natural and mechanical movement of the population observed in the Transbaikal Territory in the past two decades testify to the extremely negative trends in the formation of the demographic potential of the region. Among these trends the following ones should be primarily named: low birth rate, high mortality rate, especially among men of working age, steady decrease in the proportion of rural population in the total population of the region, which is very unfavorable effect on reproduction (fertility in rural areas up to 1,3-1,4 times higher than in urban areas). The share of persons of retirement age increases. Negative changes occur in the family institution: increasing desire for small families. The attitude related to marriage and marital status changes: the stability of married unions decrease. The out-migration enhances, which entails, even natural growth, decline in population. These circumstances do not meet the economic and geopolitical interests. For investigation the factors affecting reproductive behavior in the Transbaikal Territory, the taxonomic method of multivariate analysis and the correlation analysis have been applied. Six groups of factors have been formed, which include: a healthy way of life, education, economic factors, habitat, social and domestic factors, social stability and moral-psychological factors. Results indicated that the greatest impact on the birth rate by factors: "Early childhood education" (r = 0,87); «Spiritual and moral education» (r = 0,76), «Housing Affordability» (r = -0,7) (for describing factor chosen as destabilizing indicators such as the proportion of families standing on the account, as in need of accommodation, the percentage of families, who have expressed a desire to participate in the sub-program "Housing for young families", but didn't get help), "Safety and the level of crime" (r = -0,52); "Material well-being" (r = -0,45). In 2013 the Russian Government approved the State Program of Russian Federation "Socio-economic development of the Far East and the Baikal region". Implementation of the program can be successful only on condition of the normalization of demographic trends and social conditions.
format	article
author	N. V. Soldatova
author_facet	N. V. Soldatova
author_sort	N. V. Soldatova
title	RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
title_short	RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
title_full	RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
title_fullStr	RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
title_full_unstemmed	RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY
title_sort	research of factors affecting the dynamics of demographic processes in transbaikal territory
publisher	Scientific Сentre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems
publishDate	2013
url	https://doaj.org/article/03eb94f3d823452082844a15f169617f
work_keys_str_mv	AT nvsoldatova researchoffactorsaffectingthedynamicsofdemographicprocessesintransbaikalterritory
_version_	1718417112635015168

RESEARCH OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DYNAMICS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN TRANSBAIKAL TERRITORY

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