National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries

Abstract As immunization campaigns are accelerating, understanding how to distribute the scarce doses of vaccines is of paramount importance and a quantitative analysis of the trade-offs involved in domestic-only versus cooperative distribution is still missing. In this study we use a network Suscep...

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Autores principales:	Tiziano Rotesi, Paolo Pin, Maria Cucciniello, Amyn A. Malik, Elliott E. Paintsil, Scott E. Bokemper, Kathryn Willebrand, Gregory A. Huber, Alessia Melegaro, Saad B. Omer
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/03f7a94ca9e94d62b5493feb421351f1
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:03f7a94ca9e94d62b5493feb421351f12021-12-02T17:23:39ZNational interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries10.1038/s41598-021-97544-52045-2322https://doaj.org/article/03f7a94ca9e94d62b5493feb421351f12021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97544-5https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract As immunization campaigns are accelerating, understanding how to distribute the scarce doses of vaccines is of paramount importance and a quantitative analysis of the trade-offs involved in domestic-only versus cooperative distribution is still missing. In this study we use a network Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model to show circumstances under which it is in a country’s self-interest to ensure other countries can obtain COVID-19 vaccines rather than focusing only on vaccination of their own residents. In particular, we focus our analysis on the United States and estimate the internal burden of COVID-19 disease under different scenarios about vaccine cooperation. We show that in scenarios in which the US has reached the threshold for domestic herd immunity, the US may find it optimal to donate doses to other countries with lower vaccination coverage, as this would allow for a sharp reduction in the inflow of infected individuals from abroad.Tiziano RotesiPaolo PinMaria CuccinielloAmyn A. MalikElliott E. PaintsilScott E. BokemperKathryn WillebrandGregory A. HuberAlessia MelegaroSaad B. OmerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Tiziano Rotesi Paolo Pin Maria Cucciniello Amyn A. Malik Elliott E. Paintsil Scott E. Bokemper Kathryn Willebrand Gregory A. Huber Alessia Melegaro Saad B. Omer National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
description	Abstract As immunization campaigns are accelerating, understanding how to distribute the scarce doses of vaccines is of paramount importance and a quantitative analysis of the trade-offs involved in domestic-only versus cooperative distribution is still missing. In this study we use a network Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model to show circumstances under which it is in a country’s self-interest to ensure other countries can obtain COVID-19 vaccines rather than focusing only on vaccination of their own residents. In particular, we focus our analysis on the United States and estimate the internal burden of COVID-19 disease under different scenarios about vaccine cooperation. We show that in scenarios in which the US has reached the threshold for domestic herd immunity, the US may find it optimal to donate doses to other countries with lower vaccination coverage, as this would allow for a sharp reduction in the inflow of infected individuals from abroad.
format	article
author	Tiziano Rotesi Paolo Pin Maria Cucciniello Amyn A. Malik Elliott E. Paintsil Scott E. Bokemper Kathryn Willebrand Gregory A. Huber Alessia Melegaro Saad B. Omer
author_facet	Tiziano Rotesi Paolo Pin Maria Cucciniello Amyn A. Malik Elliott E. Paintsil Scott E. Bokemper Kathryn Willebrand Gregory A. Huber Alessia Melegaro Saad B. Omer
author_sort	Tiziano Rotesi
title	National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
title_short	National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
title_full	National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
title_fullStr	National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
title_full_unstemmed	National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries
title_sort	national interest may require distributing covid-19 vaccines to other countries
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/03f7a94ca9e94d62b5493feb421351f1
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National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries

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