The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards

Abstract HIV incidence is a primary metric for epidemic surveillance and prevention efficacy assessment. HIV incidence assay performance is evaluated via false recency rate (FRR) and mean duration of recent infection (MDRI). We conducted a meta-analysis of 438 incident and 305 chronic specimens’ HIV...

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Autores principales: Sung Yong Park, Tanzy M. T. Love, Lucy Reynell, Carl Yu, Tina Manzhu Kang, Kathryn Anastos, Jack DeHovitz, Chenglong Liu, Kord M. Kober, Mardge Cohen, Wendy J. Mack, Ha Youn Lee
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:03fa9c58903d40c9bfd7e86326df169b2021-12-02T12:31:53ZThe HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards10.1038/s41598-017-07490-42045-2322https://doaj.org/article/03fa9c58903d40c9bfd7e86326df169b2017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-07490-4https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract HIV incidence is a primary metric for epidemic surveillance and prevention efficacy assessment. HIV incidence assay performance is evaluated via false recency rate (FRR) and mean duration of recent infection (MDRI). We conducted a meta-analysis of 438 incident and 305 chronic specimens’ HIV envelope genes from a diverse global cohort. The genome similarity index (GSI) accurately characterized infection stage across diverse host and viral factors. All except one chronic specimen had GSIs below 0.67, yielding a FRR of 0.33 [0-0.98] %. We modeled the incidence assay biomarker dynamics with a logistic link function assuming individual variabilities in a Beta distribution. The GSI probability density function peaked close to 1 in early infection and 0 around two years post infection, yielding MDRI of 420 [361, 467] days. We tested the assay by newly sequencing 744 envelope genes from 59 specimens of 21 subjects who followed from HIV negative status. Both standardized residuals and Anderson-Darling tests showed that the test dataset was statistically consistent with the model biomarker dynamics. This is the first reported incidence assay meeting the optimal FRR and MDRI performance standards. Signatures of HIV gene diversification can allow precise cross-sectional surveillance with a desirable temporal range of incidence detection.Sung Yong ParkTanzy M. T. LoveLucy ReynellCarl YuTina Manzhu KangKathryn AnastosJack DeHovitzChenglong LiuKord M. KoberMardge CohenWendy J. MackHa Youn LeeNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Sung Yong Park
Tanzy M. T. Love
Lucy Reynell
Carl Yu
Tina Manzhu Kang
Kathryn Anastos
Jack DeHovitz
Chenglong Liu
Kord M. Kober
Mardge Cohen
Wendy J. Mack
Ha Youn Lee
The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
description Abstract HIV incidence is a primary metric for epidemic surveillance and prevention efficacy assessment. HIV incidence assay performance is evaluated via false recency rate (FRR) and mean duration of recent infection (MDRI). We conducted a meta-analysis of 438 incident and 305 chronic specimens’ HIV envelope genes from a diverse global cohort. The genome similarity index (GSI) accurately characterized infection stage across diverse host and viral factors. All except one chronic specimen had GSIs below 0.67, yielding a FRR of 0.33 [0-0.98] %. We modeled the incidence assay biomarker dynamics with a logistic link function assuming individual variabilities in a Beta distribution. The GSI probability density function peaked close to 1 in early infection and 0 around two years post infection, yielding MDRI of 420 [361, 467] days. We tested the assay by newly sequencing 744 envelope genes from 59 specimens of 21 subjects who followed from HIV negative status. Both standardized residuals and Anderson-Darling tests showed that the test dataset was statistically consistent with the model biomarker dynamics. This is the first reported incidence assay meeting the optimal FRR and MDRI performance standards. Signatures of HIV gene diversification can allow precise cross-sectional surveillance with a desirable temporal range of incidence detection.
format article
author Sung Yong Park
Tanzy M. T. Love
Lucy Reynell
Carl Yu
Tina Manzhu Kang
Kathryn Anastos
Jack DeHovitz
Chenglong Liu
Kord M. Kober
Mardge Cohen
Wendy J. Mack
Ha Youn Lee
author_facet Sung Yong Park
Tanzy M. T. Love
Lucy Reynell
Carl Yu
Tina Manzhu Kang
Kathryn Anastos
Jack DeHovitz
Chenglong Liu
Kord M. Kober
Mardge Cohen
Wendy J. Mack
Ha Youn Lee
author_sort Sung Yong Park
title The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
title_short The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
title_full The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
title_fullStr The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
title_full_unstemmed The HIV Genomic Incidence Assay Meets False Recency Rate and Mean Duration of Recency Infection Performance Standards
title_sort hiv genomic incidence assay meets false recency rate and mean duration of recency infection performance standards
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/03fa9c58903d40c9bfd7e86326df169b
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