State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques

Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic...

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Autores principales: Pradeep Mishra, Aynur Yonar, Harun Yonar, Binita Kumari, Mostafa Abotaleb, Soumitra Sankar Das, S.G. Patil
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Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b2021-11-12T04:47:25ZState of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques2665-927110.1016/j.crfs.2021.10.009https://doaj.org/article/0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2665927121000873https://doaj.org/toc/2665-9271Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic trend estimation, yearly data were used for the period from 1961 to 2019. On the basis of the performance of several goodness of model fit criteria, the most suitable ARIMA model is chosen to capture the trend of pulse production. Forecasting for the 10 years from 2020 to 2029 is done, and it is observed that India has the highest forecast value (31.03302 million tonnes) in 2029. This study will play an important role in determining the gap between production of and demand for pulses in the future.Pradeep MishraAynur YonarHarun YonarBinita KumariMostafa AbotalebSoumitra Sankar DasS.G. PatilElsevierarticleAutoregressive integrated moving averageAutocorrelation functionForecastingModelingProductionNutrition. Foods and food supplyTX341-641Food processing and manufactureTP368-456ENCurrent Research in Food Science, Vol 4, Iss , Pp 800-806 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Autoregressive integrated moving average
Autocorrelation function
Forecasting
Modeling
Production
Nutrition. Foods and food supply
TX341-641
Food processing and manufacture
TP368-456
spellingShingle Autoregressive integrated moving average
Autocorrelation function
Forecasting
Modeling
Production
Nutrition. Foods and food supply
TX341-641
Food processing and manufacture
TP368-456
Pradeep Mishra
Aynur Yonar
Harun Yonar
Binita Kumari
Mostafa Abotaleb
Soumitra Sankar Das
S.G. Patil
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
description Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic trend estimation, yearly data were used for the period from 1961 to 2019. On the basis of the performance of several goodness of model fit criteria, the most suitable ARIMA model is chosen to capture the trend of pulse production. Forecasting for the 10 years from 2020 to 2029 is done, and it is observed that India has the highest forecast value (31.03302 million tonnes) in 2029. This study will play an important role in determining the gap between production of and demand for pulses in the future.
format article
author Pradeep Mishra
Aynur Yonar
Harun Yonar
Binita Kumari
Mostafa Abotaleb
Soumitra Sankar Das
S.G. Patil
author_facet Pradeep Mishra
Aynur Yonar
Harun Yonar
Binita Kumari
Mostafa Abotaleb
Soumitra Sankar Das
S.G. Patil
author_sort Pradeep Mishra
title State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
title_short State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
title_full State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
title_fullStr State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
title_full_unstemmed State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
title_sort state of the art in total pulse production in major states of india using arima techniques
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b
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