State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques
Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic...
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oai:doaj.org-article:0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b2021-11-12T04:47:25ZState of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques2665-927110.1016/j.crfs.2021.10.009https://doaj.org/article/0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2665927121000873https://doaj.org/toc/2665-9271Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic trend estimation, yearly data were used for the period from 1961 to 2019. On the basis of the performance of several goodness of model fit criteria, the most suitable ARIMA model is chosen to capture the trend of pulse production. Forecasting for the 10 years from 2020 to 2029 is done, and it is observed that India has the highest forecast value (31.03302 million tonnes) in 2029. This study will play an important role in determining the gap between production of and demand for pulses in the future.Pradeep MishraAynur YonarHarun YonarBinita KumariMostafa AbotalebSoumitra Sankar DasS.G. PatilElsevierarticleAutoregressive integrated moving averageAutocorrelation functionForecastingModelingProductionNutrition. Foods and food supplyTX341-641Food processing and manufactureTP368-456ENCurrent Research in Food Science, Vol 4, Iss , Pp 800-806 (2021) |
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Autoregressive integrated moving average Autocorrelation function Forecasting Modeling Production Nutrition. Foods and food supply TX341-641 Food processing and manufacture TP368-456 |
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Autoregressive integrated moving average Autocorrelation function Forecasting Modeling Production Nutrition. Foods and food supply TX341-641 Food processing and manufacture TP368-456 Pradeep Mishra Aynur Yonar Harun Yonar Binita Kumari Mostafa Abotaleb Soumitra Sankar Das S.G. Patil State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
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Pulses are staple protein-rich food for Indian vegetarians, and India is one of the largest producers in the world. The present investigation is an attempt to study the trend in the production of total pulses in India using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. For stochastic trend estimation, yearly data were used for the period from 1961 to 2019. On the basis of the performance of several goodness of model fit criteria, the most suitable ARIMA model is chosen to capture the trend of pulse production. Forecasting for the 10 years from 2020 to 2029 is done, and it is observed that India has the highest forecast value (31.03302 million tonnes) in 2029. This study will play an important role in determining the gap between production of and demand for pulses in the future. |
format |
article |
author |
Pradeep Mishra Aynur Yonar Harun Yonar Binita Kumari Mostafa Abotaleb Soumitra Sankar Das S.G. Patil |
author_facet |
Pradeep Mishra Aynur Yonar Harun Yonar Binita Kumari Mostafa Abotaleb Soumitra Sankar Das S.G. Patil |
author_sort |
Pradeep Mishra |
title |
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
title_short |
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
title_full |
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
title_fullStr |
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
title_full_unstemmed |
State of the art in total pulse production in major states of India using ARIMA techniques |
title_sort |
state of the art in total pulse production in major states of india using arima techniques |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/0529ca2211ed433d905f5ba3b61bbf5b |
work_keys_str_mv |
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