A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab12021-11-28T12:07:05ZA neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation10.1186/s41937-021-00077-x2235-6282https://doaj.org/article/06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-021-00077-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2235-6282Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is explained by factors that made labour and investment expensive. We show that increased labour income taxes and financial frictions are plausible causes. Holding these factors constant, the counterfactual annualized real output growth over the 1993Q1–1996Q4 period is 1.93% compared to realized growth of 0.35%.Yannic StuckiJacqueline ThometSpringerOpenarticleBusiness cycle accountingHousing crisisStagnationSwitzerlandStatisticsHA1-4737Economics as a scienceHB71-74ENSwiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol 157, Iss 1, Pp 1-26 (2021) |
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Business cycle accounting Housing crisis Stagnation Switzerland Statistics HA1-4737 Economics as a science HB71-74 |
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Business cycle accounting Housing crisis Stagnation Switzerland Statistics HA1-4737 Economics as a science HB71-74 Yannic Stucki Jacqueline Thomet A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
description |
Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is explained by factors that made labour and investment expensive. We show that increased labour income taxes and financial frictions are plausible causes. Holding these factors constant, the counterfactual annualized real output growth over the 1993Q1–1996Q4 period is 1.93% compared to realized growth of 0.35%. |
format |
article |
author |
Yannic Stucki Jacqueline Thomet |
author_facet |
Yannic Stucki Jacqueline Thomet |
author_sort |
Yannic Stucki |
title |
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
title_short |
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
title_full |
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
title_fullStr |
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
title_full_unstemmed |
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
title_sort |
neoclassical perspective on switzerland’s 1990s stagnation |
publisher |
SpringerOpen |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT yannicstucki aneoclassicalperspectiveonswitzerlands1990sstagnation AT jacquelinethomet aneoclassicalperspectiveonswitzerlands1990sstagnation AT yannicstucki neoclassicalperspectiveonswitzerlands1990sstagnation AT jacquelinethomet neoclassicalperspectiveonswitzerlands1990sstagnation |
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