A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation

Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is...

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Autores principales: Yannic Stucki, Jacqueline Thomet
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: SpringerOpen 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab12021-11-28T12:07:05ZA neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation10.1186/s41937-021-00077-x2235-6282https://doaj.org/article/06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-021-00077-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2235-6282Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is explained by factors that made labour and investment expensive. We show that increased labour income taxes and financial frictions are plausible causes. Holding these factors constant, the counterfactual annualized real output growth over the 1993Q1–1996Q4 period is 1.93% compared to realized growth of 0.35%.Yannic StuckiJacqueline ThometSpringerOpenarticleBusiness cycle accountingHousing crisisStagnationSwitzerlandStatisticsHA1-4737Economics as a scienceHB71-74ENSwiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol 157, Iss 1, Pp 1-26 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Business cycle accounting
Housing crisis
Stagnation
Switzerland
Statistics
HA1-4737
Economics as a science
HB71-74
spellingShingle Business cycle accounting
Housing crisis
Stagnation
Switzerland
Statistics
HA1-4737
Economics as a science
HB71-74
Yannic Stucki
Jacqueline Thomet
A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
description Abstract We study Switzerland’s weak growth during the 1990s through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (Econometrica 75(3):781–836, 2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the 1993–1996 stagnation episode. Rather, the stagnation is explained by factors that made labour and investment expensive. We show that increased labour income taxes and financial frictions are plausible causes. Holding these factors constant, the counterfactual annualized real output growth over the 1993Q1–1996Q4 period is 1.93% compared to realized growth of 0.35%.
format article
author Yannic Stucki
Jacqueline Thomet
author_facet Yannic Stucki
Jacqueline Thomet
author_sort Yannic Stucki
title A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
title_short A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
title_full A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
title_fullStr A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
title_full_unstemmed A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
title_sort neoclassical perspective on switzerland’s 1990s stagnation
publisher SpringerOpen
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/06317d131e124e699ad81c9c7b6cdab1
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