Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we...
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Nature Portfolio
2017
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oai:doaj.org-article:06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2021-12-02T11:53:10ZNetwork Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2017-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.Jonas DalegeDenny BorsboomFrenk van HarreveldLourens J. WaldorpHan L. J. van der MaasNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2017) |
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Medicine R Science Q Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
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Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses. |
format |
article |
author |
Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas |
author_facet |
Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas |
author_sort |
Jonas Dalege |
title |
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_short |
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_full |
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_fullStr |
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_sort |
network structure explains the impact of attitudes on voting decisions |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT jonasdalege networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions AT dennyborsboom networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions AT frenkvanharreveld networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions AT lourensjwaldorp networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions AT hanljvandermaas networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions |
_version_ |
1718394847394529280 |