Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions

Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we...

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Autores principales: Jonas Dalege, Denny Borsboom, Frenk van Harreveld, Lourens J. Waldorp, Han L. J. van der Maas
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2021-12-02T11:53:10ZNetwork Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2017-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.Jonas DalegeDenny BorsboomFrenk van HarreveldLourens J. WaldorpHan L. J. van der MaasNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
description Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.
format article
author Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
author_facet Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
author_sort Jonas Dalege
title Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_short Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_full Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_fullStr Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_full_unstemmed Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_sort network structure explains the impact of attitudes on voting decisions
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb
work_keys_str_mv AT jonasdalege networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions
AT dennyborsboom networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions
AT frenkvanharreveld networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions
AT lourensjwaldorp networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions
AT hanljvandermaas networkstructureexplainstheimpactofattitudesonvotingdecisions
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