Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data

Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social dis...

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Autores principales: Hamid Khataee, Istvan Scheuring, Andras Czirok, Zoltan Neufeld
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c72021-12-02T15:23:38ZEffects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data10.1038/s41598-021-81308-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c72021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81308-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing efforts of nine selected European countries. Epidemiological parameters were extracted from the number of daily deaths data, while mitigation efforts are estimated from mobile phone tracking data. The decrease of the basic reproductive number ( $$R_0$$ R 0 ) as well as the duration of the initial exponential expansion phase of the epidemic strongly correlates with the magnitude of mobility reduction. Utilizing these relationships we decipher the relative impact of the timing and the extent of social distancing on the total death burden of the pandemic.Hamid KhataeeIstvan ScheuringAndras CzirokZoltan NeufeldNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Hamid Khataee
Istvan Scheuring
Andras Czirok
Zoltan Neufeld
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
description Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing efforts of nine selected European countries. Epidemiological parameters were extracted from the number of daily deaths data, while mitigation efforts are estimated from mobile phone tracking data. The decrease of the basic reproductive number ( $$R_0$$ R 0 ) as well as the duration of the initial exponential expansion phase of the epidemic strongly correlates with the magnitude of mobility reduction. Utilizing these relationships we decipher the relative impact of the timing and the extent of social distancing on the total death burden of the pandemic.
format article
author Hamid Khataee
Istvan Scheuring
Andras Czirok
Zoltan Neufeld
author_facet Hamid Khataee
Istvan Scheuring
Andras Czirok
Zoltan Neufeld
author_sort Hamid Khataee
title Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
title_short Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
title_full Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
title_fullStr Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
title_full_unstemmed Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
title_sort effects of social distancing on the spreading of covid-19 inferred from mobile phone data
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c7
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