Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data
Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social dis...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c72021-12-02T15:23:38ZEffects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data10.1038/s41598-021-81308-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c72021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81308-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing efforts of nine selected European countries. Epidemiological parameters were extracted from the number of daily deaths data, while mitigation efforts are estimated from mobile phone tracking data. The decrease of the basic reproductive number ( $$R_0$$ R 0 ) as well as the duration of the initial exponential expansion phase of the epidemic strongly correlates with the magnitude of mobility reduction. Utilizing these relationships we decipher the relative impact of the timing and the extent of social distancing on the total death burden of the pandemic.Hamid KhataeeIstvan ScheuringAndras CzirokZoltan NeufeldNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Hamid Khataee Istvan Scheuring Andras Czirok Zoltan Neufeld Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
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Abstract A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing efforts of nine selected European countries. Epidemiological parameters were extracted from the number of daily deaths data, while mitigation efforts are estimated from mobile phone tracking data. The decrease of the basic reproductive number ( $$R_0$$ R 0 ) as well as the duration of the initial exponential expansion phase of the epidemic strongly correlates with the magnitude of mobility reduction. Utilizing these relationships we decipher the relative impact of the timing and the extent of social distancing on the total death burden of the pandemic. |
format |
article |
author |
Hamid Khataee Istvan Scheuring Andras Czirok Zoltan Neufeld |
author_facet |
Hamid Khataee Istvan Scheuring Andras Czirok Zoltan Neufeld |
author_sort |
Hamid Khataee |
title |
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
title_short |
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
title_full |
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
title_fullStr |
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
title_sort |
effects of social distancing on the spreading of covid-19 inferred from mobile phone data |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/0712896e79ee41adb15c37910ed133c7 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT hamidkhataee effectsofsocialdistancingonthespreadingofcovid19inferredfrommobilephonedata AT istvanscheuring effectsofsocialdistancingonthespreadingofcovid19inferredfrommobilephonedata AT andrasczirok effectsofsocialdistancingonthespreadingofcovid19inferredfrommobilephonedata AT zoltanneufeld effectsofsocialdistancingonthespreadingofcovid19inferredfrommobilephonedata |
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