Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China

Based on the scenario hypothesis method, this paper applied a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to analyze the sensitivity of runoff to climate and land-use changes in the Longtan basin, China. Results indicated that (1) for every 1 °C increase in temperature, the average annual runoff decreased...

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Autores principales: Guiyan Mo, Ya Huang, Qing Yang, Dayang Wang, Chongxun Mo
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:07cf703f870a4ecfb00e0667e25a42122021-11-05T18:52:08ZRunoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.196https://doaj.org/article/07cf703f870a4ecfb00e0667e25a42122021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/4/1059https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354Based on the scenario hypothesis method, this paper applied a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to analyze the sensitivity of runoff to climate and land-use changes in the Longtan basin, China. Results indicated that (1) for every 1 °C increase in temperature, the average annual runoff decreased by 9.9 mm, and the average annual evaporation increased by 9.3 mm. However, for every 10% increase in rainfall, the average annual runoff and evapotranspiration increased by 96.3 mm and 11.53 mm, respectively. Obviously, runoff was more sensitive to the change in rainfall than temperature in the Longtan basin. Meanwhile, (2) forestland could conserve water resources, but its water consumption was larger. Although grassland played a relatively small role in water conservation, it consumed less water. At the same time, increasing the area of forestland and grassland could weaken peak floods, and the water retention function of vegetation could prevent runoff from increasing and decreasing steeply. Therefore, it is worth improving vegetation coverage. HIGHLIGHTS Constructing 25 climate change scenarios based on CMIP5 simulation results and local temporal and spatial variation characteristics.; Constructing 4 land-use scenarios based on its variation characteristics and local development plan.; Simulating and quantifying runoff response to different climate and land-use change scenarios.; Identifying the major impact factors for runoff variability.; Experiment in the karstic basin, where there is a lack of related research.;Guiyan MoYa HuangQing YangDayang WangChongxun MoIWA Publishingarticleclimate changeland-use changelongtan basinsensitivityswat modelEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 4, Pp 1059-1070 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic climate change
land-use change
longtan basin
sensitivity
swat model
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle climate change
land-use change
longtan basin
sensitivity
swat model
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Guiyan Mo
Ya Huang
Qing Yang
Dayang Wang
Chongxun Mo
Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
description Based on the scenario hypothesis method, this paper applied a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to analyze the sensitivity of runoff to climate and land-use changes in the Longtan basin, China. Results indicated that (1) for every 1 °C increase in temperature, the average annual runoff decreased by 9.9 mm, and the average annual evaporation increased by 9.3 mm. However, for every 10% increase in rainfall, the average annual runoff and evapotranspiration increased by 96.3 mm and 11.53 mm, respectively. Obviously, runoff was more sensitive to the change in rainfall than temperature in the Longtan basin. Meanwhile, (2) forestland could conserve water resources, but its water consumption was larger. Although grassland played a relatively small role in water conservation, it consumed less water. At the same time, increasing the area of forestland and grassland could weaken peak floods, and the water retention function of vegetation could prevent runoff from increasing and decreasing steeply. Therefore, it is worth improving vegetation coverage. HIGHLIGHTS Constructing 25 climate change scenarios based on CMIP5 simulation results and local temporal and spatial variation characteristics.; Constructing 4 land-use scenarios based on its variation characteristics and local development plan.; Simulating and quantifying runoff response to different climate and land-use change scenarios.; Identifying the major impact factors for runoff variability.; Experiment in the karstic basin, where there is a lack of related research.;
format article
author Guiyan Mo
Ya Huang
Qing Yang
Dayang Wang
Chongxun Mo
author_facet Guiyan Mo
Ya Huang
Qing Yang
Dayang Wang
Chongxun Mo
author_sort Guiyan Mo
title Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
title_short Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
title_full Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
title_fullStr Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
title_full_unstemmed Runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: A case study in the Longtan basin, Southwestern China
title_sort runoff sensitivity to climate and land-use changes: a case study in the longtan basin, southwestern china
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/07cf703f870a4ecfb00e0667e25a4212
work_keys_str_mv AT guiyanmo runoffsensitivitytoclimateandlandusechangesacasestudyinthelongtanbasinsouthwesternchina
AT yahuang runoffsensitivitytoclimateandlandusechangesacasestudyinthelongtanbasinsouthwesternchina
AT qingyang runoffsensitivitytoclimateandlandusechangesacasestudyinthelongtanbasinsouthwesternchina
AT dayangwang runoffsensitivitytoclimateandlandusechangesacasestudyinthelongtanbasinsouthwesternchina
AT chongxunmo runoffsensitivitytoclimateandlandusechangesacasestudyinthelongtanbasinsouthwesternchina
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