Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study
Indroduction: Miscarriage is the most common complication of pregnancy. Defective implantation is one of the common causes of miscarriage. Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) is secreted from syncytiotrophoblast and it enables trophoblast invasion. Few studies have shown association o...
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oai:doaj.org-article:0832d794d7814c008122e55f890ecfc12021-11-12T12:25:52ZMaternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study10.7860/JCDR/2021/50626.154442249-782X0973-709Xhttps://doaj.org/article/0832d794d7814c008122e55f890ecfc12021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jcdr.net/articles/PDF/15444/50626_CE[Ra1]_F[SH]_PF1(SG_SHU)_PFA(SG_AnK_KM_AB)_PN(KM).pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2249-782Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/0973-709XIndroduction: Miscarriage is the most common complication of pregnancy. Defective implantation is one of the common causes of miscarriage. Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) is secreted from syncytiotrophoblast and it enables trophoblast invasion. Few studies have shown association of PAPP-A with miscarriage. However, there is limited data available to establish the role of PAPP-A as a predictive marker of miscarriage, especially in Indian population. Aim: To determine the potential of maternal PAPP-A level estimation in asymptomatic women in late first trimester (10-13 weeks) with viable foetus in predicting subsequent miscarriage. Materials and Methods: This was an observational, cross-sectional study conducted from November 2016 to April 2018 at University College of Medical Science and Guru Teg Bahadur Hospital, Delhi, India. Asymptomatic pregnant women (N=500) at 10-13 weeks of gestation were recruited from an antenatal clinic after confirmation of foetal viability. A 2 mL of blood sample was collected and serum PAPP-A level was measured. Independent t-test and Chi-square test was used to compare continuous data and Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare PAPP-A Multiple of Median (MOM). Logistic regression was used to estimate risk of miscarriage. Results: Out of 500 participants, 9 were lost to follow-up. From remaining N=491, 32 (6.5%) women had a miscarriage. PAPP-A levels were significantly decreased in miscarriage group compared to ongoing pregnancy group with median MOM 0.116 (0.080-0.17) and 1.25 (0.665-3.249) respectively (p-value <0.001). PAPP-A MOM value of ≤10th percentile sensitivity and specificity of detection of miscarriage was 81.25% and 94.98% and at ≤5th percentile sensitivity and specificity was 40.62% and 97.82%, respectively. Lower the percentile cut-off of serum PAPP-A value, higher was the specificity and positive predictive value for prediction of miscarriage. By applying logistic regression we found that if PAPP-A MOM decreases by 1 unit the chances of miscarriage increased by 1.2 times. By this model 63.2% of cases could be explained (Nagelkerke R Square=0.632). For prediction of pregnancies likely to miscarry, the area under Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve (95% CI) was 0.969 (0.955-0.983). Conclusion: Low serum PAPP-A levels from asymptomatic women in late 1st trimester is a good predictive marker of miscarriage.Nivedita SinhaAlpana SinghBD BanerjeeRachna AgarwalHimsweta SrivastvaJCDR Research and Publications Private Limitedarticledefective implantationinsulin-like growth factorspontaneous abortionMedicineRENJournal of Clinical and Diagnostic Research, Vol 15, Iss 9, Pp QC18-QC21 (2021) |
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defective implantation insulin-like growth factor spontaneous abortion Medicine R |
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defective implantation insulin-like growth factor spontaneous abortion Medicine R Nivedita Sinha Alpana Singh BD Banerjee Rachna Agarwal Himsweta Srivastva Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
description |
Indroduction: Miscarriage is the most common complication of
pregnancy. Defective implantation is one of the common causes
of miscarriage. Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A)
is secreted from syncytiotrophoblast and it enables trophoblast
invasion. Few studies have shown association of PAPP-A with
miscarriage. However, there is limited data available to establish
the role of PAPP-A as a predictive marker of miscarriage, especially
in Indian population.
Aim: To determine the potential of maternal PAPP-A level
estimation in asymptomatic women in late first trimester (10-13
weeks) with viable foetus in predicting subsequent miscarriage.
Materials and Methods: This was an observational, cross-sectional
study conducted from November 2016 to April 2018 at University
College of Medical Science and Guru Teg Bahadur Hospital,
Delhi, India. Asymptomatic pregnant women (N=500) at 10-13
weeks of gestation were recruited from an antenatal clinic after
confirmation of foetal viability. A 2 mL of blood sample was
collected and serum PAPP-A level was measured. Independent
t-test and Chi-square test was used to compare continuous
data and Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare PAPP-A
Multiple of Median (MOM). Logistic regression was used to
estimate risk of miscarriage.
Results: Out of 500 participants, 9 were lost to follow-up. From
remaining N=491, 32 (6.5%) women had a miscarriage. PAPP-A
levels were significantly decreased in miscarriage group compared
to ongoing pregnancy group with median MOM 0.116 (0.080-0.17)
and 1.25 (0.665-3.249) respectively (p-value <0.001). PAPP-A MOM
value of ≤10th percentile sensitivity and specificity of detection
of miscarriage was 81.25% and 94.98% and at ≤5th percentile
sensitivity and specificity was 40.62% and 97.82%, respectively.
Lower the percentile cut-off of serum PAPP-A value, higher was
the specificity and positive predictive value for prediction of
miscarriage. By applying logistic regression we found that if PAPP-A
MOM decreases by 1 unit the chances of miscarriage increased
by 1.2 times. By this model 63.2% of cases could be explained
(Nagelkerke R Square=0.632). For prediction of pregnancies likely
to miscarry, the area under Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC)
curve (95% CI) was 0.969 (0.955-0.983).
Conclusion: Low serum PAPP-A levels from asymptomatic
women in late 1st trimester is a good predictive marker of
miscarriage. |
format |
article |
author |
Nivedita Sinha Alpana Singh BD Banerjee Rachna Agarwal Himsweta Srivastva |
author_facet |
Nivedita Sinha Alpana Singh BD Banerjee Rachna Agarwal Himsweta Srivastva |
author_sort |
Nivedita Sinha |
title |
Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
title_short |
Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
title_full |
Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
title_fullStr |
Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Maternal Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A Levels in Late First Trimester as a Predictor of MiscarriageA Cross-sectional Study |
title_sort |
maternal pregnancy associated plasma protein-a levels in late first trimester as a predictor of miscarriagea cross-sectional study |
publisher |
JCDR Research and Publications Private Limited |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/0832d794d7814c008122e55f890ecfc1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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