A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches

Among the many factors affecting water supply system failures are the weather conditions that change over the year. Since this is an important research issue, as part of this study, investigation of water supply system failure seasonality by the selected statistical approaches was presented. The bas...

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Autores principales: Dariusz Młyński, Tomasz Bergel, Anna Młyńska, Kazimierz Kudlik
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/08c4db0117194fd3bf807f14d1b35fd6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:08c4db0117194fd3bf807f14d1b35fd62021-11-05T17:03:30ZA study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches2709-80282709-803610.2166/aqua.2021.151https://doaj.org/article/08c4db0117194fd3bf807f14d1b35fd62021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttp://aqua.iwaponline.com/content/70/3/289https://doaj.org/toc/2709-8028https://doaj.org/toc/2709-8036Among the many factors affecting water supply system failures are the weather conditions that change over the year. Since this is an important research issue, as part of this study, investigation of water supply system failure seasonality by the selected statistical approaches was presented. The basis of the research was monthly number of the pipelines' failures from the multi-year period of 2007–2017 of the municipal water network located in southern Poland. Mann–Kendall test results proved decreasing seasonal trend of the failure rate indexes λ. In turn, the results of the Colwell indexes' calculations allowed it to be stated that seasonal course of the water pipelines' failure events can be relatively easy to predict. As it turned out, it is difficult to determine unambiguously the impact of a given period of the year on the water pipeline failure events' occurrence. However, greater failure-free operation of the water pipelines may be expected in spring and summer months than in autumn and winter months. Because using Colwell indexes for seasonality analysis has no limitations compared to other methods, Colwell indexes may be considered as reliable tools for the assessment of the seasonal course of the water pipelines' failure events. HIGHLIGHTS Statistical analysis of the water supply system failure seasonality.; Using the selected statistical approaches for the analysis of water pipelines failure rate indexes λ.; Seasonal course of the water pipelines failure events can be relatively easy to predict by using the Colwell indexes.; Not clear impact of a given period of the year on water supply system failures was found.;Dariusz MłyńskiTomasz BergelAnna MłyńskaKazimierz KudlikIWA Publishingarticlefailure rate index λseasonalitystatistical analysistrendwater pipelineswater supply systemEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENAqua, Vol 70, Iss 3, Pp 289-302 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic failure rate index λ
seasonality
statistical analysis
trend
water pipelines
water supply system
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle failure rate index λ
seasonality
statistical analysis
trend
water pipelines
water supply system
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Dariusz Młyński
Tomasz Bergel
Anna Młyńska
Kazimierz Kudlik
A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
description Among the many factors affecting water supply system failures are the weather conditions that change over the year. Since this is an important research issue, as part of this study, investigation of water supply system failure seasonality by the selected statistical approaches was presented. The basis of the research was monthly number of the pipelines' failures from the multi-year period of 2007–2017 of the municipal water network located in southern Poland. Mann–Kendall test results proved decreasing seasonal trend of the failure rate indexes λ. In turn, the results of the Colwell indexes' calculations allowed it to be stated that seasonal course of the water pipelines' failure events can be relatively easy to predict. As it turned out, it is difficult to determine unambiguously the impact of a given period of the year on the water pipeline failure events' occurrence. However, greater failure-free operation of the water pipelines may be expected in spring and summer months than in autumn and winter months. Because using Colwell indexes for seasonality analysis has no limitations compared to other methods, Colwell indexes may be considered as reliable tools for the assessment of the seasonal course of the water pipelines' failure events. HIGHLIGHTS Statistical analysis of the water supply system failure seasonality.; Using the selected statistical approaches for the analysis of water pipelines failure rate indexes λ.; Seasonal course of the water pipelines failure events can be relatively easy to predict by using the Colwell indexes.; Not clear impact of a given period of the year on water supply system failures was found.;
format article
author Dariusz Młyński
Tomasz Bergel
Anna Młyńska
Kazimierz Kudlik
author_facet Dariusz Młyński
Tomasz Bergel
Anna Młyńska
Kazimierz Kudlik
author_sort Dariusz Młyński
title A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
title_short A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
title_full A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
title_fullStr A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
title_full_unstemmed A study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
title_sort study of the water supply system failure in terms of the seasonality: analysis by statistical approaches
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/08c4db0117194fd3bf807f14d1b35fd6
work_keys_str_mv AT dariuszmłynski astudyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT tomaszbergel astudyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT annamłynska astudyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT kazimierzkudlik astudyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT dariuszmłynski studyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT tomaszbergel studyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT annamłynska studyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
AT kazimierzkudlik studyofthewatersupplysystemfailureintermsoftheseasonalityanalysisbystatisticalapproaches
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