A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lowe...
Guardado en:
| Autores principales: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | EN |
| Publicado: |
Nature Portfolio
2019
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef6 |
| Etiquetas: |
Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
|
| Sumario: | Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lower rates. |
|---|