A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models

Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lowe...

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Autores principales:	R. Olson, S.-I. An, Y. Fan, W. Chang, J. P. Evans, J.-Y. Lee
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2019
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef6
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef6
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef62021-12-02T15:36:05ZA novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models10.1038/s41467-019-10561-x2041-1723https://doaj.org/article/0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef62019-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10561-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lower rates.R. OlsonS.-I. AnY. FanW. ChangJ. P. EvansJ.-Y. LeeNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q R. Olson S.-I. An Y. Fan W. Chang J. P. Evans J.-Y. Lee A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
description	Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lower rates.
format	article
author	R. Olson S.-I. An Y. Fan W. Chang J. P. Evans J.-Y. Lee
author_facet	R. Olson S.-I. An Y. Fan W. Chang J. P. Evans J.-Y. Lee
author_sort	R. Olson
title	A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
title_short	A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
title_full	A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
title_fullStr	A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
title_full_unstemmed	A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models
title_sort	novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to arctic ice projections from dependent models
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef6
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A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models

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