A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models

Climate models depend on each other which makes meaningful comparisons difficult. Here, the authors apply a novel Bayesian method to test non-exclusive hypotheses to a set of climate models and show that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free at 2 to 2.5 °C of warming, with a sizeable risk even at lowe...

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Autores principales: R. Olson, S.-I. An, Y. Fan, W. Chang, J. P. Evans, J.-Y. Lee
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0a4932248ea141ba9513f04d7d260ef6
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