The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia

Seasonal influenza epidemics vary in timing and size, but the causes of the variation remain unclear. Here, the authors analyse a 15-year city-level data set, and find that fluctuations in climatic factors do not predict onset timing, and that while antigenic change does not have a consistent effect...

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Autores principales: Edward K. S. Lam, Dylan H. Morris, Aeron C. Hurt, Ian G. Barr, Colin A. Russell
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0a97106ffd63441a8a94a950055a9361
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0a97106ffd63441a8a94a950055a93612021-12-02T15:56:39ZThe impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia10.1038/s41467-020-16545-62041-1723https://doaj.org/article/0a97106ffd63441a8a94a950055a93612020-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16545-6https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Seasonal influenza epidemics vary in timing and size, but the causes of the variation remain unclear. Here, the authors analyse a 15-year city-level data set, and find that fluctuations in climatic factors do not predict onset timing, and that while antigenic change does not have a consistent effect on epidemic size, the timing of onset and heterosubtypic competition do.Edward K. S. LamDylan H. MorrisAeron C. HurtIan G. BarrColin A. RussellNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Edward K. S. Lam
Dylan H. Morris
Aeron C. Hurt
Ian G. Barr
Colin A. Russell
The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
description Seasonal influenza epidemics vary in timing and size, but the causes of the variation remain unclear. Here, the authors analyse a 15-year city-level data set, and find that fluctuations in climatic factors do not predict onset timing, and that while antigenic change does not have a consistent effect on epidemic size, the timing of onset and heterosubtypic competition do.
format article
author Edward K. S. Lam
Dylan H. Morris
Aeron C. Hurt
Ian G. Barr
Colin A. Russell
author_facet Edward K. S. Lam
Dylan H. Morris
Aeron C. Hurt
Ian G. Barr
Colin A. Russell
author_sort Edward K. S. Lam
title The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
title_short The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
title_full The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
title_fullStr The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
title_full_unstemmed The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia
title_sort impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in australia
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/0a97106ffd63441a8a94a950055a9361
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