The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth

Abstract Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound human and ecological impacts. However, little is known...

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Autores principales: Emanuele Strano, Filippo Simini, Marco De Nadai, Thomas Esch, Mattia Marconcini
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0b2fb6b37efd4243822ab8243b8f9ae4
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0b2fb6b37efd4243822ab8243b8f9ae42021-12-05T12:15:30ZThe agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth10.1038/s41598-021-02743-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/0b2fb6b37efd4243822ab8243b8f9ae42021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-02743-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound human and ecological impacts. However, little is known about the global distribution of these patterns and the spatial forces that creates them. This study analyses human settlements from high-resolution satellite imagery and provides a global classification of spatial patterns. We find two emerging classes, namely agglomeration and dispersion. In the former, settlements are fewer than expected based on the predictions of scaling theory, while an unexpectedly high number of settlements characterizes the latter. To explain the observed spatial patterns, we propose a model that combines two agglomeration forces and simulates human settlements’ historical growth. Our results show that our model accurately matches the observed global classification (F1: 0.73), helps to understand and estimate the growth of human settlements and, in turn, the distribution and physical dynamics of all human settlements on Earth, from small villages to cities.Emanuele StranoFilippo SiminiMarco De NadaiThomas EschMattia MarconciniNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Emanuele Strano
Filippo Simini
Marco De Nadai
Thomas Esch
Mattia Marconcini
The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
description Abstract Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound human and ecological impacts. However, little is known about the global distribution of these patterns and the spatial forces that creates them. This study analyses human settlements from high-resolution satellite imagery and provides a global classification of spatial patterns. We find two emerging classes, namely agglomeration and dispersion. In the former, settlements are fewer than expected based on the predictions of scaling theory, while an unexpectedly high number of settlements characterizes the latter. To explain the observed spatial patterns, we propose a model that combines two agglomeration forces and simulates human settlements’ historical growth. Our results show that our model accurately matches the observed global classification (F1: 0.73), helps to understand and estimate the growth of human settlements and, in turn, the distribution and physical dynamics of all human settlements on Earth, from small villages to cities.
format article
author Emanuele Strano
Filippo Simini
Marco De Nadai
Thomas Esch
Mattia Marconcini
author_facet Emanuele Strano
Filippo Simini
Marco De Nadai
Thomas Esch
Mattia Marconcini
author_sort Emanuele Strano
title The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
title_short The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
title_full The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
title_fullStr The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
title_full_unstemmed The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth
title_sort agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on earth
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/0b2fb6b37efd4243822ab8243b8f9ae4
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