Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-I...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba2021-12-02T16:45:10ZOptimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control10.1038/s42005-021-00570-y2399-3650https://doaj.org/article/0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba2021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s42005-021-00570-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2399-3650The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model and show that, due to the sensitivity of such strategies to implementation errors, timely action is fundamental to non-pharmaceutical disease control.Dylan H. MorrisFernando W. RossineJoshua B. PlotkinSimon A. LevinNature PortfolioarticleAstrophysicsQB460-466PhysicsQC1-999ENCommunications Physics, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021) |
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Astrophysics QB460-466 Physics QC1-999 Dylan H. Morris Fernando W. Rossine Joshua B. Plotkin Simon A. Levin Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
description |
The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model and show that, due to the sensitivity of such strategies to implementation errors, timely action is fundamental to non-pharmaceutical disease control. |
format |
article |
author |
Dylan H. Morris Fernando W. Rossine Joshua B. Plotkin Simon A. Levin |
author_facet |
Dylan H. Morris Fernando W. Rossine Joshua B. Plotkin Simon A. Levin |
author_sort |
Dylan H. Morris |
title |
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
title_short |
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
title_full |
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
title_fullStr |
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
title_full_unstemmed |
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
title_sort |
optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT dylanhmorris optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol AT fernandowrossine optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol AT joshuabplotkin optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol AT simonalevin optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol |
_version_ |
1718383496031895552 |