Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control

The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-I...

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Autores principales: Dylan H. Morris, Fernando W. Rossine, Joshua B. Plotkin, Simon A. Levin
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba2021-12-02T16:45:10ZOptimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control10.1038/s42005-021-00570-y2399-3650https://doaj.org/article/0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba2021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s42005-021-00570-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2399-3650The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model and show that, due to the sensitivity of such strategies to implementation errors, timely action is fundamental to non-pharmaceutical disease control.Dylan H. MorrisFernando W. RossineJoshua B. PlotkinSimon A. LevinNature PortfolioarticleAstrophysicsQB460-466PhysicsQC1-999ENCommunications Physics, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Astrophysics
QB460-466
Physics
QC1-999
spellingShingle Astrophysics
QB460-466
Physics
QC1-999
Dylan H. Morris
Fernando W. Rossine
Joshua B. Plotkin
Simon A. Levin
Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
description The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need for non-pharmaceutical epidemic mitigation strategies that can be effective even if they are limited in duration. Here, the authors derive analytically optimal and near-optimal time-limited strategies for limiting the epidemic peak in the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model and show that, due to the sensitivity of such strategies to implementation errors, timely action is fundamental to non-pharmaceutical disease control.
format article
author Dylan H. Morris
Fernando W. Rossine
Joshua B. Plotkin
Simon A. Levin
author_facet Dylan H. Morris
Fernando W. Rossine
Joshua B. Plotkin
Simon A. Levin
author_sort Dylan H. Morris
title Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
title_short Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
title_full Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
title_fullStr Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
title_full_unstemmed Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
title_sort optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/0b357ff47ccb47a6ade860a79c300dba
work_keys_str_mv AT dylanhmorris optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol
AT fernandowrossine optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol
AT joshuabplotkin optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol
AT simonalevin optimalnearoptimalandrobustepidemiccontrol
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