HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION

The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of...

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Autores principales:	A. Zamkovoy, S. Kudiyarov, R. Martyshkin, V. Strizhov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Publishing House of the State University of Management 2018
Materias:	rail freight forecast expert models time series exogenous factors management Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e2021-12-03T07:43:25ZHARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION1816-42772686-841510.26425/1816-4277-2018-4-51-60https://doaj.org/article/0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e2018-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/996https://doaj.org/toc/1816-4277https://doaj.org/toc/2686-8415The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of freight rail traffic volume and expert assessments of external factors affecting the work of rail transport hasbeen proposed. The structure of historical data, time series of freight traffic volumes, as well as relationship with expert models is described.A. ZamkovoyS. KudiyarovR. MartyshkinV. StrizhovPublishing House of the State University of Managementarticlerail freightforecastexpert modelstime seriesexogenous factorsmanagementSociology (General)HM401-1281Economics as a scienceHB71-74RUВестник университета, Vol 0, Iss 4, Pp 51-60 (2018)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	rail freight forecast expert models time series exogenous factors management Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
spellingShingle	rail freight forecast expert models time series exogenous factors management Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74 A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
description	The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of freight rail traffic volume and expert assessments of external factors affecting the work of rail transport hasbeen proposed. The structure of historical data, time series of freight traffic volumes, as well as relationship with expert models is described.
format	article
author	A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov
author_facet	A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov
author_sort	A. Zamkovoy
title	HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
title_short	HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
title_full	HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
title_fullStr	HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
title_full_unstemmed	HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
title_sort	harmonization of historical data and expert models for forecasting demand for rail transportation
publisher	Publishing House of the State University of Management
publishDate	2018
url	https://doaj.org/article/0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e
work_keys_str_mv	AT azamkovoy harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT skudiyarov harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT rmartyshkin harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT vstrizhov harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation
_version_	1718373611887132672

HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION

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