Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies

This paper presents a coastal migration index (CMI) useful for decision-making in the current scenario of sea-level rise (SLR) due to climate change. The CMI includes coastal human population density, degree of urbanization, and coastal-flooding penetration. Quantitative and qualitative statistical...

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Autores principales:	Sergio B. Jiménez-Hernández, Ofelia Pérez Montero, Eustorgio Meza, Yunior R. Velázquez, Juan R. Castellanos, Esperanza Martínez-Cano, Felipe Sosa-Pérez, Juan F. Herrera, Seweryn Zielinski, Benjamin Cuker, Marcos Oliveira, Giorgio Anfuso, Celene B. Milanes
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	coastal vulnerability coastal management coastal environmental sustainability stoplight map hurricanes Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/0d47ce71988a43db8190cb89551a9f07
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:0d47ce71988a43db8190cb89551a9f072021-11-11T19:56:55ZCoastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies10.3390/w132130902073-4441https://doaj.org/article/0d47ce71988a43db8190cb89551a9f072021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/21/3090https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441This paper presents a coastal migration index (CMI) useful for decision-making in the current scenario of sea-level rise (SLR) due to climate change. The CMI includes coastal human population density, degree of urbanization, and coastal-flooding penetration. Quantitative and qualitative statistical techniques and the geographic information system ArcGIS View 9.0 were used. Further, a panel of fifteen international experts in coastal management issues was consulted to establish and validate the CMI. Results led to three index components based on 22 indicators. CMI was applied in the state of Tamaulipas, Mexico and in Santiago de Cuba province, Cuba. According to CMI estimates, the risk levels associated with SLR for human settlements analyzed in Mexico and Cuba were 5.3% and 11.0%, respectively. The most severely affected communities will require resettlement. Meanwhile, the CMI determined that 15.8% of the Mexican territory studied will be able to withstand the effects of SLR through the management of engineering works that will protect human settlements. The CMI determined that 79.0%, in the case of Tamaulipas, as well as 89.0% of the Cuban territory, will not require new policies or guidelines to promote conservation and protection of coastal natural resources. Lastly, the method used allowed for creation of a CMI stoplight map useful to coastal decision-makers to adopt sound management actions.Sergio B. Jiménez-HernándezOfelia Pérez MonteroEustorgio MezaYunior R. VelázquezJuan R. CastellanosEsperanza Martínez-CanoFelipe Sosa-PérezJuan F. HerreraSeweryn ZielinskiBenjamin CukerMarcos OliveiraGiorgio AnfusoCelene B. MilanesMDPI AGarticlecoastal vulnerabilitycoastal managementcoastal environmental sustainabilitystoplight maphurricanesHydraulic engineeringTC1-978Water supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500ENWater, Vol 13, Iss 3090, p 3090 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	coastal vulnerability coastal management coastal environmental sustainability stoplight map hurricanes Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500
spellingShingle	coastal vulnerability coastal management coastal environmental sustainability stoplight map hurricanes Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 Sergio B. Jiménez-Hernández Ofelia Pérez Montero Eustorgio Meza Yunior R. Velázquez Juan R. Castellanos Esperanza Martínez-Cano Felipe Sosa-Pérez Juan F. Herrera Seweryn Zielinski Benjamin Cuker Marcos Oliveira Giorgio Anfuso Celene B. Milanes Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
description	This paper presents a coastal migration index (CMI) useful for decision-making in the current scenario of sea-level rise (SLR) due to climate change. The CMI includes coastal human population density, degree of urbanization, and coastal-flooding penetration. Quantitative and qualitative statistical techniques and the geographic information system ArcGIS View 9.0 were used. Further, a panel of fifteen international experts in coastal management issues was consulted to establish and validate the CMI. Results led to three index components based on 22 indicators. CMI was applied in the state of Tamaulipas, Mexico and in Santiago de Cuba province, Cuba. According to CMI estimates, the risk levels associated with SLR for human settlements analyzed in Mexico and Cuba were 5.3% and 11.0%, respectively. The most severely affected communities will require resettlement. Meanwhile, the CMI determined that 15.8% of the Mexican territory studied will be able to withstand the effects of SLR through the management of engineering works that will protect human settlements. The CMI determined that 79.0%, in the case of Tamaulipas, as well as 89.0% of the Cuban territory, will not require new policies or guidelines to promote conservation and protection of coastal natural resources. Lastly, the method used allowed for creation of a CMI stoplight map useful to coastal decision-makers to adopt sound management actions.
format	article
author	Sergio B. Jiménez-Hernández Ofelia Pérez Montero Eustorgio Meza Yunior R. Velázquez Juan R. Castellanos Esperanza Martínez-Cano Felipe Sosa-Pérez Juan F. Herrera Seweryn Zielinski Benjamin Cuker Marcos Oliveira Giorgio Anfuso Celene B. Milanes
author_facet	Sergio B. Jiménez-Hernández Ofelia Pérez Montero Eustorgio Meza Yunior R. Velázquez Juan R. Castellanos Esperanza Martínez-Cano Felipe Sosa-Pérez Juan F. Herrera Seweryn Zielinski Benjamin Cuker Marcos Oliveira Giorgio Anfuso Celene B. Milanes
author_sort	Sergio B. Jiménez-Hernández
title	Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
title_short	Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
title_full	Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
title_fullStr	Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
title_full_unstemmed	Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies
title_sort	coastal migration index for coastal flooding events increased by sea level rise due to climate change: mexico and cuba case studies
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/0d47ce71988a43db8190cb89551a9f07
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Coastal Migration Index for Coastal Flooding Events Increased by Sea Level Rise due to Climate Change: Mexico and Cuba Case Studies

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