Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit

Water scarcity has a significant impact on agricultural productivity, and it usually constitutes the main criterion for the continuation of agricultural activity. The Cyprus agri-sector faces increasing challenges since water resources are very limited and particularly susceptible to climate change....

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Autores principales:	Y. Economidou, M. K. Doula, A. A. Zorpas
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	IWA Publishing 2021
Materias:	agriculture climate change cyprus irrigation linear programming Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) TC401-506
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/0f13425d33a940d19f1c4824f5734ff9
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:0f13425d33a940d19f1c4824f5734ff92021-11-06T10:08:23ZMitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit1606-97491607-079810.2166/ws.2021.118https://doaj.org/article/0f13425d33a940d19f1c4824f5734ff92021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ws.iwaponline.com/content/21/6/2947https://doaj.org/toc/1606-9749https://doaj.org/toc/1607-0798Water scarcity has a significant impact on agricultural productivity, and it usually constitutes the main criterion for the continuation of agricultural activity. The Cyprus agri-sector faces increasing challenges since water resources are very limited and particularly susceptible to climate change. As total profit highly depends on cultivation patterns, the present study aims to define the optimal pattern of agricultural crops in Cyprus. A linear programming model is set up to maximize the net profit of annual and permanent crops. As for the constraints, these include limitations on land and water availability under four different scenarios, provided that production secures current consumption of (1) domestic products, (2) domestic and imported products, (3) domestic products but under a 40% decrease in water availability and (4) domestic products but limited to only traditional, tropical and subtropical crops, under a 40% decrease in water availability. The results indicate that when using an optimal cultivation pattern, economic benefit increases by 120%, 62%, 20%, and 48%, based on Scenarios 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively. Furthermore, the results are considered useful and directly applicable for policy makers to redesign their strategy in light of water scarcity. HIGHLIGHTS Water scarcity in Cyprus impacts the agri-sector, leading to high economic losses.; Linear programming can provide optimal cultivation patterns to maximize economic benefit.; If Cypriot agriculture shifts to less water-intensive/higher-added-value crops, an increase in economic benefit is achieved, even with significant water reduction.; Linear Programming results provide a valuable tool for policy makers, in light of climate change.;Y. EconomidouM. K. DoulaA. A. ZorpasIWA Publishingarticleagricultureclimate changecyprusirrigationlinear programmingWater supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)TC401-506ENWater Supply, Vol 21, Iss 6, Pp 2947-2958 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	agriculture climate change cyprus irrigation linear programming Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) TC401-506
spellingShingle	agriculture climate change cyprus irrigation linear programming Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) TC401-506 Y. Economidou M. K. Doula A. A. Zorpas Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
description	Water scarcity has a significant impact on agricultural productivity, and it usually constitutes the main criterion for the continuation of agricultural activity. The Cyprus agri-sector faces increasing challenges since water resources are very limited and particularly susceptible to climate change. As total profit highly depends on cultivation patterns, the present study aims to define the optimal pattern of agricultural crops in Cyprus. A linear programming model is set up to maximize the net profit of annual and permanent crops. As for the constraints, these include limitations on land and water availability under four different scenarios, provided that production secures current consumption of (1) domestic products, (2) domestic and imported products, (3) domestic products but under a 40% decrease in water availability and (4) domestic products but limited to only traditional, tropical and subtropical crops, under a 40% decrease in water availability. The results indicate that when using an optimal cultivation pattern, economic benefit increases by 120%, 62%, 20%, and 48%, based on Scenarios 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively. Furthermore, the results are considered useful and directly applicable for policy makers to redesign their strategy in light of water scarcity. HIGHLIGHTS Water scarcity in Cyprus impacts the agri-sector, leading to high economic losses.; Linear programming can provide optimal cultivation patterns to maximize economic benefit.; If Cypriot agriculture shifts to less water-intensive/higher-added-value crops, an increase in economic benefit is achieved, even with significant water reduction.; Linear Programming results provide a valuable tool for policy makers, in light of climate change.;
format	article
author	Y. Economidou M. K. Doula A. A. Zorpas
author_facet	Y. Economidou M. K. Doula A. A. Zorpas
author_sort	Y. Economidou
title	Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
title_short	Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
title_full	Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
title_fullStr	Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
title_full_unstemmed	Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit
title_sort	mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of cyprus, through optimization of benefit
publisher	IWA Publishing
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/0f13425d33a940d19f1c4824f5734ff9
work_keys_str_mv	AT yeconomidou mitigationoftheeffectsofclimatechangeintheagriculturalsectorofcyprusthroughoptimizationofbenefit AT mkdoula mitigationoftheeffectsofclimatechangeintheagriculturalsectorofcyprusthroughoptimizationofbenefit AT aazorpas mitigationoftheeffectsofclimatechangeintheagriculturalsectorofcyprusthroughoptimizationofbenefit
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Mitigation of the effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Cyprus, through optimization of benefit

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