Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects

The article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion a...

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Autor principal:	P. V. Naumov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration 2021
Materias:	information project project execution risks risk management methods random process discrete markov chain random sequence of events random sequence indicators machine learning methods cluster analysis Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d8
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d8
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d82021-11-12T10:46:14ZAnalysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects1726-11391816-859010.22394/1726-1139-2021-4-159-173https://doaj.org/article/113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d82021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1689https://doaj.org/toc/1726-1139https://doaj.org/toc/1816-8590The article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion and the construction of training data sets as a result of a retrospective analysis of the progress and implementation of individual projects. It is proposed to use methods of trajectory analysis of sequences of events, each of which characterizes the state of risk of project implementation. To test this approach, random sequences of risk events are generated and data analysis methods are applied to these sequences.P. V. NaumovNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration articleinformation projectproject execution risksrisk management methodsrandom processdiscrete markov chainrandom sequence of eventsrandom sequence indicatorsmachine learning methodscluster analysisPolitical institutions and public administration (General)JF20-2112ENRUУправленческое консультирование, Vol 0, Iss 4, Pp 159-173 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	information project project execution risks risk management methods random process discrete markov chain random sequence of events random sequence indicators machine learning methods cluster analysis Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112
spellingShingle	information project project execution risks risk management methods random process discrete markov chain random sequence of events random sequence indicators machine learning methods cluster analysis Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112 P. V. Naumov Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
description	The article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion and the construction of training data sets as a result of a retrospective analysis of the progress and implementation of individual projects. It is proposed to use methods of trajectory analysis of sequences of events, each of which characterizes the state of risk of project implementation. To test this approach, random sequences of risk events are generated and data analysis methods are applied to these sequences.
format	article
author	P. V. Naumov
author_facet	P. V. Naumov
author_sort	P. V. Naumov
title	Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
title_short	Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
title_full	Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
title_fullStr	Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
title_full_unstemmed	Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
title_sort	analysis of the sequence of risk states in the implementation of information projects
publisher	North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d8
work_keys_str_mv	AT pvnaumov analysisofthesequenceofriskstatesintheimplementationofinformationprojects
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Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects

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