Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.

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Autores principales: Christopher H. O’Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Woollings, Andrew Ballinger, Gabriele Hegerl
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c2021-12-02T18:48:43ZProjections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty10.1038/s43247-021-00268-72662-4435https://doaj.org/article/11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7https://doaj.org/toc/2662-4435Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.Christopher H. O’ReillyDaniel J. BefortAntje WeisheimerTim WoollingsAndrew BallingerGabriele HegerlNature PortfolioarticleGeologyQE1-996.5Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENCommunications Earth & Environment, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Geology
QE1-996.5
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle Geology
QE1-996.5
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Christopher H. O’Reilly
Daniel J. Befort
Antje Weisheimer
Tim Woollings
Andrew Ballinger
Gabriele Hegerl
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
description Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.
format article
author Christopher H. O’Reilly
Daniel J. Befort
Antje Weisheimer
Tim Woollings
Andrew Ballinger
Gabriele Hegerl
author_facet Christopher H. O’Reilly
Daniel J. Befort
Antje Weisheimer
Tim Woollings
Andrew Ballinger
Gabriele Hegerl
author_sort Christopher H. O’Reilly
title Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
title_short Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
title_full Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
title_fullStr Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
title_sort projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c
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