Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty
Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c2021-12-02T18:48:43ZProjections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty10.1038/s43247-021-00268-72662-4435https://doaj.org/article/11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7https://doaj.org/toc/2662-4435Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations.Christopher H. O’ReillyDaniel J. BefortAntje WeisheimerTim WoollingsAndrew BallingerGabriele HegerlNature PortfolioarticleGeologyQE1-996.5Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENCommunications Earth & Environment, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021) |
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DOAJ |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
EN |
topic |
Geology QE1-996.5 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
spellingShingle |
Geology QE1-996.5 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Christopher H. O’Reilly Daniel J. Befort Antje Weisheimer Tim Woollings Andrew Ballinger Gabriele Hegerl Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
description |
Future projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate based on climate model simulations substantially underestimate the uncertainty that originates from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability, suggest synthetic ensemble projections constrained with observations. |
format |
article |
author |
Christopher H. O’Reilly Daniel J. Befort Antje Weisheimer Tim Woollings Andrew Ballinger Gabriele Hegerl |
author_facet |
Christopher H. O’Reilly Daniel J. Befort Antje Weisheimer Tim Woollings Andrew Ballinger Gabriele Hegerl |
author_sort |
Christopher H. O’Reilly |
title |
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
title_short |
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
title_full |
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
title_fullStr |
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
title_full_unstemmed |
Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
title_sort |
projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/11646d8516134af8903b5dce13169e7c |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT christopherhoreilly projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty AT danieljbefort projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty AT antjeweisheimer projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty AT timwoollings projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty AT andrewballinger projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty AT gabrielehegerl projectionsofnorthernhemisphereextratropicalclimateunderestimateinternalvariabilityandassociateduncertainty |
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1718377546582589440 |