Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran

The time-placement scheme of climate extreme changes is important. In this regard, a set of a compound indices derived using daily resolution climatic time series data is examined to assess climate change in Iran. The compound indices were examined for 47 synoptic meteorological stations during 1981...

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Autores principales: Ahmad Roshani, Fatemeh Parak, Hossein Esmaili
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/121153fc4dc84a02a17440da8d8eb642
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:121153fc4dc84a02a17440da8d8eb6422021-11-05T18:48:12ZTrend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.213https://doaj.org/article/121153fc4dc84a02a17440da8d8eb6422021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/3/801https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354The time-placement scheme of climate extreme changes is important. In this regard, a set of a compound indices derived using daily resolution climatic time series data is examined to assess climate change in Iran. The compound indices were examined for 47 synoptic meteorological stations during 1981–2015. The results show that most stations experienced a negative trend for the cool/dry (CD) and cool/wet (CW) index and a positive trend in CW was observed in some dispersed small areas. Both warm/dry (WD) and warm/wet (WW) indices have similar behavior, but the magnitude and spatial consistency of WW days were much less than WD days. The results show that more than 80% of stations experienced a decrease in the annual occurrence of the cold modes and an increase in the annual occurrence of the warm modes. On the other hand, universal thermal climate index (UTCI) change demonstrated a significant increase in the annual occurrence of strong heat stress (32–38 °C) and significant decrease in the annual occurrence of no thermal stress class (9–26 °C). Moreover, trends in tourism climate index (TCI), including TCI ≥ 60 and TCI ≥ 80, showed similar changes but with weak spatial coherence.Ahmad RoshaniFatemeh ParakHossein EsmailiIWA Publishingarticleclimate changecompound indexiranmann–kendall teststatistical trendEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 3, Pp 801-816 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic climate change
compound index
iran
mann–kendall test
statistical trend
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle climate change
compound index
iran
mann–kendall test
statistical trend
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Ahmad Roshani
Fatemeh Parak
Hossein Esmaili
Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
description The time-placement scheme of climate extreme changes is important. In this regard, a set of a compound indices derived using daily resolution climatic time series data is examined to assess climate change in Iran. The compound indices were examined for 47 synoptic meteorological stations during 1981–2015. The results show that most stations experienced a negative trend for the cool/dry (CD) and cool/wet (CW) index and a positive trend in CW was observed in some dispersed small areas. Both warm/dry (WD) and warm/wet (WW) indices have similar behavior, but the magnitude and spatial consistency of WW days were much less than WD days. The results show that more than 80% of stations experienced a decrease in the annual occurrence of the cold modes and an increase in the annual occurrence of the warm modes. On the other hand, universal thermal climate index (UTCI) change demonstrated a significant increase in the annual occurrence of strong heat stress (32–38 °C) and significant decrease in the annual occurrence of no thermal stress class (9–26 °C). Moreover, trends in tourism climate index (TCI), including TCI ≥ 60 and TCI ≥ 80, showed similar changes but with weak spatial coherence.
format article
author Ahmad Roshani
Fatemeh Parak
Hossein Esmaili
author_facet Ahmad Roshani
Fatemeh Parak
Hossein Esmaili
author_sort Ahmad Roshani
title Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
title_short Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
title_full Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
title_fullStr Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Trend analysis of climate change compound indices in Iran
title_sort trend analysis of climate change compound indices in iran
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/121153fc4dc84a02a17440da8d8eb642
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