The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change
Climate change is predicted to directly or indirectly affect species distribution and abundance, especially the species that live on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau that is highly sensitive to climate change. The Przewalski’s gazelle (Procapra przewalskii), the Goitered gazelle (Gazella subgutturosa), the...
Guardado en:
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | EN |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2021
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/133852d16f5f479a81efb14c6835d955 |
| Etiquetas: |
Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
|
| id |
oai:doaj.org-article:133852d16f5f479a81efb14c6835d955 |
|---|---|
| record_format |
dspace |
| spelling |
oai:doaj.org-article:133852d16f5f479a81efb14c6835d9552021-12-01T04:43:13ZThe four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107337https://doaj.org/article/133852d16f5f479a81efb14c6835d9552021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21000029https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XClimate change is predicted to directly or indirectly affect species distribution and abundance, especially the species that live on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau that is highly sensitive to climate change. The Przewalski’s gazelle (Procapra przewalskii), the Goitered gazelle (Gazella subgutturosa), the Tibetan gazelle (Procapra picticaudata) and the Tibetan antelope (Pantholops hodgsonii) are the only four existing antelopes living on the plateau. They play indispensable roles in regulating the structure and function of the plateau ecosystem. To understand how climate change affects the spatial distribution and migration direction of these ungulates, we applied the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and used 82, 57, 397 and 324 GPS points of Przewalski’s gazelle, Goitered gazelle, Tibetan gazelle and Tibetan antelope, respectively. These points were mainly obtained through the survey of the line transect method and a small part from the database, and then we combined with the related environmental variables, and afterwards evaluated to predict the habitat change and shift of species geographic range under three climate scenarios in the 2050s and 2070s. Additionally, the potential migration paths in the future were simulated by the Minimal Cumulative Resistance (MCR) model. The results showed that climate change would cause habitat loss for all four species. The Tibetan antelope was predicted to lose over 50% of its current inhabited area under the most severe climate scenario. Also, the suitable habitat of all species would shift to higher latitudes. In particular, the Przewalski’s gazelle as an endangered species that occupies narrow habitat area would face more severe challenges in the future. Therefore, all suitable habitats should be considered as important protection areas, and our results also provide a reference for designing the optimal migration corridors for the investigated species.Jingjie ZhangFeng JiangGuangying LiWen QinTong WuFeng XuYuansheng HouPengfei SongZhenyuan CaiTongzuo ZhangElsevierarticleClimate changeQinghai-Tibet plateauMaxEnt modelRange shiftMCR modelCorridor constructionEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 123, Iss , Pp 107337- (2021) |
| institution |
DOAJ |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
EN |
| topic |
Climate change Qinghai-Tibet plateau MaxEnt model Range shift MCR model Corridor construction Ecology QH540-549.5 |
| spellingShingle |
Climate change Qinghai-Tibet plateau MaxEnt model Range shift MCR model Corridor construction Ecology QH540-549.5 Jingjie Zhang Feng Jiang Guangying Li Wen Qin Tong Wu Feng Xu Yuansheng Hou Pengfei Song Zhenyuan Cai Tongzuo Zhang The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| description |
Climate change is predicted to directly or indirectly affect species distribution and abundance, especially the species that live on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau that is highly sensitive to climate change. The Przewalski’s gazelle (Procapra przewalskii), the Goitered gazelle (Gazella subgutturosa), the Tibetan gazelle (Procapra picticaudata) and the Tibetan antelope (Pantholops hodgsonii) are the only four existing antelopes living on the plateau. They play indispensable roles in regulating the structure and function of the plateau ecosystem. To understand how climate change affects the spatial distribution and migration direction of these ungulates, we applied the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and used 82, 57, 397 and 324 GPS points of Przewalski’s gazelle, Goitered gazelle, Tibetan gazelle and Tibetan antelope, respectively. These points were mainly obtained through the survey of the line transect method and a small part from the database, and then we combined with the related environmental variables, and afterwards evaluated to predict the habitat change and shift of species geographic range under three climate scenarios in the 2050s and 2070s. Additionally, the potential migration paths in the future were simulated by the Minimal Cumulative Resistance (MCR) model. The results showed that climate change would cause habitat loss for all four species. The Tibetan antelope was predicted to lose over 50% of its current inhabited area under the most severe climate scenario. Also, the suitable habitat of all species would shift to higher latitudes. In particular, the Przewalski’s gazelle as an endangered species that occupies narrow habitat area would face more severe challenges in the future. Therefore, all suitable habitats should be considered as important protection areas, and our results also provide a reference for designing the optimal migration corridors for the investigated species. |
| format |
article |
| author |
Jingjie Zhang Feng Jiang Guangying Li Wen Qin Tong Wu Feng Xu Yuansheng Hou Pengfei Song Zhenyuan Cai Tongzuo Zhang |
| author_facet |
Jingjie Zhang Feng Jiang Guangying Li Wen Qin Tong Wu Feng Xu Yuansheng Hou Pengfei Song Zhenyuan Cai Tongzuo Zhang |
| author_sort |
Jingjie Zhang |
| title |
The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| title_short |
The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| title_full |
The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| title_fullStr |
The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The four antelope species on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| title_sort |
four antelope species on the qinghai-tibet plateau face habitat loss and redistribution to higher latitudes under climate change |
| publisher |
Elsevier |
| publishDate |
2021 |
| url |
https://doaj.org/article/133852d16f5f479a81efb14c6835d955 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT jingjiezhang thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT fengjiang thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT guangyingli thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT wenqin thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT tongwu thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT fengxu thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT yuanshenghou thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT pengfeisong thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT zhenyuancai thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT tongzuozhang thefourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT jingjiezhang fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT fengjiang fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT guangyingli fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT wenqin fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT tongwu fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT fengxu fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT yuanshenghou fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT pengfeisong fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT zhenyuancai fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange AT tongzuozhang fourantelopespeciesontheqinghaitibetplateaufacehabitatlossandredistributiontohigherlatitudesunderclimatechange |
| _version_ |
1718405765123801088 |