A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations

Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to...

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Autores principales: Tony E. Wong, Ying Cui, Dana L. Royer, Klaus Keller
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a7378406
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a73784062021-12-02T14:49:09ZA tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations10.1038/s41467-021-23543-92041-1723https://doaj.org/article/13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a73784062021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23543-9https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to be around 3.4 °C.Tony E. WongYing CuiDana L. RoyerKlaus KellerNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Tony E. Wong
Ying Cui
Dana L. Royer
Klaus Keller
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
description Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to be around 3.4 °C.
format article
author Tony E. Wong
Ying Cui
Dana L. Royer
Klaus Keller
author_facet Tony E. Wong
Ying Cui
Dana L. Royer
Klaus Keller
author_sort Tony E. Wong
title A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
title_short A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
title_full A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
title_fullStr A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
title_full_unstemmed A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
title_sort tighter constraint on earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a7378406
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