A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations
Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a73784062021-12-02T14:49:09ZA tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations10.1038/s41467-021-23543-92041-1723https://doaj.org/article/13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a73784062021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23543-9https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to be around 3.4 °C.Tony E. WongYing CuiDana L. RoyerKlaus KellerNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021) |
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Science Q Tony E. Wong Ying Cui Dana L. Royer Klaus Keller A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
description |
Earth-system sensitivity (ESS) describes the long-term temperature response for a given change in atmospheric CO2 and, as such, is a crucial parameter to assess future climate change. Here, the authors use a Bayesian model with data from the last 420 Myrs to reduce uncertainties and estimate ESS to be around 3.4 °C. |
format |
article |
author |
Tony E. Wong Ying Cui Dana L. Royer Klaus Keller |
author_facet |
Tony E. Wong Ying Cui Dana L. Royer Klaus Keller |
author_sort |
Tony E. Wong |
title |
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
title_short |
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
title_full |
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
title_fullStr |
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
title_full_unstemmed |
A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
title_sort |
tighter constraint on earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/13a2a21a88a84b36a6dde690a7378406 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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