COVID-19 epidemic in Libya
The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the...
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Taylor & Francis Group
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:13a7a8575f644629a4b7557e5df09cf22021-11-26T11:19:48ZCOVID-19 epidemic in Libya1993-28201819-635710.1080/19932820.2021.1871798https://doaj.org/article/13a7a8575f644629a4b7557e5df09cf22021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19932820.2021.1871798https://doaj.org/toc/1993-2820https://doaj.org/toc/1819-6357The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress.Amin BredanOmran BakoushTaylor & Francis Grouparticlecovid-19libyamodelingepidemic spreadMedicineRENLibyan Journal of Medicine, Vol 16, Iss 1 (2021) |
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DOAJ |
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DOAJ |
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EN |
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covid-19 libya modeling epidemic spread Medicine R |
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covid-19 libya modeling epidemic spread Medicine R Amin Bredan Omran Bakoush COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| description |
The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress. |
| format |
article |
| author |
Amin Bredan Omran Bakoush |
| author_facet |
Amin Bredan Omran Bakoush |
| author_sort |
Amin Bredan |
| title |
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| title_short |
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| title_full |
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| title_fullStr |
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| title_full_unstemmed |
COVID-19 epidemic in Libya |
| title_sort |
covid-19 epidemic in libya |
| publisher |
Taylor & Francis Group |
| publishDate |
2021 |
| url |
https://doaj.org/article/13a7a8575f644629a4b7557e5df09cf2 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT aminbredan covid19epidemicinlibya AT omranbakoush covid19epidemicinlibya |
| _version_ |
1718409520355475456 |