How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the s...
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MDPI AG
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc12021-11-11T19:51:03ZHow to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure10.3390/su1321123072071-1050https://doaj.org/article/14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/12307https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the simulation. The emergence from bottom to top occurs between linking and macro variables, while the best–worst scaling describes the mapping between micro and linking variables. In the case study, Rookie, Veteran, and New Generation consumers are assumed as the three types of consumers in China’s market. A specification of the three types of variables is presented, where the value of linking variables obeys uniform distribution. By introducing the population density and the interaction frequency, the number of agents is determined with an experiment. All parameters in the model are estimated by calibrating the realistic vehicle sales. We compare different scenarios and obtain some management insights for improving the market penetration of NEVs in China.Mo ChenRudy X. J. LiuChaochao LiuMDPI AGarticlenew energy vehiclesagent-based modellinking variablesChinamarket penetrationEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12307, p 12307 (2021) |
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DOAJ |
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DOAJ |
language |
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topic |
new energy vehicles agent-based model linking variables China market penetration Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
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new energy vehicles agent-based model linking variables China market penetration Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Mo Chen Rudy X. J. Liu Chaochao Liu How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
description |
This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the simulation. The emergence from bottom to top occurs between linking and macro variables, while the best–worst scaling describes the mapping between micro and linking variables. In the case study, Rookie, Veteran, and New Generation consumers are assumed as the three types of consumers in China’s market. A specification of the three types of variables is presented, where the value of linking variables obeys uniform distribution. By introducing the population density and the interaction frequency, the number of agents is determined with an experiment. All parameters in the model are estimated by calibrating the realistic vehicle sales. We compare different scenarios and obtain some management insights for improving the market penetration of NEVs in China. |
format |
article |
author |
Mo Chen Rudy X. J. Liu Chaochao Liu |
author_facet |
Mo Chen Rudy X. J. Liu Chaochao Liu |
author_sort |
Mo Chen |
title |
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
title_short |
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
title_full |
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
title_fullStr |
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
title_full_unstemmed |
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure |
title_sort |
how to improve the market penetration of new energy vehicles in china: an agent-based model with a three-level variables structure |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT mochen howtoimprovethemarketpenetrationofnewenergyvehiclesinchinaanagentbasedmodelwithathreelevelvariablesstructure AT rudyxjliu howtoimprovethemarketpenetrationofnewenergyvehiclesinchinaanagentbasedmodelwithathreelevelvariablesstructure AT chaochaoliu howtoimprovethemarketpenetrationofnewenergyvehiclesinchinaanagentbasedmodelwithathreelevelvariablesstructure |
_version_ |
1718431392394641408 |