How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure

This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the s...

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Autores principales: Mo Chen, Rudy X. J. Liu, Chaochao Liu
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc12021-11-11T19:51:03ZHow to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure10.3390/su1321123072071-1050https://doaj.org/article/14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/12307https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the simulation. The emergence from bottom to top occurs between linking and macro variables, while the best–worst scaling describes the mapping between micro and linking variables. In the case study, Rookie, Veteran, and New Generation consumers are assumed as the three types of consumers in China’s market. A specification of the three types of variables is presented, where the value of linking variables obeys uniform distribution. By introducing the population density and the interaction frequency, the number of agents is determined with an experiment. All parameters in the model are estimated by calibrating the realistic vehicle sales. We compare different scenarios and obtain some management insights for improving the market penetration of NEVs in China.Mo ChenRudy X. J. LiuChaochao LiuMDPI AGarticlenew energy vehiclesagent-based modellinking variablesChinamarket penetrationEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12307, p 12307 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic new energy vehicles
agent-based model
linking variables
China
market penetration
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle new energy vehicles
agent-based model
linking variables
China
market penetration
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Mo Chen
Rudy X. J. Liu
Chaochao Liu
How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
description This paper develops an agent-based model with linking variables (ABML) to investigate the influencing factors for the new energy vehicles (NEVs) market in China. The ABML is a framework with three-level variables including micro, linking, and macro variables, which can reduce the complexity of the simulation. The emergence from bottom to top occurs between linking and macro variables, while the best–worst scaling describes the mapping between micro and linking variables. In the case study, Rookie, Veteran, and New Generation consumers are assumed as the three types of consumers in China’s market. A specification of the three types of variables is presented, where the value of linking variables obeys uniform distribution. By introducing the population density and the interaction frequency, the number of agents is determined with an experiment. All parameters in the model are estimated by calibrating the realistic vehicle sales. We compare different scenarios and obtain some management insights for improving the market penetration of NEVs in China.
format article
author Mo Chen
Rudy X. J. Liu
Chaochao Liu
author_facet Mo Chen
Rudy X. J. Liu
Chaochao Liu
author_sort Mo Chen
title How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
title_short How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
title_full How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
title_fullStr How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
title_full_unstemmed How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure
title_sort how to improve the market penetration of new energy vehicles in china: an agent-based model with a three-level variables structure
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/14255dc3157344a79b7a299c28de0bc1
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AT rudyxjliu howtoimprovethemarketpenetrationofnewenergyvehiclesinchinaanagentbasedmodelwithathreelevelvariablesstructure
AT chaochaoliu howtoimprovethemarketpenetrationofnewenergyvehiclesinchinaanagentbasedmodelwithathreelevelvariablesstructure
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