Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.

Recent evidence suggests that, in some foci, elimination of onchocerciasis from Africa may be feasible with mass drug administration (MDA) of ivermectin. To achieve continental elimination of transmission, mapping surveys will need to be conducted across all implementation units (IUs) for which ende...

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Autores principales:	Elizabeth A Cromwell, Joshua C P Osborne, Thomas R Unnasch, Maria-Gloria Basáñez, Katherine M Gass, Kira A Barbre, Elex Hill, Kimberly B Johnson, Katie M Donkers, Shreya Shirude, Chris A Schmidt, Victor Adekanmbi, Olatunji O Adetokunboh, Mohsen Afarideh, Ehsan Ahmadpour, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Temesgen Yihunie Akalu, Ziyad Al-Aly, Fahad Mashhour Alanezi, Turki M Alanzi, Vahid Alipour, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Fereshteh Ansari, Mustafa Geleto Ansha, Davood Anvari, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Jalal Arabloo, Benjamin F Arnold, Marcel Ausloos, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Atif Amin Baig, Maciej Banach, Aleksandra Barac, Till Winfried Bärnighausen, Mohsen Bayati, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Sadia Bibi, Ali Bijani, Somayeh Bohlouli, Mahdi Bohluli, Oliver J Brady, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Zahid A Butt, Felix Carvalho, Souranshu Chatterjee, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Soosanna Kumary Chattu, Natalie Maria Cormier, Saad M A Dahlawi, Giovanni Damiani, Farah Daoud, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Ahmad Daryani, Kebede Deribe, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Daniel Diaz, Hoa Thi Do, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Maha El Tantawi, Demelash Abewa Elemineh, Anwar Faraj, Majid Fasihi Harandi, Yousef Fatahi, Valery L Feigin, Eduarda Fernandes, Nataliya A Foigt, Masoud Foroutan, Richard Charles Franklin, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Davide Guido, Yuming Guo, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Kanaan Hamagharib Abdullah, Samer Hamidi, Claudiu Herteliu, Hagos Degefa de Hidru, Tarig B Higazi, Naznin Hossain, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mowafa Househ, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Milena D Ilic, Irena M Ilic, Usman Iqbal, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Ravi Prakash Jha, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Zubair Kabir, Leila R Kalankesh, Rohollah Kalhor, Behzad Karami Matin, Salah Eddin Karimi, Amir Kasaeian, Taras Kavetskyy, Gbenga A Kayode, Ali Kazemi Karyani, Abraham Getachew Kelbore, Maryam Keramati, Rovshan Khalilov, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman Khan, Khaled Khatab, Mona M Khater, Neda Kianipour, Kelemu Tilahun Kibret, Yun Jin Kim, Soewarta Kosen, Kris J Krohn, Dian Kusuma, Carlo La Vecchia, Van Charles Lansingh, Paul H Lee, Kate E LeGrand, Shanshan Li, Joshua Longbottom, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Afshin Maleki, Abdullah A Mamun, Ali Manafi, Navid Manafi, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Mohsen Mazidi, Colm McAlinden, Birhanu Geta Meharie, Walter Mendoza, Endalkachew Worku Mengesha, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Seid Tiku Mereta, Tomislav Mestrovic, Ted R Miller, Mohammad Miri, Masoud Moghadaszadeh, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Reza Mohammadpourhodki, Shafiu Mohammed, Salahuddin Mohammed, Masoud Moradi, Rahmatollah Moradzadeh, Paula Moraga, Jonathan F Mosser, Mehdi Naderi, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Gurudatta Naik, Ionut Negoi, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Rajan Nikbakhsh, Bogdan Oancea, Tinuke O Olagunju, Andrew T Olagunju, Ahmed Omar Bali, Obinna E Onwujekwe, Adrian Pana, Hadi Pourjafar, Fakher Rahim, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Priya Rathi, Salman Rawaf, David Laith Rawaf, Reza Rawassizadeh, Serge Resnikoff, Melese Abate Reta, Aziz Rezapour, Enrico Rubagotti, Salvatore Rubino, Ehsan Sadeghi, Abedin Saghafipour, S Mohammad Sajadi, Abdallah M Samy, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez, Monika Sawhney, Megan F Schipp, Amira A Shaheen, Masood Ali Shaikh, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Kiomars Sharafi, Aziz Sheikh, B Suresh Kumar Shetty, Jae Il Shin, K M Shivakumar, Biagio Simonetti, Jasvinder A Singh, Eirini Skiadaresi, Amin Soheili, Shahin Soltani, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Takahiro Tabuchi, Leili Tapak, Robert L Thompson, Alan J Thomson, Eugenio Traini, Bach Xuan Tran, Irfan Ullah, Saif Ullah, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Olalekan A Uthman, Natalie V S Vinkeles Melchers, Francesco S Violante, Haileab Fekadu Wolde, Tewodros Eshete Wonde, Tomohide Yamada, Sanni Yaya, Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Hebat-Allah Salah A Yousof, Chuanhua Yu, Yong Yu, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Leila Zaki, Sojib Bin Zaman, Maryam Zamanian, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Yunquan Zhang, Arash Ziapour, Simon I Hay, David M Pigott
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/143af819c7d14608bd5c3efea8bfc4e9
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:143af819c7d14608bd5c3efea8bfc4e9
record_format	dspace
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
spellingShingle	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Elizabeth A Cromwell Joshua C P Osborne Thomas R Unnasch Maria-Gloria Basáñez Katherine M Gass Kira A Barbre Elex Hill Kimberly B Johnson Katie M Donkers Shreya Shirude Chris A Schmidt Victor Adekanmbi Olatunji O Adetokunboh Mohsen Afarideh Ehsan Ahmadpour Muktar Beshir Ahmed Temesgen Yihunie Akalu Ziyad Al-Aly Fahad Mashhour Alanezi Turki M Alanzi Vahid Alipour Catalina Liliana Andrei Fereshteh Ansari Mustafa Geleto Ansha Davood Anvari Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah Jalal Arabloo Benjamin F Arnold Marcel Ausloos Martin Amogre Ayanore Atif Amin Baig Maciej Banach Aleksandra Barac Till Winfried Bärnighausen Mohsen Bayati Krittika Bhattacharyya Zulfiqar A Bhutta Sadia Bibi Ali Bijani Somayeh Bohlouli Mahdi Bohluli Oliver J Brady Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Zahid A Butt Felix Carvalho Souranshu Chatterjee Vijay Kumar Chattu Soosanna Kumary Chattu Natalie Maria Cormier Saad M A Dahlawi Giovanni Damiani Farah Daoud Aso Mohammad Darwesh Ahmad Daryani Kebede Deribe Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne Daniel Diaz Hoa Thi Do Maysaa El Sayed Zaki Maha El Tantawi Demelash Abewa Elemineh Anwar Faraj Majid Fasihi Harandi Yousef Fatahi Valery L Feigin Eduarda Fernandes Nataliya A Foigt Masoud Foroutan Richard Charles Franklin Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari Davide Guido Yuming Guo Arvin Haj-Mirzaian Kanaan Hamagharib Abdullah Samer Hamidi Claudiu Herteliu Hagos Degefa de Hidru Tarig B Higazi Naznin Hossain Mehdi Hosseinzadeh Mowafa Househ Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi Milena D Ilic Irena M Ilic Usman Iqbal Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani Ravi Prakash Jha Farahnaz Joukar Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak Zubair Kabir Leila R Kalankesh Rohollah Kalhor Behzad Karami Matin Salah Eddin Karimi Amir Kasaeian Taras Kavetskyy Gbenga A Kayode Ali Kazemi Karyani Abraham Getachew Kelbore Maryam Keramati Rovshan Khalilov Ejaz Ahmad Khan Md Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman Khan Khaled Khatab Mona M Khater Neda Kianipour Kelemu Tilahun Kibret Yun Jin Kim Soewarta Kosen Kris J Krohn Dian Kusuma Carlo La Vecchia Van Charles Lansingh Paul H Lee Kate E LeGrand Shanshan Li Joshua Longbottom Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek Afshin Maleki Abdullah A Mamun Ali Manafi Navid Manafi Mohammad Ali Mansournia Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo Mohsen Mazidi Colm McAlinden Birhanu Geta Meharie Walter Mendoza Endalkachew Worku Mengesha Desalegn Tadese Mengistu Seid Tiku Mereta Tomislav Mestrovic Ted R Miller Mohammad Miri Masoud Moghadaszadeh Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani Reza Mohammadpourhodki Shafiu Mohammed Salahuddin Mohammed Masoud Moradi Rahmatollah Moradzadeh Paula Moraga Jonathan F Mosser Mehdi Naderi Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan Gurudatta Naik Ionut Negoi Cuong Tat Nguyen Huong Lan Thi Nguyen Trang Huyen Nguyen Rajan Nikbakhsh Bogdan Oancea Tinuke O Olagunju Andrew T Olagunju Ahmed Omar Bali Obinna E Onwujekwe Adrian Pana Hadi Pourjafar Fakher Rahim Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman Priya Rathi Salman Rawaf David Laith Rawaf Reza Rawassizadeh Serge Resnikoff Melese Abate Reta Aziz Rezapour Enrico Rubagotti Salvatore Rubino Ehsan Sadeghi Abedin Saghafipour S Mohammad Sajadi Abdallah M Samy Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez Monika Sawhney Megan F Schipp Amira A Shaheen Masood Ali Shaikh Morteza Shamsizadeh Kiomars Sharafi Aziz Sheikh B Suresh Kumar Shetty Jae Il Shin K M Shivakumar Biagio Simonetti Jasvinder A Singh Eirini Skiadaresi Amin Soheili Shahin Soltani Emma Elizabeth Spurlock Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan Takahiro Tabuchi Leili Tapak Robert L Thompson Alan J Thomson Eugenio Traini Bach Xuan Tran Irfan Ullah Saif Ullah Chigozie Jesse Uneke Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan Olalekan A Uthman Natalie V S Vinkeles Melchers Francesco S Violante Haileab Fekadu Wolde Tewodros Eshete Wonde Tomohide Yamada Sanni Yaya Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi Paul Yip Naohiro Yonemoto Hebat-Allah Salah A Yousof Chuanhua Yu Yong Yu Hasan Yusefzadeh Leila Zaki Sojib Bin Zaman Maryam Zamanian Zhi-Jiang Zhang Yunquan Zhang Arash Ziapour Simon I Hay David M Pigott Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
description	Recent evidence suggests that, in some foci, elimination of onchocerciasis from Africa may be feasible with mass drug administration (MDA) of ivermectin. To achieve continental elimination of transmission, mapping surveys will need to be conducted across all implementation units (IUs) for which endemicity status is currently unknown. Using boosted regression tree models with optimised hyperparameter selection, we estimated environmental suitability for onchocerciasis at the 5 × 5-km resolution across Africa. In order to classify IUs that include locations that are environmentally suitable, we used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to identify an optimal threshold for suitability concordant with locations where onchocerciasis has been previously detected. This threshold value was then used to classify IUs (more suitable or less suitable) based on the location within the IU with the largest mean prediction. Mean estimates of environmental suitability suggest large areas across West and Central Africa, as well as focal areas of East Africa, are suitable for onchocerciasis transmission, consistent with the presence of current control and elimination of transmission efforts. The ROC analysis identified a mean environmental suitability index of 0·71 as a threshold to classify based on the location with the largest mean prediction within the IU. Of the IUs considered for mapping surveys, 50·2% exceed this threshold for suitability in at least one 5 × 5-km location. The formidable scale of data collection required to map onchocerciasis endemicity across the African continent presents an opportunity to use spatial data to identify areas likely to be suitable for onchocerciasis transmission. National onchocerciasis elimination programmes may wish to consider prioritising these IUs for mapping surveys as human resources, laboratory capacity, and programmatic schedules may constrain survey implementation, and possibly delaying MDA initiation in areas that would ultimately qualify.
format	article
author	Elizabeth A Cromwell Joshua C P Osborne Thomas R Unnasch Maria-Gloria Basáñez Katherine M Gass Kira A Barbre Elex Hill Kimberly B Johnson Katie M Donkers Shreya Shirude Chris A Schmidt Victor Adekanmbi Olatunji O Adetokunboh Mohsen Afarideh Ehsan Ahmadpour Muktar Beshir Ahmed Temesgen Yihunie Akalu Ziyad Al-Aly Fahad Mashhour Alanezi Turki M Alanzi Vahid Alipour Catalina Liliana Andrei Fereshteh Ansari Mustafa Geleto Ansha Davood Anvari Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah Jalal Arabloo Benjamin F Arnold Marcel Ausloos Martin Amogre Ayanore Atif Amin Baig Maciej Banach Aleksandra Barac Till Winfried Bärnighausen Mohsen Bayati Krittika Bhattacharyya Zulfiqar A Bhutta Sadia Bibi Ali Bijani Somayeh Bohlouli Mahdi Bohluli Oliver J Brady Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Zahid A Butt Felix Carvalho Souranshu Chatterjee Vijay Kumar Chattu Soosanna Kumary Chattu Natalie Maria Cormier Saad M A Dahlawi Giovanni Damiani Farah Daoud Aso Mohammad Darwesh Ahmad Daryani Kebede Deribe Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne Daniel Diaz Hoa Thi Do Maysaa El Sayed Zaki Maha El Tantawi Demelash Abewa Elemineh Anwar Faraj Majid Fasihi Harandi Yousef Fatahi Valery L Feigin Eduarda Fernandes Nataliya A Foigt Masoud Foroutan Richard Charles Franklin Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari Davide Guido Yuming Guo Arvin Haj-Mirzaian Kanaan Hamagharib Abdullah Samer Hamidi Claudiu Herteliu Hagos Degefa de Hidru Tarig B Higazi Naznin Hossain Mehdi Hosseinzadeh Mowafa Househ Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi Milena D Ilic Irena M Ilic Usman Iqbal Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani Ravi Prakash Jha Farahnaz Joukar Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak Zubair Kabir Leila R Kalankesh Rohollah Kalhor Behzad Karami Matin Salah Eddin Karimi Amir Kasaeian Taras Kavetskyy Gbenga A Kayode Ali Kazemi Karyani Abraham Getachew Kelbore Maryam Keramati Rovshan Khalilov Ejaz Ahmad Khan Md Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman Khan Khaled Khatab Mona M Khater Neda Kianipour Kelemu Tilahun Kibret Yun Jin Kim Soewarta Kosen Kris J Krohn Dian Kusuma Carlo La Vecchia Van Charles Lansingh Paul H Lee Kate E LeGrand Shanshan Li Joshua Longbottom Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek Afshin Maleki Abdullah A Mamun Ali Manafi Navid Manafi Mohammad Ali Mansournia Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo Mohsen Mazidi Colm McAlinden Birhanu Geta Meharie Walter Mendoza Endalkachew Worku Mengesha Desalegn Tadese Mengistu Seid Tiku Mereta Tomislav Mestrovic Ted R Miller Mohammad Miri Masoud Moghadaszadeh Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani Reza Mohammadpourhodki Shafiu Mohammed Salahuddin Mohammed Masoud Moradi Rahmatollah Moradzadeh Paula Moraga Jonathan F Mosser Mehdi Naderi Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan Gurudatta Naik Ionut Negoi Cuong Tat Nguyen Huong Lan Thi Nguyen Trang Huyen Nguyen Rajan Nikbakhsh Bogdan Oancea Tinuke O Olagunju Andrew T Olagunju Ahmed Omar Bali Obinna E Onwujekwe Adrian Pana Hadi Pourjafar Fakher Rahim Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman Priya Rathi Salman Rawaf David Laith Rawaf Reza Rawassizadeh Serge Resnikoff Melese Abate Reta Aziz Rezapour Enrico Rubagotti Salvatore Rubino Ehsan Sadeghi Abedin Saghafipour S Mohammad Sajadi Abdallah M Samy Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez Monika Sawhney Megan F Schipp Amira A Shaheen Masood Ali Shaikh Morteza Shamsizadeh Kiomars Sharafi Aziz Sheikh B Suresh Kumar Shetty Jae Il Shin K M Shivakumar Biagio Simonetti Jasvinder A Singh Eirini Skiadaresi Amin Soheili Shahin Soltani Emma Elizabeth Spurlock Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan Takahiro Tabuchi Leili Tapak Robert L Thompson Alan J Thomson Eugenio Traini Bach Xuan Tran Irfan Ullah Saif Ullah Chigozie Jesse Uneke Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan Olalekan A Uthman Natalie V S Vinkeles Melchers Francesco S Violante Haileab Fekadu Wolde Tewodros Eshete Wonde Tomohide Yamada Sanni Yaya Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi Paul Yip Naohiro Yonemoto Hebat-Allah Salah A Yousof Chuanhua Yu Yong Yu Hasan Yusefzadeh Leila Zaki Sojib Bin Zaman Maryam Zamanian Zhi-Jiang Zhang Yunquan Zhang Arash Ziapour Simon I Hay David M Pigott
author_facet	Elizabeth A Cromwell Joshua C P Osborne Thomas R Unnasch Maria-Gloria Basáñez Katherine M Gass Kira A Barbre Elex Hill Kimberly B Johnson Katie M Donkers Shreya Shirude Chris A Schmidt Victor Adekanmbi Olatunji O Adetokunboh Mohsen Afarideh Ehsan Ahmadpour Muktar Beshir Ahmed Temesgen Yihunie Akalu Ziyad Al-Aly Fahad Mashhour Alanezi Turki M Alanzi Vahid Alipour Catalina Liliana Andrei Fereshteh Ansari Mustafa Geleto Ansha Davood Anvari Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah Jalal Arabloo Benjamin F Arnold Marcel Ausloos Martin Amogre Ayanore Atif Amin Baig Maciej Banach Aleksandra Barac Till Winfried Bärnighausen Mohsen Bayati Krittika Bhattacharyya Zulfiqar A Bhutta Sadia Bibi Ali Bijani Somayeh Bohlouli Mahdi Bohluli Oliver J Brady Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Zahid A Butt Felix Carvalho Souranshu Chatterjee Vijay Kumar Chattu Soosanna Kumary Chattu Natalie Maria Cormier Saad M A Dahlawi Giovanni Damiani Farah Daoud Aso Mohammad Darwesh Ahmad Daryani Kebede Deribe Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne Daniel Diaz Hoa Thi Do Maysaa El Sayed Zaki Maha El Tantawi Demelash Abewa Elemineh Anwar Faraj Majid Fasihi Harandi Yousef Fatahi Valery L Feigin Eduarda Fernandes Nataliya A Foigt Masoud Foroutan Richard Charles Franklin Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari Davide Guido Yuming Guo Arvin Haj-Mirzaian Kanaan Hamagharib Abdullah Samer Hamidi Claudiu Herteliu Hagos Degefa de Hidru Tarig B Higazi Naznin Hossain Mehdi Hosseinzadeh Mowafa Househ Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi Milena D Ilic Irena M Ilic Usman Iqbal Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani Ravi Prakash Jha Farahnaz Joukar Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak Zubair Kabir Leila R Kalankesh Rohollah Kalhor Behzad Karami Matin Salah Eddin Karimi Amir Kasaeian Taras Kavetskyy Gbenga A Kayode Ali Kazemi Karyani Abraham Getachew Kelbore Maryam Keramati Rovshan Khalilov Ejaz Ahmad Khan Md Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman Khan Khaled Khatab Mona M Khater Neda Kianipour Kelemu Tilahun Kibret Yun Jin Kim Soewarta Kosen Kris J Krohn Dian Kusuma Carlo La Vecchia Van Charles Lansingh Paul H Lee Kate E LeGrand Shanshan Li Joshua Longbottom Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek Afshin Maleki Abdullah A Mamun Ali Manafi Navid Manafi Mohammad Ali Mansournia Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo Mohsen Mazidi Colm McAlinden Birhanu Geta Meharie Walter Mendoza Endalkachew Worku Mengesha Desalegn Tadese Mengistu Seid Tiku Mereta Tomislav Mestrovic Ted R Miller Mohammad Miri Masoud Moghadaszadeh Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani Reza Mohammadpourhodki Shafiu Mohammed Salahuddin Mohammed Masoud Moradi Rahmatollah Moradzadeh Paula Moraga Jonathan F Mosser Mehdi Naderi Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan Gurudatta Naik Ionut Negoi Cuong Tat Nguyen Huong Lan Thi Nguyen Trang Huyen Nguyen Rajan Nikbakhsh Bogdan Oancea Tinuke O Olagunju Andrew T Olagunju Ahmed Omar Bali Obinna E Onwujekwe Adrian Pana Hadi Pourjafar Fakher Rahim Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman Priya Rathi Salman Rawaf David Laith Rawaf Reza Rawassizadeh Serge Resnikoff Melese Abate Reta Aziz Rezapour Enrico Rubagotti Salvatore Rubino Ehsan Sadeghi Abedin Saghafipour S Mohammad Sajadi Abdallah M Samy Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez Monika Sawhney Megan F Schipp Amira A Shaheen Masood Ali Shaikh Morteza Shamsizadeh Kiomars Sharafi Aziz Sheikh B Suresh Kumar Shetty Jae Il Shin K M Shivakumar Biagio Simonetti Jasvinder A Singh Eirini Skiadaresi Amin Soheili Shahin Soltani Emma Elizabeth Spurlock Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan Takahiro Tabuchi Leili Tapak Robert L Thompson Alan J Thomson Eugenio Traini Bach Xuan Tran Irfan Ullah Saif Ullah Chigozie Jesse Uneke Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan Olalekan A Uthman Natalie V S Vinkeles Melchers Francesco S Violante Haileab Fekadu Wolde Tewodros Eshete Wonde Tomohide Yamada Sanni Yaya Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi Paul Yip Naohiro Yonemoto Hebat-Allah Salah A Yousof Chuanhua Yu Yong Yu Hasan Yusefzadeh Leila Zaki Sojib Bin Zaman Maryam Zamanian Zhi-Jiang Zhang Yunquan Zhang Arash Ziapour Simon I Hay David M Pigott
author_sort	Elizabeth A Cromwell
title	Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
title_short	Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
title_full	Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
title_fullStr	Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
title_full_unstemmed	Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.
title_sort	predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in africa as an aid to elimination planning.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/143af819c7d14608bd5c3efea8bfc4e9
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zulfiqarabhutta predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT sadiabibi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT alibijani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT somayehbohlouli predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mahdibohluli predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT oliverjbrady predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT nicolaluigibragazzi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT zahidabutt predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT felixcarvalho predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT souranshuchatterjee predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT vijaykumarchattu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT soosannakumarychattu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT nataliemariacormier predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT saadmadahlawi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT giovannidamiani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT farahdaoud predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT asomohammaddarwesh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ahmaddaryani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kebedederibe predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT samathdhammindadharmaratne predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT danieldiaz predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hoathido predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT maysaaelsayedzaki predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mahaeltantawi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT demelashabewaelemineh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT anwarfaraj predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT majidfasihiharandi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT youseffatahi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT valerylfeigin predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT eduardafernandes predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT nataliyaafoigt predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT masoudforoutan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT richardcharlesfranklin predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mohammedibrahimmohialdeengubari predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT davideguido predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT yumingguo predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT arvinhajmirzaian predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kanaanhamagharibabdullah predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT samerhamidi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT claudiuherteliu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hagosdegefadehidru predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tarigbhigazi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT nazninhossain predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mehdihosseinzadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mowafahouseh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT olayinkastephenilesanmi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT milenadilic predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT irenamilic predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT usmaniqbal predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT seyedsinanaghibiirvani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT raviprakashjha predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT farahnazjoukar predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT jacekjerzyjozwiak predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT zubairkabir predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT leilarkalankesh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rohollahkalhor predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT behzadkaramimatin predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT salaheddinkarimi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT amirkasaeian predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT taraskavetskyy predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT gbengaakayode predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT alikazemikaryani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT abrahamgetachewkelbore predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT maryamkeramati predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rovshankhalilov predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ejazahmadkhan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mdnuruzzamannuruzzamankhan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT khaledkhatab predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT monamkhater predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT nedakianipour predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kelemutilahunkibret predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT yunjinkim predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT soewartakosen predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT krisjkrohn predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT diankusuma predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT carlolavecchia predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT vancharleslansingh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT paulhlee predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kateelegrand predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT shanshanli predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT joshualongbottom predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hassanmagdyabdelrazek predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT muhammedmagdyabdelrazek predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT afshinmaleki predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT abdullahamamun predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT alimanafi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT navidmanafi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mohammadalimansournia predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT franciscorogerlandiomartinsmelo predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mohsenmazidi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT colmmcalinden predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT birhanugetameharie predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT waltermendoza predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT endalkachewworkumengesha predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT desalegntadesemengistu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT seidtikumereta predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tomislavmestrovic predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tedrmiller predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mohammadmiri predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT masoudmoghadaszadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT abdollahmohammadianhafshejani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rezamohammadpourhodki predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT shafiumohammed predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT salahuddinmohammed predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT masoudmoradi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rahmatollahmoradzadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT paulamoraga predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT jonathanfmosser predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mehdinaderi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ahamarshanjayaramannagarajan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT gurudattanaik predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ionutnegoi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT cuongtatnguyen predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT huonglanthinguyen predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tranghuyennguyen predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rajannikbakhsh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT bogdanoancea predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tinukeoolagunju predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT andrewtolagunju predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ahmedomarbali predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT obinnaeonwujekwe predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT adrianpana predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hadipourjafar predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT fakherrahim predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mohammadhifzurrahman predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT priyarathi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT salmanrawaf predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT davidlaithrawaf predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rezarawassizadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT sergeresnikoff predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT meleseabatereta predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT azizrezapour predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT enricorubagotti predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT salvatorerubino predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT ehsansadeghi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT abedinsaghafipour predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT smohammadsajadi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT abdallahmsamy predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT rodrigosarmientosuarez predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT monikasawhney predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT meganfschipp predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT amiraashaheen predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT masoodalishaikh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT mortezashamsizadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kiomarssharafi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT azizsheikh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT bsureshkumarshetty predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT jaeilshin predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT kmshivakumar predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT biagiosimonetti predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT jasvinderasingh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT eiriniskiadaresi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT aminsoheili predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT shahinsoltani predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT emmaelizabethspurlock predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT muawiyyahbabalesufiyan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT takahirotabuchi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT leilitapak predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT robertlthompson predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT alanjthomson predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT eugeniotraini predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT bachxuantran predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT irfanullah predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT saifullah predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT chigoziejesseuneke predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT bhaskaranunnikrishnan predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT olalekanauthman predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT natalievsvinkelesmelchers predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT francescosviolante predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT haileabfekaduwolde predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tewodroseshetewonde predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT tomohideyamada predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT sanniyaya predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT vahidyazdifeyzabadi predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT paulyip predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT naohiroyonemoto predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hebatallahsalahayousof predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT chuanhuayu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT yongyu predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT hasanyusefzadeh predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT leilazaki predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT sojibbinzaman predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT maryamzamanian predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT zhijiangzhang predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT yunquanzhang predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT arashziapour predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT simonihay predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning AT davidmpigott predictingtheenvironmentalsuitabilityforonchocerciasisinafricaasanaidtoeliminationplanning
_version_	1718413603484205056
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:143af819c7d14608bd5c3efea8bfc4e92021-11-25T06:33:27ZPredicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.1935-27271935-273510.1371/journal.pntd.0008824https://doaj.org/article/143af819c7d14608bd5c3efea8bfc4e92021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0008824https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2727https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2735Recent evidence suggests that, in some foci, elimination of onchocerciasis from Africa may be feasible with mass drug administration (MDA) of ivermectin. To achieve continental elimination of transmission, mapping surveys will need to be conducted across all implementation units (IUs) for which endemicity status is currently unknown. Using boosted regression tree models with optimised hyperparameter selection, we estimated environmental suitability for onchocerciasis at the 5 × 5-km resolution across Africa. In order to classify IUs that include locations that are environmentally suitable, we used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to identify an optimal threshold for suitability concordant with locations where onchocerciasis has been previously detected. This threshold value was then used to classify IUs (more suitable or less suitable) based on the location within the IU with the largest mean prediction. Mean estimates of environmental suitability suggest large areas across West and Central Africa, as well as focal areas of East Africa, are suitable for onchocerciasis transmission, consistent with the presence of current control and elimination of transmission efforts. The ROC analysis identified a mean environmental suitability index of 0·71 as a threshold to classify based on the location with the largest mean prediction within the IU. Of the IUs considered for mapping surveys, 50·2% exceed this threshold for suitability in at least one 5 × 5-km location. The formidable scale of data collection required to map onchocerciasis endemicity across the African continent presents an opportunity to use spatial data to identify areas likely to be suitable for onchocerciasis transmission. National onchocerciasis elimination programmes may wish to consider prioritising these IUs for mapping surveys as human resources, laboratory capacity, and programmatic schedules may constrain survey implementation, and possibly delaying MDA initiation in areas that would ultimately qualify.Elizabeth A CromwellJoshua C P OsborneThomas R UnnaschMaria-Gloria BasáñezKatherine M GassKira A BarbreElex HillKimberly B JohnsonKatie M DonkersShreya ShirudeChris A SchmidtVictor AdekanmbiOlatunji O AdetokunbohMohsen AfaridehEhsan AhmadpourMuktar Beshir AhmedTemesgen Yihunie AkaluZiyad Al-AlyFahad Mashhour AlaneziTurki M AlanziVahid AlipourCatalina Liliana AndreiFereshteh AnsariMustafa Geleto AnshaDavood AnvariSeth Christopher Yaw AppiahJalal ArablooBenjamin F ArnoldMarcel AusloosMartin Amogre AyanoreAtif Amin BaigMaciej BanachAleksandra BaracTill Winfried BärnighausenMohsen BayatiKrittika BhattacharyyaZulfiqar A BhuttaSadia BibiAli BijaniSomayeh BohlouliMahdi BohluliOliver J BradyNicola Luigi BragazziZahid A ButtFelix CarvalhoSouranshu ChatterjeeVijay Kumar ChattuSoosanna Kumary ChattuNatalie Maria CormierSaad M A DahlawiGiovanni DamianiFarah DaoudAso Mohammad DarweshAhmad DaryaniKebede DeribeSamath Dhamminda DharmaratneDaniel DiazHoa Thi DoMaysaa El Sayed ZakiMaha El TantawiDemelash Abewa EleminehAnwar FarajMajid Fasihi HarandiYousef FatahiValery L FeiginEduarda FernandesNataliya A FoigtMasoud ForoutanRichard Charles FranklinMohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen GubariDavide GuidoYuming GuoArvin Haj-MirzaianKanaan Hamagharib AbdullahSamer HamidiClaudiu HerteliuHagos Degefa de HidruTarig B HigaziNaznin HossainMehdi HosseinzadehMowafa HousehOlayinka Stephen IlesanmiMilena D IlicIrena M IlicUsman IqbalSeyed Sina Naghibi IrvaniRavi Prakash JhaFarahnaz JoukarJacek Jerzy JozwiakZubair KabirLeila R KalankeshRohollah KalhorBehzad Karami MatinSalah Eddin KarimiAmir KasaeianTaras KavetskyyGbenga A KayodeAli Kazemi KaryaniAbraham Getachew KelboreMaryam KeramatiRovshan KhalilovEjaz Ahmad KhanMd Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman KhanKhaled KhatabMona M KhaterNeda KianipourKelemu Tilahun KibretYun Jin KimSoewarta KosenKris J KrohnDian KusumaCarlo La VecchiaVan Charles LansinghPaul H LeeKate E LeGrandShanshan LiJoshua LongbottomHassan Magdy Abd El RazekMuhammed Magdy Abd El RazekAfshin MalekiAbdullah A MamunAli ManafiNavid ManafiMohammad Ali MansourniaFrancisco Rogerlândio Martins-MeloMohsen MazidiColm McAlindenBirhanu Geta MeharieWalter MendozaEndalkachew Worku MengeshaDesalegn Tadese MengistuSeid Tiku MeretaTomislav MestrovicTed R MillerMohammad MiriMasoud MoghadaszadehAbdollah Mohammadian-HafshejaniReza MohammadpourhodkiShafiu MohammedSalahuddin MohammedMasoud MoradiRahmatollah MoradzadehPaula MoragaJonathan F MosserMehdi NaderiAhamarshan Jayaraman NagarajanGurudatta NaikIonut NegoiCuong Tat NguyenHuong Lan Thi NguyenTrang Huyen NguyenRajan NikbakhshBogdan OanceaTinuke O OlagunjuAndrew T OlagunjuAhmed Omar BaliObinna E OnwujekweAdrian PanaHadi PourjafarFakher RahimMohammad Hifz Ur RahmanPriya RathiSalman RawafDavid Laith RawafReza RawassizadehSerge ResnikoffMelese Abate RetaAziz RezapourEnrico RubagottiSalvatore RubinoEhsan SadeghiAbedin SaghafipourS Mohammad SajadiAbdallah M SamyRodrigo Sarmiento-SuárezMonika SawhneyMegan F SchippAmira A ShaheenMasood Ali ShaikhMorteza ShamsizadehKiomars SharafiAziz SheikhB Suresh Kumar ShettyJae Il ShinK M ShivakumarBiagio SimonettiJasvinder A SinghEirini SkiadaresiAmin SoheiliShahin SoltaniEmma Elizabeth SpurlockMu'awiyyah Babale SufiyanTakahiro TabuchiLeili TapakRobert L ThompsonAlan J ThomsonEugenio TrainiBach Xuan TranIrfan UllahSaif UllahChigozie Jesse UnekeBhaskaran UnnikrishnanOlalekan A UthmanNatalie V S Vinkeles MelchersFrancesco S ViolanteHaileab Fekadu WoldeTewodros Eshete WondeTomohide YamadaSanni YayaVahid Yazdi-FeyzabadiPaul YipNaohiro YonemotoHebat-Allah Salah A YousofChuanhua YuYong YuHasan YusefzadehLeila ZakiSojib Bin ZamanMaryam ZamanianZhi-Jiang ZhangYunquan ZhangArash ZiapourSimon I HayDavid M PigottPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleArctic medicine. Tropical medicineRC955-962Public aspects of medicineRA1-1270ENPLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol 15, Iss 7, p e0008824 (2021)

Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning.

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