Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database

Abstract Background Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has been reported that associated with poor prognosis in heart failure patients. However, no researchinvestigated the association of ePVS and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Therefore, we aimed to determine the a...

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Autores principales: Jun Chen, Jiayi Shen, Dongsheng Cai, Tiemin Wei, Renyi Qian, Chunlai Zeng, Lingchun Lyu
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:153404ddf1474a9fbc1207338d40abc32021-11-14T12:07:28ZEstimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database10.1186/s12872-021-02338-21471-2261https://doaj.org/article/153404ddf1474a9fbc1207338d40abc32021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-021-02338-2https://doaj.org/toc/1471-2261Abstract Background Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has been reported that associated with poor prognosis in heart failure patients. However, no researchinvestigated the association of ePVS and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Therefore, we aimed to determine the association between ePVS and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. Methods and results We extracted AMI patients data from MIMIC-III database. A generalized additive model and logistic regression model were used to demonstrate the association between ePVS levels and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was used to pooled the in-hospital mortality between the various group. ROC curve analysis were used to assessed the discrimination of ePVS for predicting in-hospital mortality. 1534 eligible subjects (1004 males and 530 females) with an average age of 67.36 ± 0.36 years old were included in our study finally. 136 patients (73 males and 63 females) died in hospital, with the prevalence of in-hospital mortality was 8.9%. The result of the Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the high-ePVS group (ePVS ≥ 5.28 mL/g) had significant lower survival possibility in-hospital admission compared with the low-ePVS group (ePVS < 5.28 mL/g). In the unadjusted model, high-level of ePVS was associated with higher OR (1.09; 95% CI 1.06–1.12; P < 0.001) compared with low-level of ePVS. After adjusted the vital signs data, laboratory data, and treatment, high-level of ePVS were also associated with increased OR of in-hospital mortality, 1.06 (95% CI 1.03–1.09; P < 0.001), 1.05 (95% CI 1.01–1.08; P = 0.009), 1.04 (95% CI 1.01–1.07; P = 0.023), respectively. The ROC curve indicated that ePVS has acceptable discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality. The AUC value was found to be 0.667 (95% CI 0.653–0.681). Conclusion Higher ePVS values, calculated simply from Duarte’s formula (based on hemoglobin/hematocrit) was associated with poor prognosis in AMI patients. EPVS is a predictor for predicting in-hospital mortality of AMI, and could help refine risk stratification.Jun ChenJiayi ShenDongsheng CaiTiemin WeiRenyi QianChunlai ZengLingchun LyuBMCarticleAcute myocardial infarctionEstimated plasma volume status (ePVS)PrognosisMIMIC-III databaseDiseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) systemRC666-701ENBMC Cardiovascular Disorders, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Acute myocardial infarction
Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS)
Prognosis
MIMIC-III database
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
spellingShingle Acute myocardial infarction
Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS)
Prognosis
MIMIC-III database
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
Jun Chen
Jiayi Shen
Dongsheng Cai
Tiemin Wei
Renyi Qian
Chunlai Zeng
Lingchun Lyu
Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
description Abstract Background Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has been reported that associated with poor prognosis in heart failure patients. However, no researchinvestigated the association of ePVS and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Therefore, we aimed to determine the association between ePVS and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. Methods and results We extracted AMI patients data from MIMIC-III database. A generalized additive model and logistic regression model were used to demonstrate the association between ePVS levels and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was used to pooled the in-hospital mortality between the various group. ROC curve analysis were used to assessed the discrimination of ePVS for predicting in-hospital mortality. 1534 eligible subjects (1004 males and 530 females) with an average age of 67.36 ± 0.36 years old were included in our study finally. 136 patients (73 males and 63 females) died in hospital, with the prevalence of in-hospital mortality was 8.9%. The result of the Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the high-ePVS group (ePVS ≥ 5.28 mL/g) had significant lower survival possibility in-hospital admission compared with the low-ePVS group (ePVS < 5.28 mL/g). In the unadjusted model, high-level of ePVS was associated with higher OR (1.09; 95% CI 1.06–1.12; P < 0.001) compared with low-level of ePVS. After adjusted the vital signs data, laboratory data, and treatment, high-level of ePVS were also associated with increased OR of in-hospital mortality, 1.06 (95% CI 1.03–1.09; P < 0.001), 1.05 (95% CI 1.01–1.08; P = 0.009), 1.04 (95% CI 1.01–1.07; P = 0.023), respectively. The ROC curve indicated that ePVS has acceptable discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality. The AUC value was found to be 0.667 (95% CI 0.653–0.681). Conclusion Higher ePVS values, calculated simply from Duarte’s formula (based on hemoglobin/hematocrit) was associated with poor prognosis in AMI patients. EPVS is a predictor for predicting in-hospital mortality of AMI, and could help refine risk stratification.
format article
author Jun Chen
Jiayi Shen
Dongsheng Cai
Tiemin Wei
Renyi Qian
Chunlai Zeng
Lingchun Lyu
author_facet Jun Chen
Jiayi Shen
Dongsheng Cai
Tiemin Wei
Renyi Qian
Chunlai Zeng
Lingchun Lyu
author_sort Jun Chen
title Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
title_short Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
title_full Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
title_fullStr Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
title_full_unstemmed Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on MIMIC-III database
title_sort estimated plasma volume status (epvs) is a predictor for acute myocardial infarction in-hospital mortality: analysis based on mimic-iii database
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/153404ddf1474a9fbc1207338d40abc3
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