Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach

The bearing temperature forecasting provide can provide early detection of the gearbox operating status of wind turbines. To achieve high precision and reliable performance in bearing temperature forecasting, a novel hybrid model is proposed in the paper, which is composed of three phases. Firstly,...

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Autores principales: Guangxi Yan, Chengqing Yu, Yu Bai
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/153dfa27228540718c39409c0b0eb082
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:153dfa27228540718c39409c0b0eb0822021-11-25T18:12:00ZWind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach10.3390/machines91102482075-1702https://doaj.org/article/153dfa27228540718c39409c0b0eb0822021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2075-1702/9/11/248https://doaj.org/toc/2075-1702The bearing temperature forecasting provide can provide early detection of the gearbox operating status of wind turbines. To achieve high precision and reliable performance in bearing temperature forecasting, a novel hybrid model is proposed in the paper, which is composed of three phases. Firstly, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) method is employed to decompose raw bearing temperature data into several sub-series with different frequencies. Then, the SAE-GMDH method is utilized as the predictor in the subseries. The stacked autoencoder (SAE) is for the low-latitude features of raw data, while the group method of data handling (GMDH) is applied for the sub-series forecasting. Finally, the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) optimizes the weights for subseries and combines them to achieve the final forecasting results. By analytical investigation and comparing the final prediction results in all experiments, it can be summarized that (1) the proposed model has achieved excellent prediction outcome by integrating optimization algorithms with predictors; (2) the experiment results proved that the proposed model outperformed other selective models, with higher accuracies in all datasets, including three state-of-the-art models.Guangxi YanChengqing YuYu BaiMDPI AGarticlebearing temperature forecastinghybrid modeldata decompositionoptimization algorithmMechanical engineering and machineryTJ1-1570ENMachines, Vol 9, Iss 248, p 248 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic bearing temperature forecasting
hybrid model
data decomposition
optimization algorithm
Mechanical engineering and machinery
TJ1-1570
spellingShingle bearing temperature forecasting
hybrid model
data decomposition
optimization algorithm
Mechanical engineering and machinery
TJ1-1570
Guangxi Yan
Chengqing Yu
Yu Bai
Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
description The bearing temperature forecasting provide can provide early detection of the gearbox operating status of wind turbines. To achieve high precision and reliable performance in bearing temperature forecasting, a novel hybrid model is proposed in the paper, which is composed of three phases. Firstly, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) method is employed to decompose raw bearing temperature data into several sub-series with different frequencies. Then, the SAE-GMDH method is utilized as the predictor in the subseries. The stacked autoencoder (SAE) is for the low-latitude features of raw data, while the group method of data handling (GMDH) is applied for the sub-series forecasting. Finally, the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) optimizes the weights for subseries and combines them to achieve the final forecasting results. By analytical investigation and comparing the final prediction results in all experiments, it can be summarized that (1) the proposed model has achieved excellent prediction outcome by integrating optimization algorithms with predictors; (2) the experiment results proved that the proposed model outperformed other selective models, with higher accuracies in all datasets, including three state-of-the-art models.
format article
author Guangxi Yan
Chengqing Yu
Yu Bai
author_facet Guangxi Yan
Chengqing Yu
Yu Bai
author_sort Guangxi Yan
title Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
title_short Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
title_full Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
title_fullStr Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
title_full_unstemmed Wind Turbine Bearing Temperature Forecasting Using a New Data-Driven Ensemble Approach
title_sort wind turbine bearing temperature forecasting using a new data-driven ensemble approach
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/153dfa27228540718c39409c0b0eb082
work_keys_str_mv AT guangxiyan windturbinebearingtemperatureforecastingusinganewdatadrivenensembleapproach
AT chengqingyu windturbinebearingtemperatureforecastingusinganewdatadrivenensembleapproach
AT yubai windturbinebearingtemperatureforecastingusinganewdatadrivenensembleapproach
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