Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis

Abstract The use of peripherally inserted central catheters (PICCs) is increasing rapidly worldwide. A number of patient-related, clinical-related and device-related characteristics might be risk factors for PICC-related thrombosis. We retrospectively reviewed a database of 320 consecutive patients...

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Autores principales: Nan Hao, Xin Xie, Zhangjian Zhou, Jieqiong Li, Li Kang, Huili Wu, Pingli Guo, Chengxue Dang, Hao Zhang
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/16509049ed994d7c8905a33da037a294
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:16509049ed994d7c8905a33da037a2942021-12-02T15:05:40ZNomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis10.1038/s41598-017-06609-x2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/16509049ed994d7c8905a33da037a2942017-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06609-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The use of peripherally inserted central catheters (PICCs) is increasing rapidly worldwide. A number of patient-related, clinical-related and device-related characteristics might be risk factors for PICC-related thrombosis. We retrospectively reviewed a database of 320 consecutive patients who underwent PICC insertion between December 2014 and December 2015 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University to explore the potential associations between risk factors and PICC-associated thrombosis. A novel nomogram for predicting risk was developed based on the data. The nomogram prediction model included ten risk factors that were derived from different relevant estimates. The nomogram prediction model showed good discriminatory power (Harrell’s C-index, 0.709) and a high degree of similarity to actual thrombosis occurring after calibration. Furthermore, principal component analysis was performed to identify the factors that most influence PICC-related thrombosis. Our novel nomogram thrombosis risk prediction model was accurate in predicting PICC-related thrombosis. Karnofsky performance scores, D-dimer and blood platelet levels and previous chemotherapy were principal components. Our findings might help clinicians predict thrombosis risk in individual patients, select proper therapeutic strategies and optimize the timing of anticoagulation therapy.Nan HaoXin XieZhangjian ZhouJieqiong LiLi KangHuili WuPingli GuoChengxue DangHao ZhangNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Nan Hao
Xin Xie
Zhangjian Zhou
Jieqiong Li
Li Kang
Huili Wu
Pingli Guo
Chengxue Dang
Hao Zhang
Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
description Abstract The use of peripherally inserted central catheters (PICCs) is increasing rapidly worldwide. A number of patient-related, clinical-related and device-related characteristics might be risk factors for PICC-related thrombosis. We retrospectively reviewed a database of 320 consecutive patients who underwent PICC insertion between December 2014 and December 2015 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University to explore the potential associations between risk factors and PICC-associated thrombosis. A novel nomogram for predicting risk was developed based on the data. The nomogram prediction model included ten risk factors that were derived from different relevant estimates. The nomogram prediction model showed good discriminatory power (Harrell’s C-index, 0.709) and a high degree of similarity to actual thrombosis occurring after calibration. Furthermore, principal component analysis was performed to identify the factors that most influence PICC-related thrombosis. Our novel nomogram thrombosis risk prediction model was accurate in predicting PICC-related thrombosis. Karnofsky performance scores, D-dimer and blood platelet levels and previous chemotherapy were principal components. Our findings might help clinicians predict thrombosis risk in individual patients, select proper therapeutic strategies and optimize the timing of anticoagulation therapy.
format article
author Nan Hao
Xin Xie
Zhangjian Zhou
Jieqiong Li
Li Kang
Huili Wu
Pingli Guo
Chengxue Dang
Hao Zhang
author_facet Nan Hao
Xin Xie
Zhangjian Zhou
Jieqiong Li
Li Kang
Huili Wu
Pingli Guo
Chengxue Dang
Hao Zhang
author_sort Nan Hao
title Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
title_short Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
title_full Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
title_fullStr Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
title_full_unstemmed Nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
title_sort nomogram predicted risk of peripherally inserted central catheter related thrombosis
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/16509049ed994d7c8905a33da037a294
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AT xinxie nomogrampredictedriskofperipherallyinsertedcentralcatheterrelatedthrombosis
AT zhangjianzhou nomogrampredictedriskofperipherallyinsertedcentralcatheterrelatedthrombosis
AT jieqiongli nomogrampredictedriskofperipherallyinsertedcentralcatheterrelatedthrombosis
AT likang nomogrampredictedriskofperipherallyinsertedcentralcatheterrelatedthrombosis
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