A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses

Abstract We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate, and contribute to the efficacy of age-specific con...

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Autores principales:	Vishaal Ram, Laura P. Schaposnik
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/182c0f148a524152b9cc284eeba5add0
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:182c0f148a524152b9cc284eeba5add02021-12-02T16:06:43ZA modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses10.1038/s41598-021-94609-32045-2322https://doaj.org/article/182c0f148a524152b9cc284eeba5add02021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94609-3https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate, and contribute to the efficacy of age-specific contact and treatment measures. We consider the effect of relaxing restrictions across less vulnerable age-brackets, comparing results across selected groups of varying population parameters. Moreover, we analyze the mitigating effects of vaccinations and examine the effectiveness of age-targeted distributions. Lastly, we explore how our model can applied to other states to reflect social-distancing policy based on different parameters and metrics.Vishaal RamLaura P. SchaposnikNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Vishaal Ram Laura P. Schaposnik A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
description	Abstract We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate, and contribute to the efficacy of age-specific contact and treatment measures. We consider the effect of relaxing restrictions across less vulnerable age-brackets, comparing results across selected groups of varying population parameters. Moreover, we analyze the mitigating effects of vaccinations and examine the effectiveness of age-targeted distributions. Lastly, we explore how our model can applied to other states to reflect social-distancing policy based on different parameters and metrics.
format	article
author	Vishaal Ram Laura P. Schaposnik
author_facet	Vishaal Ram Laura P. Schaposnik
author_sort	Vishaal Ram
title	A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
title_short	A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
title_full	A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
title_fullStr	A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
title_full_unstemmed	A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
title_sort	modified age-structured sir model for covid-19 type viruses
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/182c0f148a524152b9cc284eeba5add0
work_keys_str_mv	AT vishaalram amodifiedagestructuredsirmodelforcovid19typeviruses AT laurapschaposnik amodifiedagestructuredsirmodelforcovid19typeviruses AT vishaalram modifiedagestructuredsirmodelforcovid19typeviruses AT laurapschaposnik modifiedagestructuredsirmodelforcovid19typeviruses
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A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses

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