Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.

We show that world trade network datasets contain empirical evidence that the dynamics of innovation in the world economy indeed follows the concept of creative destruction, as proposed by J.A. Schumpeter more than half a century ago. National economies can be viewed as complex, evolving systems, dr...

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Autores principales: Peter Klimek, Ricardo Hausmann, Stefan Thurner
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/195a0586d3e9450da9b64c6887c6f6ae
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:195a0586d3e9450da9b64c6887c6f6ae2021-11-18T07:15:16ZEmpirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0038924https://doaj.org/article/195a0586d3e9450da9b64c6887c6f6ae2012-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/22719989/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203We show that world trade network datasets contain empirical evidence that the dynamics of innovation in the world economy indeed follows the concept of creative destruction, as proposed by J.A. Schumpeter more than half a century ago. National economies can be viewed as complex, evolving systems, driven by a stream of appearance and disappearance of goods and services. Products appear in bursts of creative cascades. We find that products systematically tend to co-appear, and that product appearances lead to massive disappearance events of existing products in the following years. The opposite-disappearances followed by periods of appearances-is not observed. This is an empirical validation of the dominance of cascading competitive replacement events on the scale of national economies, i.e., creative destruction. We find a tendency that more complex products drive out less complex ones, i.e., progress has a direction. Finally we show that the growth trajectory of a country's product output diversity can be understood by a recently proposed evolutionary model of Schumpeterian economic dynamics.Peter KlimekRicardo HausmannStefan ThurnerPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 6, p e38924 (2012)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Peter Klimek
Ricardo Hausmann
Stefan Thurner
Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
description We show that world trade network datasets contain empirical evidence that the dynamics of innovation in the world economy indeed follows the concept of creative destruction, as proposed by J.A. Schumpeter more than half a century ago. National economies can be viewed as complex, evolving systems, driven by a stream of appearance and disappearance of goods and services. Products appear in bursts of creative cascades. We find that products systematically tend to co-appear, and that product appearances lead to massive disappearance events of existing products in the following years. The opposite-disappearances followed by periods of appearances-is not observed. This is an empirical validation of the dominance of cascading competitive replacement events on the scale of national economies, i.e., creative destruction. We find a tendency that more complex products drive out less complex ones, i.e., progress has a direction. Finally we show that the growth trajectory of a country's product output diversity can be understood by a recently proposed evolutionary model of Schumpeterian economic dynamics.
format article
author Peter Klimek
Ricardo Hausmann
Stefan Thurner
author_facet Peter Klimek
Ricardo Hausmann
Stefan Thurner
author_sort Peter Klimek
title Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
title_short Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
title_full Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
title_fullStr Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
title_full_unstemmed Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
title_sort empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2012
url https://doaj.org/article/195a0586d3e9450da9b64c6887c6f6ae
work_keys_str_mv AT peterklimek empiricalconfirmationofcreativedestructionfromworldtradedata
AT ricardohausmann empiricalconfirmationofcreativedestructionfromworldtradedata
AT stefanthurner empiricalconfirmationofcreativedestructionfromworldtradedata
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