Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia

Abstract The presence of the field border (FB), such as roadways or unplanted areas, between two fields is common in Asian farming system. This study evaluated the effect of the FB on the cross-pollination (CP) and predicted the CP rate in the field considering and not considering FB. Three experime...

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Autores principales: Yuan-Chih Su, Cheng-Bin Lee, Tien-Joung Yiu, Bo-Jein Kuo
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/19962f5d1af740869cb896b6bd58d9bd
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:19962f5d1af740869cb896b6bd58d9bd2021-11-14T12:23:00ZIncorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia10.1038/s41598-021-01583-x2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/19962f5d1af740869cb896b6bd58d9bd2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01583-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The presence of the field border (FB), such as roadways or unplanted areas, between two fields is common in Asian farming system. This study evaluated the effect of the FB on the cross-pollination (CP) and predicted the CP rate in the field considering and not considering FB. Three experiments including 0, 6.75, and 7.5 m width of the FB respectively were conducted to investigate the effect of distance and the FB on the CP rate. The dispersal models combined kernel and observation model by calculating the parameter of observation model from the output of kernel. These models were employed to predict the CP rate at different distances. The Bayesian method was used to estimate parameters and provided a good prediction with uncertainty. The highest average CP rates in the field with and without FB were 74.29% and 36.12%, respectively. It was found that two dispersal models with the FB effect displayed a higher ability to predict average CP rates. The correlation coefficients between actual CP rates and CP rates predicted by the dispersal model combined zero-inflated Poisson observation model with compound exponential kernel and modified Cauchy kernel were 0.834 and 0.833, respectively. Furthermore, the predictive uncertainty was reducing using the dispersal models with the FB effect.Yuan-Chih SuCheng-Bin LeeTien-Joung YiuBo-Jein KuoNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Yuan-Chih Su
Cheng-Bin Lee
Tien-Joung Yiu
Bo-Jein Kuo
Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
description Abstract The presence of the field border (FB), such as roadways or unplanted areas, between two fields is common in Asian farming system. This study evaluated the effect of the FB on the cross-pollination (CP) and predicted the CP rate in the field considering and not considering FB. Three experiments including 0, 6.75, and 7.5 m width of the FB respectively were conducted to investigate the effect of distance and the FB on the CP rate. The dispersal models combined kernel and observation model by calculating the parameter of observation model from the output of kernel. These models were employed to predict the CP rate at different distances. The Bayesian method was used to estimate parameters and provided a good prediction with uncertainty. The highest average CP rates in the field with and without FB were 74.29% and 36.12%, respectively. It was found that two dispersal models with the FB effect displayed a higher ability to predict average CP rates. The correlation coefficients between actual CP rates and CP rates predicted by the dispersal model combined zero-inflated Poisson observation model with compound exponential kernel and modified Cauchy kernel were 0.834 and 0.833, respectively. Furthermore, the predictive uncertainty was reducing using the dispersal models with the FB effect.
format article
author Yuan-Chih Su
Cheng-Bin Lee
Tien-Joung Yiu
Bo-Jein Kuo
author_facet Yuan-Chih Su
Cheng-Bin Lee
Tien-Joung Yiu
Bo-Jein Kuo
author_sort Yuan-Chih Su
title Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
title_short Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
title_full Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
title_fullStr Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
title_full_unstemmed Incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in Asia
title_sort incorporating the field border effect to reduce the predicted uncertainty of pollen dispersal model in asia
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/19962f5d1af740869cb896b6bd58d9bd
work_keys_str_mv AT yuanchihsu incorporatingthefieldbordereffecttoreducethepredicteduncertaintyofpollendispersalmodelinasia
AT chengbinlee incorporatingthefieldbordereffecttoreducethepredicteduncertaintyofpollendispersalmodelinasia
AT tienjoungyiu incorporatingthefieldbordereffecttoreducethepredicteduncertaintyofpollendispersalmodelinasia
AT bojeinkuo incorporatingthefieldbordereffecttoreducethepredicteduncertaintyofpollendispersalmodelinasia
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