Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world

Abstract In a single-site study (San Diego, CA, USA), we previously showed that Kawasaki Disease (KD) cases cluster temporally in bursts of approximately 7 days. These clusters occurred more often than would be expected at random even after accounting for long-term trends and seasonality. This findi...

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Autores principales: Jennifer A. Burney, Laurel L. DeHaan, Chisato Shimizu, Emelia V. Bainto, Jane W. Newburger, Roberta L. DeBiasi, Samuel R. Dominguez, Michael A. Portman, Marian Melish, Andras Bratincsak, Marianna Fabi, Elena Corinaldesi, Jeong Jin Yu, Paul Gee, Naomi Kitano, Adriana H. Tremoulet, Daniel R. Cayan, Jane C. Burns, the Kawasaki Disease Climate Study Group
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:1a847cd00acf42789d7bc783a4b129a52021-11-21T12:23:40ZTemporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world10.1038/s41598-021-01961-52045-2322https://doaj.org/article/1a847cd00acf42789d7bc783a4b129a52021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01961-5https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract In a single-site study (San Diego, CA, USA), we previously showed that Kawasaki Disease (KD) cases cluster temporally in bursts of approximately 7 days. These clusters occurred more often than would be expected at random even after accounting for long-term trends and seasonality. This finding raised the question of whether other locations around the world experience similar temporal clusters of KD that might offer clues to disease etiology. Here we combine data from San Diego and nine additional sites around the world with hospitals that care for large numbers of KD patients, as well as two multi-hospital catchment regions. We found that across these sites, KD cases clustered at short time scales and there were anomalously long quiet periods with no cases. Both of these phenomena occurred more often than would be expected given local trends and seasonality. Additionally, we found unusually frequent temporal overlaps of KD clusters and quiet periods between pairs of sites. These findings suggest that regional and planetary range environmental influences create periods of higher or lower exposure to KD triggers that may offer clues to the etiology of KD.Jennifer A. BurneyLaurel L. DeHaanChisato ShimizuEmelia V. BaintoJane W. NewburgerRoberta L. DeBiasiSamuel R. DominguezMichael A. PortmanMarian MelishAndras BratincsakMarianna FabiElena CorinaldesiJeong Jin YuPaul GeeNaomi KitanoAdriana H. TremouletDaniel R. CayanJane C. Burnsthe Kawasaki Disease Climate Study GroupNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Jennifer A. Burney
Laurel L. DeHaan
Chisato Shimizu
Emelia V. Bainto
Jane W. Newburger
Roberta L. DeBiasi
Samuel R. Dominguez
Michael A. Portman
Marian Melish
Andras Bratincsak
Marianna Fabi
Elena Corinaldesi
Jeong Jin Yu
Paul Gee
Naomi Kitano
Adriana H. Tremoulet
Daniel R. Cayan
Jane C. Burns
the Kawasaki Disease Climate Study Group
Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
description Abstract In a single-site study (San Diego, CA, USA), we previously showed that Kawasaki Disease (KD) cases cluster temporally in bursts of approximately 7 days. These clusters occurred more often than would be expected at random even after accounting for long-term trends and seasonality. This finding raised the question of whether other locations around the world experience similar temporal clusters of KD that might offer clues to disease etiology. Here we combine data from San Diego and nine additional sites around the world with hospitals that care for large numbers of KD patients, as well as two multi-hospital catchment regions. We found that across these sites, KD cases clustered at short time scales and there were anomalously long quiet periods with no cases. Both of these phenomena occurred more often than would be expected given local trends and seasonality. Additionally, we found unusually frequent temporal overlaps of KD clusters and quiet periods between pairs of sites. These findings suggest that regional and planetary range environmental influences create periods of higher or lower exposure to KD triggers that may offer clues to the etiology of KD.
format article
author Jennifer A. Burney
Laurel L. DeHaan
Chisato Shimizu
Emelia V. Bainto
Jane W. Newburger
Roberta L. DeBiasi
Samuel R. Dominguez
Michael A. Portman
Marian Melish
Andras Bratincsak
Marianna Fabi
Elena Corinaldesi
Jeong Jin Yu
Paul Gee
Naomi Kitano
Adriana H. Tremoulet
Daniel R. Cayan
Jane C. Burns
the Kawasaki Disease Climate Study Group
author_facet Jennifer A. Burney
Laurel L. DeHaan
Chisato Shimizu
Emelia V. Bainto
Jane W. Newburger
Roberta L. DeBiasi
Samuel R. Dominguez
Michael A. Portman
Marian Melish
Andras Bratincsak
Marianna Fabi
Elena Corinaldesi
Jeong Jin Yu
Paul Gee
Naomi Kitano
Adriana H. Tremoulet
Daniel R. Cayan
Jane C. Burns
the Kawasaki Disease Climate Study Group
author_sort Jennifer A. Burney
title Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
title_short Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
title_full Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
title_fullStr Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
title_full_unstemmed Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world
title_sort temporal clustering of kawasaki disease cases around the world
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/1a847cd00acf42789d7bc783a4b129a5
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