POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING

The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of...

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Autores principales:	I. S. Bondarenko, V. V. Kupriyanov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Publishing House of the State University of Management 2019
Materias:	forecast analog spline functions balance of discretizations resource technological situation method of aggregation Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b2021-12-03T07:43:30ZPOSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING1816-42772686-841510.26425/1816-4277-2019-11-62-70https://doaj.org/article/1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b2019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1844https://doaj.org/toc/1816-4277https://doaj.org/toc/2686-8415The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of using complex forecasts on several analogs with the help of spline functions for variables, characterizing the technological situations with GGOs, has been shown. The procedure of short-term forecasting of the multidimensional process of changing the average annual values of variables describing technological situations with the conveyor and lava supports in the breakage face has been adduced. Successfully predictable and non-predictable variables have been revealed. Conducted complex forecasts for different criteria of self-organization have allowed us to set the optimal number of analogs and to rank the fI. S. BondarenkoV. V. KupriyanovPublishing House of the State University of Managementarticleforecastanalogspline functionsbalance of discretizationsresourcetechnological situationmethod of aggregationSociology (General)HM401-1281Economics as a scienceHB71-74RUВестник университета, Vol 0, Iss 11, Pp 62-70 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	forecast analog spline functions balance of discretizations resource technological situation method of aggregation Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
spellingShingle	forecast analog spline functions balance of discretizations resource technological situation method of aggregation Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74 I. S. Bondarenko V. V. Kupriyanov POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
description	The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of using complex forecasts on several analogs with the help of spline functions for variables, characterizing the technological situations with GGOs, has been shown. The procedure of short-term forecasting of the multidimensional process of changing the average annual values of variables describing technological situations with the conveyor and lava supports in the breakage face has been adduced. Successfully predictable and non-predictable variables have been revealed. Conducted complex forecasts for different criteria of self-organization have allowed us to set the optimal number of analogs and to rank the f
format	article
author	I. S. Bondarenko V. V. Kupriyanov
author_facet	I. S. Bondarenko V. V. Kupriyanov
author_sort	I. S. Bondarenko
title	POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_short	POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_full	POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_fullStr	POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_full_unstemmed	POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_sort	possibilities of self-organization methods in predicting emergency situations in mining
publisher	Publishing House of the State University of Management
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b
work_keys_str_mv	AT isbondarenko possibilitiesofselforganizationmethodsinpredictingemergencysituationsinmining AT vvkupriyanov possibilitiesofselforganizationmethodsinpredictingemergencysituationsinmining
_version_	1718373498252951552

POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING

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